Greiber Mendez
P
Bradenton Marauders
Age 22
RHP
6'0" / 150 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 132
ERA5.87
FIP5.87
K%14.9%
BB%16.3%
K-BB%-1.4%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.3 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 1.69 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.3 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | -2.90 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL PIT Black | 16 | 0 | 33 | 152 | 35 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.7% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.78 | 5.12 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL PIT Black | 16 | 0 | 33 | 152 | 35 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 2.0% | 3.78 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 16 | 1 | 28 | 118 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 6% | 1.8 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 1.27 | 3.66 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 16 | 1 | 28 | 118 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 6% | 1.8 | 28.0% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.8% | 1.27 | 2.39 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 53 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 2.0 | 17.5% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.49 | 5.65 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 53 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 2.0 | 24.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 3.49 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 35 | 3 | 75 | 313 | 65 | 40 | 4 | 9% | 2.1 | 15.4% | 15.1% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 3.50 | 4.77 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 35 | 3 | 75 | 313 | 65 | 40 | 4 | 9% | 2.1 | 20.8% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 1.3% | 3.50 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 24 | 0 | 40 | 183 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.6% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.25 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | PIT | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 33 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 16.3% | -1.4% | 2.9% | 5.87 | 5.87 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.9% | 16.3% | -1.4% | 2.9% | 5.87 | 5.87 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 93 | 405 | 69 | 51 | 11 | — | — | 17.0% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 6.03 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | PIT | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 39 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.56 | 5.46 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | PIT | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.32 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | PIT | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.56 | 5.46 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | PIT | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 30 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.32 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 49 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 13.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.42 | 4.93 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 119 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 13.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.42 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 4 | 226 | 985 | 159 | 127 | 28 | 3% | 1.9 | 16.2% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 4.91 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 104 | 4 | 200 | 872 | 141 | 112 | 25 | 3% | 1.9 | 16.2% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 4.91 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Greiber Mendez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.87 | 14.9% | 16.3% | 2.9% | — | 5.33 | 17.5% | 3.5% | 110 | -0.54 | — | — | — |
| Cory Thompson R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.42 | 15.2% | 15.7% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.28 | 16.3% | 10.6% | 131 | -1.14 | 3.48 | 218 | 91 |
| Ocean Gabonia R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.94 | 15.4% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.31 | 19.1% | 10.9% | 91 | -1.63 | 2.79 | 144 | 90 |
| Noah Takacs R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.82 | 12.5% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .301 | 5.77 | 13.8% | -2.3% | 83 | -0.05 | 5.15 | 122 | 90 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2028 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 89 |
| Cole Hillier R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 16.9% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.61 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 95 | -0.08 | 3.72 | 153 | 88 |
| Fabian Anguamea R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.91 | 16.6% | 15.2% | 2.3% | .295 | 4.45 | 15.8% | 1.8% | 96 | -0.46 | 3.94 | 164 | 87 |
| German Taveras R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.78 | 13.6% | 13.5% | 2.0% | .265 | 7.24 | 10.9% | -4.8% | 47 | +2.46 | 4.78 | 108 | 87 |
| Jack Jasiak R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.01 | 12.1% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.05 | 19.1% | 11.1% | 179 | -0.96 | 3.25 | 248 | 87 |
| Mario Alcantara R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.86 | 16.2% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.71 | 17.0% | 0.9% | 97 | -0.15 | 4.55 | 171 | 87 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.49 | 13.0% | 15.4% | 2.8% | .305 | 3.96 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 152 | -1.53 | 3.52 | 171 | 87 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 87 |
| Audry Lugo R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 17.6% | 15.8% | 2.1% | .333 | 5.73 | 13.7% | -2.6% | 39 | +0.94 | 4.05 | 113 | 85 |
| Stefan Raeth R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 8.3% | 124 | -0.03 | 4.36 | 173 | 85 |
| Jacinto Arredondo R 2027 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.22 | 14.4% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.89 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 50 | -0.33 | 4.89 | 101 | 85 |
| Miguel Guerrero R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.58 | 17.0% | 13.9% | 3.9% | .324 | 4.49 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 57 | -1.09 | 4.49 | 171 | 85 |
| Brett Hanewich R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.18 | 15.9% | 17.6% | 2.2% | .372 | 4.32 | 20.3% | 2.8% | 108 | -0.86 | 4.25 | 134 | 84 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.32 | 13.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .306 | 6.84 | 18.7% | 2.9% | 63 | +1.52 | 5.32 | 117 | 84 |
| Tyler Smith R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.30 | 17.8% | 14.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 4.45 | 19.8% | 7.8% | 94 | -0.85 | 3.48 | 121 | 84 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2027 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 83 |
| Alexis Torres R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.11 | 16.6% | 14.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 2.72 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 16 | -2.39 | 2.72 | 130 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 16.6% | 14.7% | 1.10 | 5.58 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |