Dan Hammer — OGILVIE

Dan Hammer P Syracuse Mets

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%19.4%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%4.2%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	13	2	20	120	23	35	0	15%	1.5	13.0%	36.5%	-23.4%	0.0%	12.36	6.62	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Orange	13	2	20	120	23	35	0	15%	1.5	19.2%	29.2%	-10.0%	0.0%	12.36	6.10	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	9	80	379	92	73	10	36%	3.2	18.3%	22.4%	-4.2%	3.1%	5.65	6.09	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	9	80	379	92	73	10	36%	3.2	24.3%	19.3%	5.0%	2.6%	5.65	5.17	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	33	154	56	31	1	0%	1.1	30.0%	20.4%	9.6%	1.2%	4.13	3.81	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	33	154	56	31	1	0%	1.1	30.0%	20.4%	9.6%	1.2%	4.13	3.81	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	33	154	56	31	1	0%	1.1	36.4%	20.1%	16.2%	0.6%	4.13	2.92	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	44	193	51	26	5	0%	1.4	21.8%	15.1%	6.7%	2.6%	4.67	4.62	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	44	193	51	26	5	0%	1.4	21.8%	15.1%	6.7%	2.6%	4.67	4.62	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	44	193	51	26	5	0%	1.4	26.4%	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	4.67	4.02	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	31	1	38	196	40	29	3	3%	1.2	16.5%	16.3%	0.3%	2.0%	6.57	4.86	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	31	1	38	196	40	29	3	3%	1.2	16.5%	16.3%	0.3%	2.0%	6.57	4.86	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	31	1	38	196	40	29	3	3%	1.2	20.4%	14.8%	5.6%	1.5%	6.57	4.30	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	43	2	52	228	60	39	3	5%	1.2	21.7%	15.7%	5.9%	1.5%	3.98	4.11	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	43	2	52	228	60	39	3	5%	1.2	21.7%	15.7%	5.9%	1.5%	3.98	4.11	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	NYM	10	0	13	54	17	4	2	0%	1.3	31.5%	7.4%	24.1%	3.7%	2.77	3.41	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	NYM	33	2	39	174	43	35	1	6%	1.2	24.7%	20.1%	4.6%	0.6%	4.38	3.88	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYM	20	0	22	91	18	13	3	0%	1.1	19.6%	14.9%	4.7%	2.9%	5.27	5.32	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYM	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	14.9%	4.7%	2.9%	5.27	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	33	7	5	1	0%	1.0	19.6%	14.9%	4.7%	2.9%	5.27	4.94	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	126	25	0%	1.1	19.6%	14.9%	4.7%	2.9%	5.27	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		173	14	267	1270	255	257	26	8%	1.5	20.1%	20.2%	-0.2%	2.1%	5.60	5.10	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	10	200	952	191	193	20	8%	1.5	20.1%	20.2%	-0.2%	2.1%	5.60	5.10	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dan Hammer (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	19.4%	15.2%	2.8%	—	5.32	19.6%	4.7%	22	+0.03	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	88
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	83
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	82
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	81
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	81
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	80
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	79
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	79
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	79
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	79
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	78
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	78
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	77
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	77
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	76
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	76
Brad Schreiber R 2017 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	17.3%	12.7%	1.8%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	171	76