Fabian Gonzalez

IF DSL Mariners

Age 18 L/R ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKSEA	166	.315/.485/.403	1	20	82	—	.215/.358/.274
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSEA	276	.215/.304/.288	2	7	72	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSEA	78	.218/.308/.299	1	2	77	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSEA	173	.222/.312/.311	2	4	82	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%93

wOBA89

BB%89

wRC+86

K%67

Whiff%61

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAngel Guzman (age 18) · Alberto Rodriguez (age 18) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .302 / .285

PA138

HR1

K%25

BB%10

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	166	124	39	8	0	1	37	30	4	20	2	315	485	403	888	89	404	18	22	411	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	166	135	29	5	0	1	26	37	4	20	2	215	358	274	632	59	280	22	16	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	166	135	29	5	0	1	26	37	4	20	2	215	358	274	632	59	286	22	16	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	166	124	39	8	0	1	37	30	4	20	2	315	485	403	888	89	404	18	22	411	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	166	135	29	5	0	1	26	37	4	20	2	215	358	274	632	59	280	22	16	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	166	135	29	5	0	1	26	37	4	20	2	215	358	274	632	59	280	22	16	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	276	243	52	9	1	2	28	69	3	7	1	215	304	288	592	73	289	25	10	274	72	-9	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	226	198	44	8	1	2	23	56	3	6	1	220	309	302	611	83	291	25	10	282	77	-6	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	358	314	70	12	2	4	36	88	5	9	2	224	313	315	629	92	293	25	10	289	82	-8	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	457	401	91	16	2	7	46	111	7	12	3	227	316	327	643	100	294	24	10	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	526	461	106	18	3	9	52	126	8	13	3	230	318	336	655	107	294	24	10	299	88	-7	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	574	504	117	20	3	10	57	137	8	14	3	232	320	345	665	113	295	24	10	302	91	-6	+2	+0	+0	+12	0.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	605	531	123	21	3	11	60	144	9	15	3	233	321	349	670	115	296	24	10	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+0	+13	0.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	623	547	128	22	3	12	62	148	9	16	3	234	322	351	673	117	296	24	10	305	93	-5	+2	+0	+0	+13	1.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	631	555	129	22	3	12	62	150	9	16	4	234	322	353	675	119	296	24	10	306	93	-5	+2	+0	+0	+14	1.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	632	555	129	22	3	12	63	152	9	16	4	233	321	350	671	117	295	24	10	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+0	+14	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	627	551	128	22	3	12	62	152	9	15	4	231	319	345	664	114	294	24	10	302	90	-7	+1	-1	+0	+14	0.7
2038	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	618	544	124	21	3	11	61	151	8	14	4	229	316	339	655	110	293	24	10	298	88	-9	+1	-1	+0	+13	0.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	607	535	120	20	3	10	59	151	8	14	4	225	312	331	643	105	291	25	10	293	85	-11	+1	-2	+0	+13	0.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	593	523	114	19	2	9	57	149	8	13	5	221	307	320	628	100	288	25	10	287	81	-14	+1	-3	+0	+13	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	78	69	15	3	0	1	8	19	1	2	0	218	308	299	606	81	289	24	10	280	77	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	173	151	34	6	1	2	17	42	3	4	1	222	312	311	623	90	290	24	10	287	82	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	248	217	48	8	1	3	25	60	4	6	1	225	314	322	637	98	291	24	10	292	85	-4	+1	+0	+0	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	298	262	59	10	1	5	30	72	4	8	2	228	316	332	648	104	292	24	10	296	88	-4	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.3
2032	23	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	330	289	67	11	2	6	33	79	5	8	2	230	318	340	658	110	293	24	10	300	91	-4	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.4
2033	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	345	303	70	12	2	6	34	82	5	9	2	231	319	344	663	113	294	24	10	302	92	-3	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.5
2034	25	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	353	310	72	12	2	7	35	84	5	9	2	232	320	347	666	115	294	24	10	303	93	-3	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	357	314	73	12	2	7	35	85	5	9	2	232	320	348	668	116	294	24	10	303	93	-3	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	351	308	72	12	2	7	35	84	5	9	2	231	319	346	664	115	293	24	10	302	92	-3	+1	+0	+0	+8	0.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	344	302	70	12	2	6	34	83	5	8	2	229	317	341	658	112	292	24	10	299	90	-4	+1	-0	+0	+7	0.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	330	289	65	11	1	6	33	81	5	8	2	226	314	334	648	108	290	25	10	296	88	-5	+1	-1	+0	+7	0.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	320	282	63	11	1	5	31	79	4	7	2	223	310	326	637	103	289	25	10	291	85	-6	+1	-1	+0	+7	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	309	272	60	10	1	5	30	78	4	7	2	219	305	316	622	97	285	25	10	285	81	-7	+1	-1	+0	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3836	3368	768	130	18	66	380	928	55	94	22	228	316	336	652	108	293	24	10	297	88	-52	+10	-4	+0	+83	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	130	22	3	11	64	157	9	16	4	228	315	335	650	107	292	24	10	297	88	-9	+2	-1	+0	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7381	6475	1479	253	35	123	740	1787	106	197	45	228	318	335	653	107	295	24	10	298	88	-103	+18	-7	+0	+156	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	130	22	3	11	65	157	9	17	4	228	316	335	651	107	294	24	10	298	88	-9	+2	-1	+0	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ralph Young'13-'22 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,336 PA	6.5	4,336	4	92	233*	324*	337*	+16	+8	7.3	8.4
/162	664	1	14	+2.5	+1.2	1.1	pk7: 9
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	3,975	68	97	230	314	339	+0	+0	6.4	5.7
/162	664	11	16	+0.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	213/302/285	72	289	1	4	25%	10%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Franchy Cordero 2013 · A	18	41→51	35→55	53→50	45	191/263/257	66	293	2	12	33%	9%	50	-2.3	201/249/273	72	312	4	13	35%	5%	47	-2.5	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Telmito Agustin 2015 · A	18	43→42	39→45	58→50	51	204/287/303	99	262	4	18	22%	9%	70	-0.9	223/268/319	96	306	6	15	27%	5%	65	-1.2	228/261/337	108	324	10	12	32%	4%	64	-0.7
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	39→49	35→45	51→50	49	181/267/242	60	233	1	15	21%	8%	49	-2.4	230/301/328	98	278	6	10	19%	7%	80	-0.1	252/334/373	121	281	11	9	14%	8%	101	+1.3
●Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	40→50	38→45	53→50	45	192/255/278	86	256	4	11	26%	7%	51	-2.2	206/244/285	79	280	4	10	26%	4%	48	-2.5	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Cristian Jauregui 2024 · A	18	43	37→40	55→50	50	198/302/269	70	294	4	18	30%	11%	69	-0.9	190/283/265	75	277	5	18	30%	9%	61	-1.5	175/266/249	75	263	6	20	33%	8%	48	-0.8
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	41→51	36→50	51→45	46	194/262/269	75	267	2	10	27%	8%	52	-2.2	233/298/320	87	326	5	6	27%	8%	77	-0.3	234/304/323	89	323	6	4	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Alexander Ovalles 2019 · A	18	46→41	36→50	47→50	51	216/289/281	65	279	3	13	22%	9%	65	-1.2	229/289/333	104	297	6	8	23%	7%	76	-0.4	220/284/353	133	282	13	7	26%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Eury Pérez 2008 · A	18	42→52	34→40	50→65	52	195/291/248	53	268	2	15	25%	10%	60	-1.6	238/300/309	71	293	4	24	19%	6%	75	-0.5	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
✕Ramón Flores 2010 · A	18	39→49	36→45	46→50	47	186/259/254	68	248	3	8	25%	8%	48	-2.5	227/285/316	89	294	6	9	23%	7%	71	-0.8	255/328/354	99	304	9	8	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	44→49	36→40	51→65	47	208/275/276	67	273	3	15	24%	8%	59	-1.7	204/271/266	62	260	4	22	21%	8%	55	-2.0	200/270/265	65	257	6	39	23%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Daniel Lopez 2024 · A	18	43	39→45	50→65	46	205/281/293	89	290	5	10	29%	8%	65	-1.2	192/256/279	87	261	5	17	27%	7%	52	-2.2	182/247/268	86	249	5	28	27%	6%	43	-1.0
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0

Fabian Gonzalez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps