Blaze Alexander

3B Baltimore Orioles
Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB HR +9% Svc 1.308 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202425MLBARI185.247/.321/.34333880.3
202526MLBARI266.230/.324/.38374970.7
202627MLBBAL289.303/.357/.4144101131.1
2027PROJ28MLBBAL400.258/.329/.39510171021.3
2028PROJ92% MLB29MLBBAL364.254/.326/.387913990.9
2029PROJ92% MLB30MLBBAL362.250/.321/.378811950.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 2.1  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 2.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.308First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Whiff%79
Speed73
Avg EV72
Bat Spd64
xwOBA53
Form.256/.324/.367 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .253/.323/.386
CompsDylan Moore (age 28) · Ha-Seong Kim (age 28) · Mark Mathias (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 106102vR 91
AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .329 / .395
PA400
HR10
SB17
K%25
BB%8
BABIP327
ISO140
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +1.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +2.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.00.81.71.20.90.60.30.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$17M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
Whiff%
797.9%
xAVG
410.244
POWER50
Barrel%
498.0
Avg EV
7290.6
Bat Spd
6472.9
EYE50
Chase%
9018.8%
SPEED60
Sprint
7328.4
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▲21% over 43 PA (60d) · proj 25%
BB%7%·7% over 43 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.111▼.025 over 40 AB (60d) · proj .133
HR/BB2.8%▼0.0% over 31 BBE (60d) · proj 3.6%
BABIP.322·.323 over 31 BIP (60d) · proj .322
SLASH.256/.324/.367▼proj .253/.323/.386
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 495 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
169
326
—
wRC+
127
71
◀◀L
wOBA
356
273
◀◀L
ISO
166
097
◀◀L
BABIP
375
311
◀◀L
K%
28.4%
31.0%
◀L
BB%
10.6%
6.1%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   1.308 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.2$10M+$9M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$3M
2029Arb-1$2M+0.6$2M+$0.7M
2030Arb-2$2M+0.3$1.0M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-3$2M———
Totals $3M $16M +$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201819 ROKMissoula Osprey — 247210 691955 31523 103 329422538960 210410 2113 417 85 — — — — — —
201920 AKane County Cougars — 406343 901247 428912 144 262363382745 120324 2210 333 68 — — — — — —
202122 A+Hillsboro Hops — 389339 7416310 441265 174 218317372689 153314 3211 312 30 — — — — — —
202223 AAAReno Aces — 3427 7102 483 00 259412519930 259294 2412 414 114 — — — — — —
202223 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 363317 9717317 339210 106 306389539928 233383 259 404 109 — — — — — —
202324 AAAReno Aces — 305247 721328 428310 22 291415457872 166398 2714 385 101 — — — — — —
202324 ROKACL D-backs Black — 2322 6202 051 00 273304636941 364267 220 403 58 — — — — — —
202425 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 185166 41703 15493 31 247321343664 96333 268 302 88 -3 +0 -3 +4 +4 0.3
202425 AAAReno Aces — 225196 541235 19696 41 276356444800 168392 318 352 71 — — — — — —
202526 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 266230 531217 228610 46 230324383707 152333 328 316 97 -1 -2 +2 +2 +6 0.7
202526 AAAReno Aces — 241194 551218 38596 111 284416479895 196364 2416 396 117 — — — — — —
202627 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 289261 791324 19634 103 303357414770 111385 227 342 113 +4 +1 -2 +1 +6 1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 740657 17332314 5619817 1710 263336385721 122356 278 323 105 +4 -1 -3 +7 +16 2.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201819 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 247222 521334 19753 103 234303374677 140321 308 294 85 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEKane County Cougars — 406357 751036 2812212 144 210290305595 95281 307 268 68 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 389352 52927 311755 174 148227244471 97259 458 213 30 — — — — — —
202223 AAA MLEReno Aces — 3428 6101 3103 00 214353357710 143268 299 337 114 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 363327 8715313 2311110 106 266333450783 183352 316 329 109 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLEReno Aces — 305261 661126 2810510 22 253348379727 126368 349 318 101 — — — — — —
202324 ROK MLEACL D-backs Black — 2322 3101 071 00 136174318492 182185 300 254 58 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 185166 40603 15493 31 241315331647 90333 268 298 88 -3 +0 -3 +4 +4 0.3
202425 AAA MLEReno Aces — 225203 43933 13866 41 212279330609 118339 386 273 71 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 266230 521117 228610 46 226321374695 148333 328 311 97 -1 -2 +2 +2 +6 0.7
