Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | 13 | 2 | 20 | 120 | 23 | 35 | 0 | 15% | 1.5 | 13.0% | 36.5% | -23.4% | 0.0% | 12.36 | 6.62 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | 13 | 2 | 20 | 120 | 23 | 35 | 0 | 15% | 1.5 | 19.2% | 29.2% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 12.36 | 6.10 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 9 | 80 | 379 | 92 | 73 | 10 | 36% | 3.2 | 18.3% | 22.4% | -4.2% | 2.8% | 5.65 | 5.96 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 9 | 80 | 379 | 92 | 73 | 10 | 36% | 3.2 | 24.3% | 19.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 5.65 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 33 | 154 | 56 | 31 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.0% | 20.4% | 9.6% | 1.3% | 4.13 | 3.88 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 33 | 154 | 56 | 31 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 36.4% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 0.6% | 4.13 | 2.92 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 44 | 193 | 51 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 4.67 | 4.38 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 44 | 193 | 51 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 4.67 | 4.02 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 31 | 1 | 38 | 196 | 40 | 29 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 16.5% | 16.3% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 6.57 | 4.96 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 31 | 1 | 38 | 196 | 40 | 29 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 14.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 6.57 | 4.30 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 27 | 1 | 33 | 144 | 38 | 21 | 2 | 4% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 2.16 | 4.08 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYM | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYM | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 56 | 239 | 58 | 33 | 5 | — | — | 24.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 3.22 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.88 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.49 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 98 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 13 | 248 | 1186 | 238 | 243 | 24 | 8% | 1.6 | 20.1% | 20.5% | -0.5% | 2.0% | 5.48 | 5.11 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 10 | 200 | 956 | 192 | 196 | 19 | 8% | 1.6 | 20.1% | 20.5% | -0.5% | 2.0% | 5.48 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dan Hammer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.80 | 21.2% | 12.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.88 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 22 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 88 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 86 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 83 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 82 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 80 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 80 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 80 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 79 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 79 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 79 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 79 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |