Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 13 | 2 | 44 | 191 | 47 | 23 | 2 | 15% | 3.4 | 16.7% | 15.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 5.11 | 4.93 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 13 | 2 | 44 | 191 | 47 | 23 | 2 | 15% | 3.4 | 24.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 1.0% | 5.11 | 3.12 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 2 | 35 | 161 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 13% | 2.3 | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.79 | 5.59 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 2 | 35 | 161 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 13% | 2.3 | 22.4% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 3.7% | 7.79 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 24 | 19 | 86 | 412 | 69 | 65 | 7 | 79% | 3.6 | 12.4% | 18.6% | -6.2% | 2.9% | 6.88 | 6.00 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 24 | 19 | 86 | 412 | 69 | 65 | 7 | 79% | 3.6 | 16.7% | 15.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 6.88 | 4.81 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 20 | 10 | 54 | 282 | 42 | 45 | 7 | 50% | 2.7 | 11.0% | 18.8% | -7.8% | 3.0% | 8.28 | 6.21 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 20 | 10 | 54 | 282 | 42 | 45 | 7 | 50% | 2.7 | 14.9% | 16.0% | -1.1% | 2.5% | 8.28 | 5.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 26 | 54 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.0% | 20.9% | -10.9% | 3.0% | 6.93 | 6.93 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 35 | 49 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.1% | 18.3% | -5.2% | 3.0% | 6.46 | 6.32 | -1.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 40 | 45 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.0% | 16.7% | -1.7% | 3.0% | 6.09 | 5.95 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 15 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 18.3% | -5.2% | 3.0% | 6.46 | 6.32 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 27 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.0% | 16.7% | -1.7% | 3.0% | 6.09 | 5.95 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 42 | 51 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 17.3% | -3.1% | 3.0% | 6.23 | 5.71 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 121 | 147 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 17.3% | -3.1% | 3.0% | 6.23 | 5.71 | -0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 33 | 219 | 1046 | 135 | 173 | 32 | 46% | 3.0 | 12.9% | 16.5% | -3.6% | 3.1% | 7.02 | 5.80 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 30 | 200 | 954 | 123 | 158 | 29 | 46% | 3.0 | 12.9% | 16.5% | -3.6% | 3.1% | 7.02 | 5.80 | -0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andre Sanchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.93 | 10.0% | 20.9% | 3.0% | — | 6.13 | 14.0% | -3.4% | 127 | -0.80 | — | — | — |
| Ted Stuka R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 83 |
| Drew Conover R 2026 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 80 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.06 | 12.6% | 24.0% | 1.8% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 144 | 79 |
| Erling Moreno R 2025 · 6.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.08 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 2.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 213 | 78 |
| Kendy Richard R 2024 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 76 |
| Jake Miller R 2026 · 5.95 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.95 | 7.5% | 18.0% | 2.2% | .216 | 4.50 | 17.0% | 6.0% | 146 | -1.45 | 3.72 | 191 | 73 |
| Oscar Verdugo R 2028 · 6.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.84 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 5.2% | .241 | 6.16 | 10.8% | -1.8% | 74 | -0.68 | 5.39 | 144 | 73 |
| Tom Robson R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.76 | 10.9% | 16.3% | 2.8% | .355 | 3.17 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 35 | -2.59 | 3.17 | 132 | 72 |
| Chance Huff R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.78 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 4.1% | .312 | 5.14 | 15.7% | -0.0% | 151 | -0.64 | 4.35 | 235 | 72 |
| Denis Diaz R 2025 · 6.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.60 | 12.8% | 19.4% | 3.9% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 129 | 72 |
| Michael Petersen R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.81 | 14.8% | 17.5% | 3.2% | .336 | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.9% | 122 | -1.53 | 3.05 | 381 | 72 |
| Diego Dugarte R 2024 · 7.34 FIP | 21 | SP- | 7.34 | 11.3% | 19.9% | 4.9% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 114 | 70 |
| Mason Pelio R 2026 · 6.26 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.26 | 13.3% | 17.4% | 3.8% | .255 | 5.74 | 9.0% | -12.8% | 26 | -0.52 | 5.74 | 122 | 69 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.84 | 16.6% | 14.9% | 4.1% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 68 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.16 | 12.8% | 11.6% | 4.9% | .229 | 3.94 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 115 | -2.22 | 3.09 | 195 | 68 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 6.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.33 | 18.5% | 15.9% | 5.1% | .302 | 4.59 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 284 | -1.74 | 4.09 | 414 | 68 |
| Karsen Lindell R 2024 · 6.72 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.72 | 9.8% | 19.0% | 3.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.94 | 112 | 68 |
| Luke Anderson R 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.07 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 4.7% | .363 | 5.70 | 15.4% | -11.1% | 34 | -0.37 | 5.12 | 130 | 67 |
| Taylor Hawkins R 2026 · 6.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.08 | 7.4% | 19.5% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.37 | 112 | 66 |
| Tyler Baum R 2026 · 7.96 FIP | 23 | SP- | 7.96 | 11.0% | 36.8% | 2.1% | .306 | 4.82 | 21.2% | 3.9% | 132 | -3.14 | 3.35 | 177 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 12.7% | 18.6% | 1.15 | 6.49 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |