Wilmis Paulino — OGILVIE

Wilmis Paulino P ACL Rockies

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 181 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%19.3%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	11	42	196	35	15	7	100%	3.8	12.1%	9.6%	2.6%	5.2%	7.23	6.12	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	11	42	196	35	15	7	100%	3.8	12.1%	9.6%	2.6%	5.2%	7.23	6.12	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	11	11	42	196	35	15	7	100%	3.8	17.9%	7.7%	10.2%	3.6%	7.23	4.66	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	12	0	38	155	28	9	4	0%	3.2	12.3%	7.3%	5.0%	3.0%	2.84	4.65	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	12	0	38	155	28	9	4	0%	3.2	12.3%	7.3%	5.0%	3.0%	2.84	4.65	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	12	0	38	155	28	9	4	0%	3.2	18.1%	5.8%	12.3%	2.6%	2.84	3.71	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	35	166	34	15	3	0%	1.3	17.3%	10.9%	6.4%	0.0%	6.69	3.02	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	35	166	34	15	3	0%	1.3	17.3%	10.9%	6.4%	0.0%	6.69	3.02	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	35	166	34	15	3	0%	1.3	20.5%	9.0%	11.4%	1.8%	6.69	3.56	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	30	0	41	175	58	14	4	0%	1.4	23.2%	9.7%	13.5%	3.0%	4.39	4.00	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	30	0	41	175	58	14	4	0%	1.4	23.2%	9.7%	13.5%	3.0%	4.39	4.00	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	COL	22	0	26	105	38	7	0	0%	1.2	36.2%	6.7%	29.5%	0.0%	2.39	0.89	—
2026	20	A RAW	COL	8	0	15	70	20	7	4	0%	1.8	28.6%	10.0%	18.6%	5.7%	7.98	5.09	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	40	0	42	178	36	16	5	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.1%	11.3%	2.9%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	20	0	21	89	18	8	3	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.1%	11.3%	2.9%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	88	18	8	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.1%	11.3%	2.9%	4.54	4.11	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	77	29	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.1%	11.3%	2.9%	4.54	4.11	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		80	11	156	692	112	65	20	14%	2.0	16.2%	9.4%	6.8%	2.9%	5.30	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	14	200	885	143	83	26	14%	2.0	16.2%	9.4%	6.8%	2.9%	5.30	4.51	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmis Paulino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	19.3%	9.5%	2.9%	—	4.49	20.3%	11.3%	42	-0.16	—	—	—
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	93
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	88
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	88
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	87
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	87
Yeuris Jimenez R 2021 · 4.42 FIP	20	SU	4.42	16.3%	9.6%	2.7%	.290	4.24	18.1%	4.6%	162	-0.18	3.32	328	87
Osiris German R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.15	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.11	3.11	187	87
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	86
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	86
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	86
Carlos Campos R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	20	SU	4.82	20.4%	10.7%	3.8%	.304	5.85	15.3%	8.1%	19	+1.03	4.82	134	86
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	85
Enmanuel Marcano R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	20	SU	4.32	21.1%	8.4%	3.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	138	85
Kevin Tejada R 2023 · 3.97 FIP	18	SU	3.97	17.4%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	5.53	13.1%	2.7%	78	+1.56	3.97	108	85
Scarlyn Lebron R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SU	3.59	19.1%	9.0%	1.8%	.250	4.95	15.1%	-1.2%	77	+1.36	3.59	136	85
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	85
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	85
Jose Diaz R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SU	3.97	17.9%	10.4%	1.9%	.326	5.52	19.2%	1.1%	64	+1.55	3.91	189	85
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	85
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.52	483	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	20.0%	9.2%	1.12	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38