Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 14 | 63 | 256 | 51 | 21 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 13.5% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 2.84 | 3.56 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 14 | 63 | 256 | 51 | 21 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 19.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 0.4% | 2.84 | 2.69 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 12 | 11 | 53 | 240 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 92% | 4.4 | 15.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 2.91 | 3.58 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 12 | 11 | 53 | 240 | 56 | 13 | 3 | 92% | 4.4 | 23.3% | 5.4% | 17.9% | 1.2% | 2.91 | 2.45 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 15 | 11 | 58 | 259 | 48 | 17 | 10 | 73% | 3.8 | 13.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.55 | 5.98 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 15 | 11 | 58 | 259 | 48 | 17 | 10 | 73% | 3.8 | 18.5% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 6.55 | 4.57 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 71 | 287 | 63 | 21 | 8 | 7% | 2.4 | 16.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 3.82 | 4.51 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 71 | 287 | 63 | 21 | 8 | 7% | 2.4 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 3.82 | 3.68 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 21 | 5 | 69 | 293 | 59 | 16 | 6 | 24% | 3.3 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.59 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 21 | 5 | 69 | 293 | 59 | 16 | 6 | 24% | 3.3 | 20.1% | 5.5% | 14.7% | 2.0% | 4.59 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 47 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 49 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 76 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 92 | 43 | 313 | 1335 | 200 | 103 | 37 | 47% | 3.4 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.35 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 128 | 66 | 24 | 47% | 3.4 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braunny Munoz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.33 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 96 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 85 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 84 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 83 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 81 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 79 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 78 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 77 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 76 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 76 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 76 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 76 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .273 | 4.29 | 23.1% | 14.9% | 172 | -0.12 | 3.36 | 432 | 76 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.38 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | .296 | 4.26 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.88 | 3.38 | 138 | 76 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 75 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.60 | 21.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | .358 | 3.05 | 25.5% | 19.0% | 196 | -1.55 | 2.28 | 473 | 75 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 75 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 74 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 74 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.25 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .330 | 4.63 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 110 | +1.38 | 3.25 | 221 | 74 |
| Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 48 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 1.16 | 4.33 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |