Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers 1 | 17 | 4 | 34 | 132 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 24% | 2.0 | 17.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.79 | 2.62 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers 1 | 17 | 4 | 34 | 132 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 24% | 2.0 | 25.0% | 6.1% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 0.79 | 1.86 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Robinson | 18 | 7 | 50 | 200 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 39% | 2.8 | 15.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 0.7% | 2.15 | 2.96 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Robinson | 18 | 7 | 50 | 200 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 39% | 2.8 | 23.0% | 5.0% | 18.0% | 0.5% | 2.15 | 2.13 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | 14 | 0 | 49 | 176 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 3.5 | 23.6% | 6.4% | 17.2% | 0.8% | 0.73 | 2.36 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | 14 | 0 | 49 | 176 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 3.5 | 34.7% | 5.1% | 29.5% | 0.6% | 0.73 | 1.43 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 11 | 1 | 29 | 138 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 9% | 2.6 | 15.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.91 | 5.54 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 11 | 1 | 29 | 138 | 29 | 9 | 5 | 9% | 2.6 | 21.0% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 3.6% | 6.91 | 4.29 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 3 | 67 | 276 | 91 | 24 | 6 | 12% | 2.8 | 24.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 3.07 | 3.84 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 3 | 67 | 276 | 91 | 24 | 6 | 12% | 2.8 | 33.0% | 8.7% | 24.3% | 2.2% | 3.07 | 2.62 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 16 | 5 | 44 | 204 | 39 | 30 | 6 | 31% | 2.7 | 14.7% | 16.9% | -2.2% | 4.1% | 5.98 | 6.23 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 16 | 5 | 44 | 204 | 39 | 30 | 6 | 31% | 2.7 | 19.1% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.98 | 5.16 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 87 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 100 | 20 | 273 | 1126 | 214 | 108 | 26 | 20% | 2.7 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 3.07 | 3.95 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 15 | 200 | 825 | 157 | 79 | 19 | 20% | 2.7 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 3.07 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adolfo Ramirez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.52 | 22.8% | 13.0% | 25 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 76 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 76 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 76 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 76 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 75 |
| Brayden Spears R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 75 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 74 |
| Wil Jensen R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 73 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 73 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 73 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 73 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 73 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 73 |
| Dylan King R 2024 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 73 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 72 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .255 | 4.31 | 15.9% | 2.3% | 20 | +0.30 | 4.01 | 254 | 72 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 72 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 72 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 1.19 | 4.46 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |