Jonathon Long — OGILVIE

Jonathon Long1B Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION579 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP302

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	92	77	20	3	0	6	11	18	4	0	0	260	380	532	913	273	264	20	12	401	158	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	200	159	54	9	0	7	35	33	2	0	0	340	464	528	993	189	382	16	18	432	178	+19	+0	—	—	+4	2.3
2024	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	289	247	61	12	0	10	34	68	5	2	0	247	350	417	767	170	297	24	12	342	118	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2024	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	87	74	25	4	1	6	11	20	1	1	0	338	430	662	1.092	324	388	23	13	463	200	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.3
2025	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	607	514	157	23	3	20	79	116	9	2	0	305	406	479	885	173	359	19	13	392	152	+37	+0	—	—	+13	5.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	92	81	16	2	0	5	7	25	4	0	0	198	293	407	701	210	227	27	8	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	200	170	52	8	0	7	24	41	2	0	0	306	398	476	874	171	342	20	12	377	141	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	289	257	51	9	0	9	24	91	5	2	0	198	280	339	618	140	254	31	8	268	68	-11	+0	—	—	+6	-0.5
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	607	540	148	19	3	13	54	141	9	2	0	274	350	393	743	119	341	23	9	326	107	+5	+0	—	—	+13	1.9
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	92	81	16	2	0	5	7	25	4	0	0	198	293	407	701	210	216	27	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	92	77	20	3	0	6	11	18	4	0	0	260	380	532	913	273	264	20	12	401	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	576	503	120	20	0	18	57	156	8	3	0	239	326	386	711	147	303	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	576	480	140	25	1	23	80	121	8	3	0	292	401	492	893	200	340	21	14	392	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	607	540	148	19	3	13	54	141	9	2	0	274	350	393	743	119	346	23	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	607	514	157	23	3	20	79	116	9	2	0	305	406	479	885	173	359	19	13	392	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	92	81	16	2	0	5	7	25	4	0	0	198	293	407	701	210	227	27	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	576	506	120	20	0	18	57	156	8	3	0	237	326	383	709	146	290	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	607	539	148	19	3	13	54	141	9	2	0	275	350	393	743	119	341	23	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	92	81	16	2	0	5	7	25	4	0	0	198	293	407	701	210	227	27	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	576	506	120	20	0	18	57	156	8	3	0	237	326	383	709	146	290	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	607	539	148	19	3	13	54	141	9	2	0	275	350	393	743	119	341	23	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	MIA	—	579	522	119	29	2	11	49	151	3	3	0	228	298	354	652	126	298	26	8	289	82	-13	+1	+0	-10	+13	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA RAW	MIA	—	579	497	136	35	2	16	72	126	3	3	0	274	368	449	816	175	335	22	12	361	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AAA MLE	MIA	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		312	22	11	308	94	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	24	MLB CTX	MIA	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						302	0	0	294	94	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	MIA	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	294	82	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AAA MLE	MIA	—	588	530	120	29	2	11	50	153	3	3	0	226	297	351	648	125	295	26	9	289	82	-13	+1	-0	-11	+13	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	581	521	128	27	2	14	51	144	4	3	0	246	318	386	704	140	310	25	9	316	100	+0	+1	-2	-10	+13	0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	603	540	134	28	2	16	53	148	5	3	0	248	321	396	717	148	309	25	9	320	103	+2	+1	-2	-11	+13	0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	608	544	134	28	2	16	54	149	5	3	0	246	320	393	713	147	308	25	9	320	103	+2	+1	-2	-11	+13	0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	607	542	133	27	2	16	55	149	5	3	0	245	321	391	712	146	307	25	9	319	102	+2	+1	-3	-11	+13	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	602	537	131	27	2	16	55	149	5	2	0	244	320	391	711	147	306	25	9	317	101	+0	+0	-3	-11	+13	-0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	594	530	128	26	2	15	54	149	5	2	0	242	317	383	701	142	304	25	9	314	98	-1	+0	-4	-11	+13	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	246	220	53	11	1	6	22	61	2	1	0	241	316	382	697	141	301	25	9	302	100	+0	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	347	310	75	15	1	9	31	85	3	2	0	242	317	384	701	142	300	24	9	305	103	+1	+0	-1	-6	+8	0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	380	340	81	16	1	10	34	93	3	2	0	238	313	379	692	141	299	24	9	305	103	+1	+0	-1	-7	+8	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	395	353	84	17	1	10	36	97	3	2	0	238	314	377	691	139	298	25	9	304	102	+1	+0	-2	-7	+9	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	390	349	82	16	1	10	35	97	3	2	0	235	310	372	683	138	296	25	9	302	101	+0	+0	-2	-7	+8	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	384	343	80	16	1	9	35	96	3	1	0	233	310	364	674	131	295	25	9	299	98	-1	+0	-3	-7	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2143	1916	455	91	6	54	193	529	17	10	0	237	313	376	689	138	298	25	9	303	101	+3	+2	-10	-38	+46	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	138	28	2	16	59	160	5	3	0	238	313	375	688	138	299	25	9	303	101	+1	+1	-3	-12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4879	4346	1073	204	15	129	441	1212	50	21	0	247	323	390	713	143	311	25	9	318	101	+5	+3	-16	-64	+78	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	143	27	2	17	59	161	7	3	0	247	325	389	713	142	311	25	9	318	101	+1	+1	-3	-12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Jesús Aguilarlast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,594 PA	3.9	2,594	114	1	255	324	452	-46	-35	4.2	4.2
/162	664	29	0	-11.9	-9.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	5.1	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
/162	664	14	3	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.3	2,174	57	9	247	317	394	-39	-11	2.6	2.6
/162	664	18	3	-11.9	-3.3	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Yonder Alonsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,744 PA	5.6	3,744	100	22	260	333	405	-66	-62	1.3	2.0
/162	664	18	4	-11.7	-11.0	0.2	pk7: 3
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathon Long (OGILVIE)	24	40→49	50→52	40	51	241/312/369	128	312	7	2	25%	9%	94	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andrew Vaughn 2022 · MLB	24	46→53	50→55	42→30	50	234/309/389	155	274	18	3	22%	9%	98	+1.2	254/311/414	160	293	19	2	20%	6%	104	+1.6	255/309/413	159	294	19	1	20%	6%	102	+1.4
✕Jake Holton 2023 · AA	25	47→50	47→50	42→45	49	228/321/367	139	301	14	5	27%	10%	98	+1.2	228/309/365	137	288	15	5	25%	9%	93	+0.8	224/301/364	141	280	16	4	25%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Chad Huffman 2009 · AA	24	50→52	46→50	42→45	50	248/320/378	130	298	13	2	21%	8%	99	+1.2	221/292/341	120	283	12	5	25%	8%	80	-0.1	232/306/377	145	290	14	6	24%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Brock Peterson 2008 · AA	24	49→51	49→50	43→40	43	243/307/393	150	307	16	4	26%	6%	98	+1.2	233/289/372	139	306	14	2	27%	6%	86	+0.3	227/285/372	145	299	17	0	29%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Michael Choice 2014 · MLB	24	50→52	45→50	43→40	45	242/307/364	122	316	13	4	27%	7%	91	+0.7	209/272/328	119	282	13	4	29%	6%	70	-0.8	220/271/367	147	303	18	4	33%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Rich Poythress 2012 · AA	24	48→49	48→50	41→40	45	241/294/383	142	288	16	3	22%	6%	91	+0.6	238/299/368	130	276	14	5	19%	8%	88	+0.5	234/298/360	126	265	14	4	17%	8%	84	+0.1
●Tyler White 2016 · AAA	25	52→56	46→60	42→40	55	255/341/390	135	300	13	2	19%	10%	109	+2.0	242/311/413	171	284	21	4	22%	8%	104	+1.6	250/328/428	178	300	21	3	23%	9%	112	+1.7
✕Ryan Mountcastle 2021 · MLB	24	51→54	50→55	43→40	39	256/292/406	150	321	18	4	26%	4%	95	+1.0	250/305/432	182	307	24	5	26%	7%	106	+1.8	246/305/428	182	298	25	4	26%	7%	103	+1.5
✕Kyle Blanks 2011 · MLB	24	47→57	51→55	45	48	236/322/400	163	311	19	5	29%	9%	105	+1.7	233/298/401	168	309	18	6	29%	7%	97	+1.1	238/308/411	172	307	20	3	28%	7%	101	+0.8
✕Aaron Bates 2009 · AA	25	50→60	49→50	44→30	47	246/324/395	148	314	16	2	26%	8%	105	+1.7	237/301/344	107	315	11	2	27%	7%	84	+0.2	239/303/332	93	321	9	1	27%	7%	79	-0.2
●Brady Shoemaker 2012 · AAA	25	51→55	45→50	44→40	42	247/304/376	128	334	12	5	28%	6%	93	+0.8	253/327/394	141	330	13	4	26%	8%	105	+1.7	252/328/386	134	313	14	2	23%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Jason Delaney 2008 · AA	25	53→55	45	43→40	48	258/321/382	123	324	12	3	23%	8%	100	+1.3	244/312/351	107	315	8	4	23%	9%	89	+0.5	236/308/336	100	307	6	3	23%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Kyle Parker 2014 · AA	24	48→51	51→55	42→45	44	246/303/407	161	305	20	4	26%	7%	99	+1.3	225/269/348	123	302	13	6	29%	5%	72	-0.7	213/256/323	110	291	11	5	30%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Mark Zagunis 2017 · AAA	24	51→53	45	47→50	51	244/326/377	133	309	11	9	23%	9%	101	+1.4	229/315/350	121	318	11	10	29%	10%	91	+0.7	218/307/329	111	319	11	10	32%	10%	81	-0.1
✕Kala Ka'aihue 2009 · AA	24	44→48	51→55	39→30	48	221/310/382	161	312	19	2	33%	10%	97	+1.1	187/281/318	131	270	15	5	34%	10%	72	-0.7	118/219/219	101	171	12	2	37%	10%	26	-2.1
✕Bryan De La Cruz 2022 · MLB	25	53→58	47→55	42→45	43	262/307/399	137	329	15	6	25%	6%	99	+1.2	259/303/424	165	320	20	6	25%	6%	103	+1.6	250/294/417	167	306	21	5	25%	5%	97	+1.0
✕Dylan Carlson 2023 · MLB	24	50→54	49→55	47→50	51	248/326/409	161	301	15	5	22%	9%	108	+1.9	229/312/356	127	284	13	7	23%	9%	91	+0.7	215/303/322	107	270	12	8	23%	10%	79	-0.1
●Alec Bohm 2021 · MLB	24	53→56	48→50	44→45	50	263/323/410	147	305	15	6	19%	8%	107	+1.8	260/312/379	119	316	12	6	21%	7%	96	+1.0	271/324/416	145	301	15	4	15%	6%	106	+1.7
✕Zach Lutz 2010 · AA	24	48	44→55	45→30	49	233/309/354	121	298	12	4	25%	9%	89	+0.5	239/309/393	154	320	18	3	29%	8%	99	+1.2	241/314/406	165	328	20	0	31%	8%	100	+0.6
●Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 · AAA	23	50→58	46→50	48→45	50	238/322/367	128	331	14	6	30%	10%	97	+1.1	233/330/376	143	325	16	6	30%	11%	103	+1.5	232/338/377	145	320	16	5	30%	12%	104	+1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps