Manuel Gamez

P DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL Rangers B…	12	43	4.43	4.25	21.5%	8.7%	—	K 14.6% · BB 10.9% · FIP 5.93
2027PROJ	18	MLBTEX	24	25	4.84	4.84	19.8%	10.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLBTEX	19	20	4.69	4.64	20.7%	9.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBrandon Komar (age 20) · Jostin Florentino (age 18) · Harold Cortijo (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%19.8%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP25

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	12	0	43	172	37	15	6	0%	3.6	14.6%	10.9%	3.7%	4.9%	4.43	5.93	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	12	0	43	172	37	15	6	0%	3.6	14.6%	10.9%	3.7%	4.9%	4.43	5.93	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	12	0	43	172	37	15	6	0%	3.6	21.5%	8.7%	12.8%	3.5%	4.43	4.25	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	TEX	24	0	25	106	21	11	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	3.1%	4.84	4.84	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TEX	38	0	40	170	35	17	5	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.9%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.64	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	TEX	19	0	20	84	18	8	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.9%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	84	17	8	3	0%	1.0	20.7%	9.9%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.26	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	81	30	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.9%	10.9%	3.0%	4.69	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		12	0	43	172	25	19	8	0%	3.6	14.6%	10.9%	3.7%	4.9%	4.43	5.93	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	0	200	806	118	88	39	0%	3.6	14.6%	10.9%	3.7%	4.9%	4.43	5.93	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Gamez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	19.8%	10.5%	3.1%	—	4.64	20.7%	10.9%	40	-0.20	—	—	—
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	81
Jostin Florentino R 2023 · 3.78 FIP	18	SU	3.78	16.5%	8.7%	1.8%	.330	4.05	21.2%	10.5%	179	+0.27	2.58	215	81
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	79
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	78
Diego Blanco R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	18	SU	4.77	17.7%	12.4%	2.9%	.269	4.08	14.7%	1.6%	29	-0.69	3.51	102	77
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	77
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	77
Tyler Gray R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	18.2%	11.7%	2.6%	.333	4.41	11.9%	3.6%	72	-0.08	4.41	119	77
Dariel Francia R 2024 · 3.84 FIP	18	SU	3.84	20.5%	14.4%	1.2%	.287	5.79	19.7%	-3.8%	65	+1.95	3.84	134	77
Fauris Guerrero R 2015 · 3.88 FIP	18	SU	3.88	15.5%	10.7%	1.3%	.282	3.54	16.3%	9.8%	115	-0.34	3.30	165	76
Wilmis Paulino R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	18	SU	4.65	12.3%	7.3%	3.0%	.298	3.59	20.7%	10.5%	71	-1.06	3.02	151	76
Greiber Mendez R 2022 · 4.92 FIP	18	SU	4.92	15.7%	11.5%	3.1%	.330	4.78	16.7%	2.5%	152	-0.14	3.64	247	75
Heitor Tokar R 2019 · 4.22 FIP	18	SW	4.22	13.7%	9.5%	1.9%	.275	5.06	15.2%	6.1%	130	+0.84	2.46	209	75
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	74
Kevin Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	18	SU	4.37	17.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.279	4.14	16.7%	7.6%	41	-0.23	2.34	188	74
Andre Sanchez R 2022 · 4.60 FIP	19	SU	4.60	16.7%	15.1%	1.8%	.261	5.88	12.1%	-5.1%	165	+1.28	4.60	209	73
Kevin Tejada R 2023 · 3.97 FIP	18	SU	3.97	17.4%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	5.53	13.1%	2.7%	78	+1.56	3.97	108	73
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	73
Jesus Gamez R 2024 · 3.81 FIP	21	SU	3.81	25.4%	14.0%	2.0%	.321	4.28	27.2%	2.8%	77	+0.47	3.42	105	73
Carlos Gutierrez R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	15.1%	7.1%	3.6%	.326	3.08	18.3%	6.2%	47	-1.63	3.08	122	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	20.4%	10.1%	1.18	4.75
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*