Kristian Robinson

RF Reno Aces

Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 190 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #682MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40FG ETA2026MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAAARI	178	.262/.395/.469	6	10	109	—	.242/.345/.412
2025	24	AAARI	334	.250/.364/.436	11	24	63	—	.190/.279/.306
2026	25	AAAARI	501	.268/.376/.442	15	22	91	—	.240/.321/.373
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBARI	25	.224/.309/.355	0	1	84	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	27	MLBARI	84	.224/.308/.355	2	3	84	-0.0
2029PROJ34% MLB	28	MLBARI	125	.223/.307/.353	2	4	83	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV98

Speed93

BB%79

Chase%78

K%21

Whiff%13

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 87%

CompsBrenton Doyle (age 26) · Adam Engel (age 26) · Daz Cameron (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .309 / .355

PA25

HR0

K%36

BB%8

BABIP337

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	256	222	62	12	0	7	27	67	4	12	8	279	368	428	796	149	364	26	11	354	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A	Kane County Cougars	—	102	92	20	3	1	5	8	30	2	3	2	217	294	435	729	217	263	29	8	322	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	17	16	4	1	0	2	1	7	0	0	1	250	294	688	982	438	286	41	6	415	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	34	9	0	0	2	4	13	1	2	3	265	359	441	800	176	368	33	10	360	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	189	156	45	6	3	9	24	58	8	20	3	288	410	538	948	250	400	31	13	414	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	27	27	8	1	1	1	0	8	0	1	0	296	296	519	815	222	389	30	0	352	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	419	351	75	13	1	11	63	150	3	10	4	214	338	350	689	137	333	36	15	316	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	79	69	22	4	1	1	8	22	2	9	2	319	405	449	854	130	457	28	10	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	178	145	38	8	2	6	31	43	1	10	0	262	395	469	864	207	330	24	17	383	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	334	280	70	13	3	11	46	101	4	24	8	250	364	436	799	186	343	30	14	354	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	501	421	113	18	5	15	67	145	6	22	5	268	376	442	818	173	370	29	13	362	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	256	232	45	8	0	5	17	97	4	12	8	194	261	293	554	99	287	38	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	102	95	16	2	1	4	5	41	2	3	2	168	225	337	562	168	243	40	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	17	16	3	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	1	188	235	438	673	250	219	53	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	39	35	6	0	0	1	3	18	1	2	3	171	256	257	514	86	337	46	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	189	164	36	5	3	6	16	77	8	20	3	220	319	396	715	177	354	41	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	27	27	5	1	0	1	0	11	0	1	0	185	185	333	519	148	283	41	0	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	419	370	66	11	1	7	44	180	3	10	4	178	271	270	541	92	316	43	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	178	153	37	7	2	5	23	50	1	10	0	242	345	412	756	170	318	28	13	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	334	294	56	10	3	6	32	127	4	24	8	190	279	306	585	116	290	38	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	501	442	106	16	5	11	47	174	6	22	5	240	321	373	695	133	354	35	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	256	232	45	8	0	5	17	97	4	12	8	194	261	293	554	99	301	38	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	256	222	62	12	0	7	27	67	4	12	8	279	368	428	796	149	364	26	11	354	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	102	95	16	2	1	4	5	41	2	3	2	168	225	337	562	168	240	40	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A RAW	Kane County Cougars	—	102	92	20	3	1	5	8	30	2	3	2	217	294	435	729	217	263	29	8	322	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	4 teams	—	272	243	50	6	3	9	19	115	9	23	7	206	288	366	654	160	342	42	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	4 teams	—	272	233	66	8	4	14	29	86	9	23	7	283	384	532	916	249	388	32	11	400	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	498	439	78	13	1	8	52	214	5	19	6	178	272	267	539	89	320	43	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	498	420	97	17	2	12	71	172	5	19	6	231	349	367	715	136	357	35	14	327	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	447	92	16	5	11	55	177	5	34	8	206	300	338	638	132	307	35	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	512	425	108	21	5	17	77	144	5	34	8	254	375	447	822	193	338	28	15	365	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	501	442	106	16	5	11	47	174	6	22	5	240	321	373	695	133	364	35	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	501	421	113	18	5	15	67	145	6	22	5	268	376	442	818	173	370	29	13	362	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	256	233	45	8	0	5	17	97	4	12	8	193	261	292	553	99	287	38	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	102	94	16	2	1	4	5	41	2	3	2	170	225	340	566	170	243	40	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	4 teams	—	272	242	50	6	3	9	19	115	9	23	7	207	288	368	656	161	336	42	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	498	438	78	13	1	8	52	214	5	19	6	178	272	267	539	89	316	43	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	447	92	16	5	11	55	177	5	34	8	206	300	338	638	132	300	35	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	501	443	106	16	5	11	47	174	6	22	5	239	321	372	694	133	354	35	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	498	438	78	13	1	8	52	214	5	19	6	178	272	267	539	89	316	43	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	512	447	92	16	5	11	55	177	5	34	8	206	300	338	638	132	300	35	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	501	443	106	16	5	11	47	174	6	22	5	239	321	372	694	133	354	35	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	10%	380	335	73	12	3	8	38	131	4	14	3	218	303	344	647	127	325	34	10	293	84	-7	+2	+2	-4	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	10%	25	23	4	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	224	309	355	664	132	337	36	8	299	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	25%	336	297	65	11	3	7	33	114	3	12	3	218	303	344	647	127	322	34	10	293	84	-6	+1	+2	-4	+7	0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	364	322	71	12	3	8	36	122	3	11	3	217	301	342	644	125	319	34	10	291	83	-7	+1	+1	-4	+8	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	38%	373	331	72	12	3	8	36	124	3	10	3	216	299	339	638	123	315	33	10	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-4	+8	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	25%	84	75	17	3	1	2	8	28	1	3	1	224	308	355	664	132	334	33	10	299	84	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	125	111	24	5	1	2	12	42	1	4	1	223	307	353	660	130	330	34	10	298	83	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	38%	143	127	28	5	1	3	14	48	1	4	1	222	304	349	654	128	326	34	10	295	82	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	352	313	69	13	3	7	34	118	3	11	3	220	303	348	651	128	326	34	10	297	76	-7	+1	+1	-4	+8	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	128	24	6	13	63	218	6	20	6	221	305	351	656	130	328	34	10	297	76	-13	+2	+2	-7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3464	3069	643	104	26	76	325	1264	42	155	47	210	294	335	629	125	324	36	9	280	76	-26	+4	+4	-14	+29	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	121	20	5	14	61	237	8	29	9	210	295	335	630	125	325	36	9	280	76	-13	+2	+2	-7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#3Dustan Mohr'01-'07 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,537 PA	2.3	1,537	49	13	241*	315*	412*	-15	+20	3.8	3.8
/162	664	21	6	-6.6	+8.6	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	376	8	12	218	299	343	-4	+2	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	14	21	-7.1	+3.5	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kristian Robinson (OGILVIE)	26	30	50	55	40	216/301/341	125	325	5	9	34%	10%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brenton Doyle 2024 · MLB	26	41→47	48→50	56→55	34	208/252/346	139	308	17	22	37%	5%	66	-1.1	229/279/373	144	299	17	24	28%	6%	82	+0.0	234/284/378	144	296	17	27	27%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	195/258/316	120	275	10	24	32%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/348	126	302	12	17	29%	5%	76	-0.4	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2023 · MLB	26	43→48	45→50	55	41	212/273/337	125	298	12	20	32%	7%	72	-0.7	219/287/364	145	286	16	22	28%	8%	84	+0.1	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	37→34	50	51→50	45	191/282/348	157	275	18	12	35%	10%	79	-0.2	183/265/327	144	301	17	12	42%	8%	68	-1.0	158/244/297	139	268	18	12	45%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕Alerick Soularie 2024 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	46	198/284/317	119	288	13	23	34%	10%	72	-0.7	207/283/318	111	293	11	24	31%	8%	72	-0.7	172/252/257	85	238	9	42	30%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→32	49→45	56→50	45	202/280/345	143	284	17	20	34%	9%	77	-0.3	202/266/314	112	287	11	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	193/253/289	96	272	9	8	31%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Pedro León 2024 · AAA	26	44→49	49→50	52→55	44	214/300/365	151	312	16	24	35%	9%	89	+0.5	231/293/383	152	327	18	25	33%	7%	91	+0.6	233/290/381	148	333	19	29	34%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/321	126	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	225/298/353	128	316	12	16	31%	8%	85	+0.2	240/316/371	130	330	11	18	28%	8%	93	+0.5
✕Kameron Misner 2024 · AAA	26	41→43	48→50	55	47	196/291/341	145	317	15	22	39%	11%	80	-0.1	203/284/343	140	305	15	24	35%	10%	78	-0.3	199/277/338	139	286	15	27	34%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	41	45→50	48→50	46	202/290/321	119	285	13	9	32%	9%	76	-0.4	213/301/356	143	297	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	162	278	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Ryan Kreidler 2024 · MLB	26	40→46	48→45	51→55	45	202/283/337	135	284	16	19	33%	9%	77	-0.3	188/269/306	118	273	12	19	33%	9%	65	-1.2	182/264/299	117	260	11	19	32%	9%	59	-1.0
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42	49→50	52→50	40	220/268/372	152	280	17	14	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/260/335	125	284	13	12	30%	6%	67	-1.1	180/235/298	118	257	14	13	35%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Stone Garrett 2022 · AA	26	40→39	49→55	50	33	212/246/352	141	293	18	16	34%	4%	65	-1.2	226/278/395	169	303	21	13	31%	6%	87	+0.4	223/282/387	164	300	20	11	31%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42→43	49→50	56→55	44	214/289/355	141	288	17	23	31%	8%	83	+0.1	208/287/334	126	288	14	21	31%	8%	77	-0.3	192/277/306	114	267	14	21	31%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	44→42	42→45	55	41	210/285/316	107	302	9	26	32%	7%	72	-0.7	200/263/298	98	297	8	14	33%	6%	59	-1.6	177/235/263	85	266	6	11	34%	6%	38	-1.5
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	41	45→50	55→60	37	203/257/327	124	295	12	21	34%	6%	64	-1.3	207/284/329	122	306	10	26	33%	7%	75	-0.5	192/284/324	133	286	10	39	34%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	39→42	44→45	54→50	42	196/268/311	115	273	12	15	32%	7%	65	-1.2	197/262/306	109	291	11	12	34%	7%	61	-1.5	155/224/256	101	238	9	9	37%	7%	32	-1.3
✕Narciso Crook 2021 · AAA	26	46→43	46→50	52→50	37	226/274/362	136	320	12	12	33%	5%	78	-0.3	211/282/356	145	315	16	14	36%	7%	80	-0.1	194/274/336	141	299	16	15	38%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0

Kristian Robinson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps