Blaze Pontes
P
Midland RockHounds
Age 26
RHP
5'10" / 195 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150140vR 131
ERA5.83
FIP5.83
K%10.0%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%-3.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 9.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 9.00 | 4.22 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 39 | 1 | 61 | 265 | 65 | 21 | 3 | 3% | 1.6 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 3.23 | 3.66 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 39 | 1 | 61 | 265 | 65 | 21 | 3 | 3% | 1.6 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 16.6% | 1.1% | 3.23 | 2.64 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 26 | 10 | 88 | 406 | 44 | 40 | 11 | 38% | 3.4 | 8.3% | 11.3% | -3.0% | 4.6% | 7.36 | 6.37 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 26 | 10 | 88 | 406 | 44 | 40 | 11 | 38% | 3.4 | 10.8% | 9.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 7.36 | 5.09 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 42 | 0 | 50 | 217 | 38 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.5% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 1.79 | 3.37 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 42 | 0 | 50 | 217 | 38 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 1.79 | 2.84 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 0 | 30 | 130 | 16 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.7% | 15.4% | -5.7% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 30 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.0% | 13.2% | -3.1% | 2.8% | 5.83 | 5.83 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.0% | 13.2% | -3.1% | 2.8% | 5.83 | 5.83 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 100 | 426 | 46 | 57 | 8 | — | — | 10.7% | 13.4% | -2.7% | 1.9% | 5.43 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 10.0% | 13.2% | -3.1% | 2.8% | 5.83 | 5.44 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 33 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.3% | 12.8% | -1.5% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 5.71 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 34 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.1% | 12.7% | -0.6% | 3.0% | 5.65 | 5.69 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 34 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.4% | 12.8% | -0.3% | 3.1% | 5.69 | 5.75 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.3% | 12.8% | -1.5% | 2.8% | 5.70 | 5.71 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.1% | 12.7% | -0.6% | 3.0% | 5.65 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.4% | 12.8% | -0.3% | 3.1% | 5.69 | 5.75 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 57 | 61 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.0% | 12.8% | -0.7% | 3.0% | 5.68 | 5.34 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 101 | 109 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.0% | 12.8% | -0.7% | 3.0% | 5.68 | 5.34 | +0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 137 | 11 | 238 | 1054 | 129 | 117 | 24 | 8% | 1.7 | 12.2% | 11.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.81 | 4.73 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 9 | 200 | 887 | 108 | 98 | 20 | 8% | 1.7 | 12.2% | 11.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.81 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blaze Pontes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.83 | 10.0% | 13.2% | 2.8% | — | 5.72 | 11.9% | -0.8% | 200 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 1.4% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 172 | 82 |
| Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 82 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 82 |
| Trey Haley R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 82 |
| Mike Hepple R 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 82 |
| Justin Camp R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 82 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.84 | 13.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 185 | 81 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.20 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 104 | 80 |
| Will Carter R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 11.1% | 14.3% | 1.7% | .278 | 3.81 | 20.3% | 4.6% | 67 | -1.10 | 3.11 | 335 | 80 |
| Jason Jester R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.81 | 11.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.05 | 17.6% | 12.5% | 60 | -1.76 | 2.62 | 229 | 80 |
| Jake Christianson R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 188 | 80 |
| Norman Elenes R 2025 · 5.15 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.15 | 10.4% | 14.5% | 2.0% | .324 | 5.08 | 7.8% | -1.5% | 37 | -0.07 | 3.84 | 169 | 79 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.96 | 9.1% | 10.1% | 2.4% | .302 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 10.6% | 110 | -1.30 | 3.62 | 125 | 79 |
| Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.61 | 15.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .294 | 4.31 | 18.2% | 3.7% | 31 | -1.30 | 4.31 | 164 | 79 |
| Hunter Breault R 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.75 | 7.6% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 186 | 78 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Landon Tomkins R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.15 | 10.7% | 15.1% | 1.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 161 | 78 |
| Tyler Burch R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.70 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 119 | 78 |
| Aaron Cohn R 2024 · 5.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.87 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 4.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.72 | 106 | 78 |
| Jaycob Deese R 2026 · 5.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.90 | 13.4% | 13.9% | 4.0% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 185 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 11.4% | 12.9% | 1.13 | 5.72 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |