Spencer Steer — OGILVIE

Spencer Steer1B Cincinnati Reds

Age 28 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR +9%K -4% Svc 3.203 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.8 · 2026

wRC+†vL 95105vR 103

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .320 / .406

PA598

HR20

SB11

K%22

BB%10

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.203 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$8M	+$0.4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	201	178	38	9	2	2	14	37	8	5	1	.213	.300	.320	.620	.107	.257	18	7	.268	63	-8	+1	+0	-4	+6	-0.6
2021	23	AA	2 teams	488	434	89	14	3	20	38	139	9	8	4	.205	.283	.389	.672	.184	.245	28	8	.290	80	-11	+0	+0	-9	+14	-0.6
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	600	539	121	29	2	20	45	139	13	4	4	.224	.300	.397	.697	.173	.264	23	8	.301	89	-8	-1	-1	+2	+17	1.0
2023	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	665	582	154	37	3	20	68	139	11	15	3	.265	.352	.442	.794	.177	.314	21	10	.344	121	+16	+2	-14	-12	+19	1.1
2024	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	656	574	126	34	5	17	72	137	8	25	3	.220	.315	.385	.700	.166	.258	21	11	.311	96	-3	+4	-6	-7	+19	0.7
2025	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	568	509	116	20	2	19	51	129	5	7	1	.228	.304	.387	.691	.159	.267	23	9	.306	93	-5	+1	-2	-10	+16	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	86	77	17	5	0	4	6	25	2	0	0	.221	.294	.442	.736	.221	.265	29	7	.318	101	+0	+0	-1	-1	+2	0.0
ROS	28	MLB	CIN	512	451	104	23	2	18	49	118	7	11	2	.231	.316	.410	.726	.180	.271	23	10	.324	106	+4	+1	-2	-9	+15	0.8
TOT	28	MLB	CIN	598	528	121	28	2	22	55	143	9	11	2	.229	.312	.415	.727	.186	.270	24	9	.323	105	+4	+1	-4	-10	+17	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	CIN	586	517	119	27	3	20	56	106	8	11	2	.230	.315	.410	.725	.180	.250	18	10	.322	104	+3	+1	-4	-10	+17	0.6
2028	30	MLB	CIN	574	506	114	26	2	19	55	106	8	10	2	.225	.311	.397	.708	.172	.248	18	10	.319	102	+1	+1	-5	-10	+16	0.4
2029	31	MLB	CIN	559	492	110	25	2	18	54	105	8	7	1	.224	.310	.392	.703	.169	.247	19	10	.315	99	-1	+1	-5	-10	+16	0.1
2030	32	MLB	CIN	540	476	105	24	2	17	52	105	7	4	0	.221	.307	.387	.693	.166	.245	19	10	.310	96	-3	+1	-6	-10	+15	-0.2
2031	33	MLB	CIN	510	449	98	22	2	16	49	102	7	2	0	.218	.305	.383	.688	.165	.243	20	10	.304	91	-5	+0	-7	-9	+14	-0.6
2032	34	MLB	CIN	463	410	87	19	2	14	44	97	6	1	0	.212	.298	.371	.669	.159	.241	21	10	.298	86	-7	+0	-7	-8	+13	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6922	6117	1381	309	32	220	647	1459	105	110	23	.226	.311	.395	.705	.169	.259	21	9	.312	97	-27	+13	-60	-106	+196	1.7
/ 162G	—			650	574	130	29	3	21	61	137	10	10	2	.226	.312	.397	.709	.171	.260	21	9	.312	97	-2	+1	-6	-10	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	201	173	45	12	2	2	19	28	8	5	1	.260	.360	.387	.747	.127	.299	14	9	.339	118	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.1
2021	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	280	249	60	11	2	14	20	73	5	4	0	.241	.310	.470	.780	.229	.274	26	7	.336	115	+5	+1	—	—	+8	1.4
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	208	168	46	7	1	10	35	32	4	4	4	.274	.411	.506	.917	.232	.283	15	17	.404	168	+16	-1	—	—	+6	2.1
2022	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	108	95	20	5	0	2	11	26	2	0	1	.211	.306	.326	.632	.116	.269	24	10	.292	81	-2	-0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	336	290	75	17	1	15	37	66	7	3	0	.259	.356	.479	.836	.221	.284	20	11	.368	140	+15	+1	—	—	+10	2.6
2022	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	156	137	42	13	1	8	14	23	4	1	3	.307	.387	.591	.978	.285	.318	15	9	.422	181	+14	-1	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	665	582	158	37	3	23	68	139	11	15	3	.271	.359	.464	.822	.192	.318	21	10	.363	136	+27	+2	-14	-12	+19	2.2
2024	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	656	574	129	34	4	20	72	137	8	25	3	.225	.320	.402	.722	.178	.260	21	11	.323	106	+4	+4	-6	-7	+19	1.4
2025	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	568	509	121	21	2	21	51	129	5	7	1	.238	.313	.411	.724	.173	.277	23	9	.322	105	+3	+1	-2	-10	+16	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1997	1760	428	97	9	66	202	431	26	47	8	.243	.330	.421	.751	.178	.285	22	10	.335	114	+32	+6	-23	-27	+57	4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Steer (OGILVIE)	28	45	45	55	55	.230/.314/.409	.180	.250	21	13	18%	10%	106	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	47→48	51→50	49→50	53	.239/.324/.402	.163	.270	19	14	20%	10%	108	+2.3	.227/.322/.365	.138	.265	15	15	19%	11%	97	+1.5	.223/.324/.347	.125	.262	12	14	19%	12%	92	+0.8
●Enrique Hernández 2020 · MLB	28	46→55	54→60	53→45	53	.241/.317/.427	.186	.269	22	6	20%	10%	111	+2.5	.239/.312/.413	.174	.272	19	4	19%	9%	105	+2.1	.230/.308/.393	.163	.262	16	1	19%	9%	97	+1.0
●Jurickson Profar 2021 · MLB	28	47→56	53→55	53→50	54	.242/.320/.418	.176	.253	20	12	15%	9%	109	+2.4	.239/.325/.372	.133	.270	12	10	16%	10%	100	+1.7	.257/.353/.419	.161	.284	18	7	16%	11%	121	+2.9
●Harrison Bader 2022 · MLB	28	47→55	56→55	50→55	49	.245/.324/.441	.196	.295	24	14	25%	9%	118	+3.0	.242/.294/.380	.138	.285	15	23	20%	6%	89	+0.9	.240/.297/.372	.133	.292	15	22	23%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Gaby Sanchez 2012 · MLB	28	51→54	51→55	49→45	56	.258/.335/.421	.162	.279	19	5	15%	10%	116	+2.8	.245/.327/.397	.152	.276	16	4	17%	10%	107	+2.2	.233/.317/.379	.146	.266	15	3	18%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Aaron Altherr 2018 · MLB	27	49→51	52→55	51→50	48	.246/.318/.421	.175	.303	18	13	25%	8%	109	+2.4	.212/.295/.361	.149	.285	16	10	30%	9%	85	+0.7	.178/.270/.308	.130	.245	14	9	31%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Chris Heisey 2012 · MLB	27	47→52	55	51→55	45	.249/.306/.431	.182	.287	23	12	23%	6%	108	+2.3	.241/.292/.395	.154	.290	17	11	23%	5%	92	+1.2	.235/.281/.376	.141	.282	14	11	22%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Jason Rogers 2016 · MLB	28	50→53	52→55	49→45	48	.253/.312/.420	.167	.295	20	5	22%	8%	106	+2.2	.247/.306/.373	.126	.300	14	4	21%	8%	92	+1.2	.243/.302/.349	.107	.295	11	3	21%	7%	80	+0.2
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2012 · MLB	28	46→48	52→55	51→50	43	.238/.288/.405	.168	.283	21	14	24%	6%	93	+1.3	.237/.294/.401	.164	.283	19	8	23%	7%	94	+1.3	.226/.292/.387	.161	.270	18	3	23%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Ben Francisco 2011 · MLB	29	50→56	51→55	49→55	50	.254/.321/.421	.168	.288	17	14	19%	8%	111	+2.5	.236/.307/.368	.132	.276	13	11	19%	8%	91	+1.1	.216/.286/.316	.100	.261	9	7	20%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Joe Mather 2010 · MLB	28	40→45	56→60	51→50	46	.220/.285/.407	.187	.238	24	12	20%	6%	92	+1.2	.216/.270/.339	.123	.269	12	10	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.206/.260/.310	.104	.261	10	8	24%	7%	52	-0.7
●Bubba Trammell 2001 · MLB	29	51→49	54→55	53→40	55	.259/.336/.441	.182	.288	21	10	18%	10%	122	+3.3	.254/.330/.442	.188	.268	24	4	15%	10%	120	+3.1	.250/.330/.439	.188	.258	25	2	15%	10%	115	+2.3
●Juan Encarnacion 2005 · MLB	29	50→58	52→55	49→50	49	.255/.310/.428	.173	.274	19	13	15%	7%	108	+2.3	.267/.320/.429	.162	.297	18	8	16%	6%	112	+2.6	.272/.324/.428	.156	.303	17	6	16%	6%	109	+2.0
✕Gregory Polanco 2020 · MLB	28	48→55	55→60	53→55	52	.246/.319/.438	.192	.285	22	12	22%	9%	114	+2.7	.221/.292/.402	.181	.278	23	16	28%	9%	94	+1.3	.201/.272/.373	.171	.249	24	19	29%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Rusney Castillo 2015 · MLB	28	51→59	54→45	54→50	51	.264/.334/.444	.180	.293	22	17	19%	8%	122	+3.3	.251/.292/.363	.112	.298	11	15	19%	5%	82	+0.5	.266/.299/.383	.117	.306	12	12	17%	3%	86	+0.6
✕Alex Guerrero 2015 · AAA	28	48	53→60	54→45	39	.249/.287/.427	.178	.292	21	9	23%	4%	98	+1.6	.232/.267/.400	.168	.273	21	8	24%	4%	82	+0.5	.232/.262/.424	.192	.266	28	3	25%	3%	88	+0.3
✕Valentino Pascucci 2007 · MLB	28	47→45	50→55	51→45	51	.238/.322/.393	.155	.302	18	11	26%	10%	104	+2.0	.227/.311/.415	.188	.291	24	7	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.213/.299/.386	.173	.274	23	5	30%	10%	90	+0.9
●Eric Byrnes 2003 · MLB	27	47→57	54→60	56→60	48	.245/.309/.425	.181	.264	21	13	17%	7%	107	+2.2	.260/.326/.441	.181	.291	17	13	16%	8%	118	+3.0	.261/.323/.441	.179	.281	19	28	15%	7%	112	+2.5
✕Yermín Mercedes 2021 · AAA	28	47→51	53→55	49→45	44	.245/.296/.416	.172	.288	22	5	24%	6%	99	+1.7	.238/.294/.377	.139	.282	18	7	22%	7%	88	+0.9	.231/.292/.363	.132	.273	17	6	22%	7%	80	+0.2
●Connor Joe 2022 · MLB	29	48→51	51→50	44→45	54	.242/.333/.407	.165	.289	19	4	23%	11%	112	+2.6	.236/.328/.379	.143	.291	13	6	22%	11%	102	+1.9	.229/.326/.366	.137	.285	11	5	22%	11%	95	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)