Greiber Mendez — OGILVIE

Greiber Mendez P Bradenton Marauders

+0.0 WAR

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs A peak 0.6 · 2029

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.8%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%9.6%

IP62

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2029

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	—	—	—	27.00	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	16	0	33	152	35	14	3	15.7%	11.5%	3.3%	3.78	5.05	-0.0
2023	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	16	1	28	118	33	11	1	19.0%	11.7%	1.3%	1.27	3.66	+0.4
2024	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	25	0	49	213	53	25	6	17.5%	14.4%	4.0%	3.49	5.63	-0.4
2025	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	35	3	75	313	65	40	4	15.4%	15.1%	1.8%	3.50	4.70	+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	4	0	7	32	8	3	0	—	—	—	4.91	—	—
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	11	11	62	263	50	36	8	19.0%	13.8%	2.9%	5.19	5.19	-0.2
2026 Total	22	MLB	PIT	—	—	70	295	58	39	8	19.7%	13.3%	2.5%	5.16	4.64	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	23	MLB	PIT	12	12	65	273	55	35	8	20.2%	12.7%	2.8%	5.00	4.94	+0.0
2028	24	MLB	PIT	12	12	66	280	59	34	8	21.0%	12.0%	2.8%	4.85	4.78	+0.2
2029	25	MLB	PIT	12	12	67	283	61	33	8	21.5%	11.7%	2.8%	4.74	4.69	+0.2
2030	26	MLB	PIT	12	12	67	283	61	33	8	21.7%	11.6%	2.8%	4.69	4.66	+0.3
2031	27	MLB	PIT	12	12	66	281	61	33	8	21.8%	11.6%	2.8%	4.68	4.67	+0.3
2032	28	MLB	PIT	12	12	66	277	60	32	8	21.7%	11.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.69	+0.2
2033	29	MLB	PIT	12	12	64	270	58	32	8	21.6%	11.8%	2.9%	4.72	4.74	+0.2
2034	30	MLB	PIT	11	11	62	262	56	31	8	21.4%	11.9%	3.0%	4.77	4.80	+0.1
2035	31	MLB	PIT	60	—	60	253	53	30	8	21.1%	12.0%	3.0%	4.83	4.88	+0.0
2036	32	MLB	PIT	58	—	58	243	51	29	8	20.8%	12.1%	3.1%	4.91	4.96	-0.0
2037	33	MLB	PIT	55	—	55	232	48	29	7	20.5%	12.3%	3.2%	5.00	5.06	-0.1
2038	34	MLB	PIT	52	—	52	220	44	28	7	20.2%	12.5%	3.3%	5.10	5.17	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	PIT	49	—	49	208	41	26	7	19.8%	12.7%	3.4%	5.22	5.29	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			97	4	193	834	141	112	21	16.9%	13.4%	2.5%	3.31	4.74	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—			101	4	200	864	146	116	22	16.9%	13.4%	2.5%	3.31	4.74	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Greiber Mendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	19.0%	13.8%	2.9%	—	4.80	20.9%	8.7%	198	-0.39	—	—	—
Jhonny Polanco R 2027 · 4.74 FIP	23	SW	4.74	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.09	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.65	4.09	116	94
Kohl Franklin R 2026 · 5.27 FIP	22	SW	5.27	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.64	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.37	5.27	174	93
Nick Garcia R 2026 · 4.54 FIP	22	SW	4.54	18.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.274	5.03	17.3%	5.9%	265	+0.49	4.28	355	93
Josh Harlow R 2027 · 5.24 FIP	23	SW	5.24	18.5%	13.5%	3.6%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.49	5.24	107	92
Josh White R 2026 · 5.09 FIP	22	SW	5.09	17.7%	13.9%	3.1%	.244	2.57	29.9%	19.6%	126	-2.52	1.89	191	92
Alec Barger R 2027 · 4.51 FIP	23	SW	4.51	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.34	3.86	242	91
Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.61	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.16	4.10	174	91
Mario Alcantara R 2026 · 4.84 FIP	22	SW	4.84	16.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.292	4.63	17.0%	0.9%	97	-0.21	4.32	171	91
Anyelo Gómez R 2027 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	17.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-1.97	2.66	145	91
Khristian Curtis R 2026 · 5.50 FIP	22	SW	5.50	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.57	19.5%	8.6%	122	-0.93	4.45	198	90
Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.78	16.2%	5.7%	316	+0.22	3.98	371	90
Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.71 FIP	22	SW	4.71	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.34	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.63	4.71	137	90
Miguel Guerrero R 2026 · 5.40 FIP	22	SW	5.40	17.0%	13.9%	3.6%	.324	4.56	18.1%	7.8%	57	-0.84	4.56	171	90
Cade Winquest R 2027 · 4.37 FIP	23	SW	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.94	18.5%	7.4%	135	-0.43	3.84	213	90
Ben Hecht R 2027 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	18.3%	14.4%	1.9%	.265	4.51	22.7%	9.8%	58	+0.09	4.42	155	90
Cole Hillier R 2027 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	16.9%	14.7%	2.1%	.297	3.79	18.1%	3.6%	58	-0.89	3.79	117	89
Seth McGarry R 2026 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	16.9%	12.3%	1.9%	.320	4.27	17.9%	6.4%	201	+0.01	3.40	261	89
Aaron Hernandez R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.77	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.05	4.61	194	89
David Trexler R 2028 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	89
Christian Roa R 2026 · 4.94 FIP	22	SW	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	5.00	22.7%	6.2%	260	+0.06	4.35	373	89

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.