Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 4 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.4% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.11 | 3.51 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 4 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.4% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.11 | 3.57 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 23 | 20 | 111 | 495 | 76 | 43 | 21 | 87% | 4.8 | 11.4% | 10.3% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 4.93 | 5.59 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 23 | 20 | 111 | 495 | 76 | 43 | 21 | 87% | 4.8 | 15.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.93 | 5.35 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 18 | 18 | 93 | 387 | 60 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.1 | 11.5% | 13.4% | -1.9% | 2.0% | 3.30 | 4.91 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 18 | 18 | 93 | 387 | 60 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.1 | 15.5% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.30 | 4.35 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 7 | 2 | 20 | 93 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 29% | 2.9 | 15.1% | 19.0% | -3.9% | 2.8% | 2.70 | 5.78 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 7 | 2 | 20 | 93 | 19 | 15 | 2 | 29% | 2.9 | 20.4% | 16.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.70 | 4.75 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 18 | 93 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.3% | 12.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 7.13 | 4.69 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 18 | 93 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 7.13 | 5.14 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 2 | 66 | 266 | 78 | 32 | 2 | 7% | 2.4 | 22.0% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 1.0% | 3.39 | 3.58 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 2 | 66 | 266 | 78 | 32 | 2 | 7% | 2.4 | 29.3% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 0.8% | 3.39 | 2.59 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 40 | 183 | 48 | 29 | 5 | 6% | 2.2 | 19.1% | 18.1% | 1.0% | 5.7% | 4.24 | 6.92 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 40 | 183 | 48 | 29 | 5 | 6% | 2.2 | 26.2% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 4.40 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 112 | 43 | 355 | 1548 | 228 | 207 | 45 | 38% | 3.2 | 14.7% | 13.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 5.15 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 24 | 200 | 873 | 128 | 117 | 25 | 38% | 3.2 | 14.7% | 13.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyree Thompson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 22.8% | 10.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.78 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 24 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 75 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 71 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 70 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 69 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 68 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 67 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 67 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 67 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 66 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 66 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 66 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 65 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 64 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 64 |
| David Lebron R 2024 · 5.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.07 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 144 | 64 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 64 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 64 |
| Nathan Eovaldi R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.49 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 5.2% | .309 | 3.24 | 24.6% | 20.4% | 340 | -2.25 | 2.49 | 1,354 | 63 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 63 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 63 |