202526 AAA MLEReno Aces — 241204 521016 28696 111 255361402763 147345 2912 341 117 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 289264 781324 18634 103 295350405755 110385 226 335 113 +4 +1 -2 +1 +6 1.1
201819 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 247222 521334 19753 103 234303374677 140329 308 294 85 — — — — — —
201819 ROK RAWMissoula Osprey — 247210 691955 31523 103 329422538960 210410 2113 417 85 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEKane County Cougars — 406357 751036 2812212 144 210290305595 95290 307 268 68 — — — — — —
201920 A RAWKane County Cougars — 406343 901247 428912 144 262363382745 120324 2210 333 68 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 389352 52927 311755 174 148227244471 97263 458 213 30 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAWHillsboro Hops — 389339 7416310 441265 174 218317372689 153314 3211 312 30 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE2 teams — 397356 9216314 2512113 106 258330438768 180351 306 330 109 — — — — — —
202223 AA RAW2 teams — 397344 10418319 3710013 106 302391538929 235376 259 405 109 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 328283 691227 2811211 22 244335375710 131367 349 314 98 — — — — — —
202324 AAA RAW2 teams — 328269 7815210 428811 22 290407472879 182386 2713 387 98 — — — — — —
202425 AAA MLE2 teams — 410369 841636 281359 72 228298336634 108338 337 284 79 — — — — — —
202425 AAA RAW2 teams — 410362 951938 341189 72 262340398738 135364 298 329 79 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 507434 10521214 5015516 157 242342396738 154340 3110 325 106 +4 +0 +2 +2 +11 1.9
202526 MLB RAW2 teams — 507424 10824215 6014516 157 255368427795 172348 2912 354 106 +4 +0 +2 +2 +11 1.9
202627 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 289264 781324 18634 103 295350405755 110374 226 335 113 +4 +1 -2 +1 +6 1.1
202627 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 289261 791324 19634 103 303357414770 111385 227 342 113 +4 +1 -2 +1 +6 1.1
201819 ROK MLEMissoula Osprey — 247223 521334 19753 103 233303372675 139321 308 294 85 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEKane County Cougars — 406363 751036 2812212 144 207290300590 94281 307 268 68 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 389350 52927 311755 174 149227246473 97259 458 213 30 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE2 teams — 397356 9216314 2512113 106 258330438768 180345 306 330 109 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 328286 691227 2811211 22 241335371706 129355 349 314 98 — — — — — —
202425 AAA MLE2 teams — 410370 841636 281359 72 227298335633 108336 337 284 79 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 507436 10521214 5015516 157 241342394736 154339 3110 325 106 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 289265 781324 18634 103 294350404753 109385 226 335 113 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AAA MLE2 teams — 410370 841636 281359 72 227298335633 108336 337 284 79 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 507436 10521214 5015516 157 241342394736 154339 3110 325 106 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 289265 781324 18634 103 294350404753 109385 226 335 113 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEBAL 100% 400358 901529 31998 173 254326386712 133322 258 319 102 +1 +2 -0 +1 +9 1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXBAL 100% 400358 9316210 31998 173 258329395725 137327 258 324 102 +1 +2 -0 +1 +9 1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEBAL 92% 396356 891529 30997 143 250322379701 129320 258 314 99 -1 +2 -2 +1 +9 0.9
202930 MLB MLEBAL 92% 393353 871528 301007 123 246317370687 124316 258 309 95 -2 +1 -3 +1 +9 0.6
203031 MLB MLEBAL 92% 378340 831428 28977 82 242312359672 118313 267 303 91 -4 +1 -3 +1 +8 0.3
203132 MLB MLEBAL 92% 359324 771227 26946 42 236306347652 111309 267 295 86 -6 +0 -4 +1 +8 -0.1
203233 MLB MLEBAL 92% 329296 681116 24886 11 229298331629 102303 277 285 79 -8 -0 -5 +1 +7 -0.5
202829 MLB CTXBAL 92% 364326 831429 28917 133 254326387713 133324 258 319 99 -0 +1 -2 +1 +8 0.9
202930 MLB CTXBAL 92% 362325 821428 27927 112 250321378699 128321 257 313 95 -2 +1 -2 +1 +8 0.6
203031 MLB CTXBAL 92% 348313 771327 26906 72 245316367683 122317 267 307 91 -4 +1 -3 +1 +8 0.3
203132 MLB CTXBAL 92% 330297 721217 24876 41 240309354663 114313 267 299 86 -6 +0 -4 +1 +7 -0.1
203233 MLB CTXBAL 92% 303273 631015 22815 11 233301338639 105307 277 289 79 -8 -0 -4 +1 +7 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 24472191 550951150 18363948 5319 251322373695 122330 267 311 89 -16 +3 -18 +13 +53 3.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 14625313 4917013 145 251323371694 120331 268 311 89 -4 +1 -5 +4 +14 1.0
Career— MLE — 52284664 110119231109 3961535114 14145 236311361672 125324 298 299 89 -16 +5 -19 +15 +65 5.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 13824414 4919114 186 238313366678 128326 298 299 89 -4 +1 -4 +3 +14 1.1