Daniel Alana

C DSL Mariners

Age 18 R/R ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKSEA	68	.231/.403/.308	0	2	44	—	.161/.299/.214
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBSEA	178	.212/.296/.288	1	2	68	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSEA	55	.214/.299/.296	0	1	73	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSEA	147	.217/.303/.306	1	2	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%88

Speed85

BB%66

K%54

wOBA48

wRC+46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 18) · Luis Torrens (age 18) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .293 / .285

PA66

HR0

K%26

BB%9

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	68	52	12	2	1	0	12	14	3	2	0	231	403	308	711	77	308	21	18	337	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	68	56	9	1	1	0	8	17	3	2	0	161	299	214	513	54	203	25	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	68	56	9	1	1	0	8	17	3	2	0	161	299	214	513	54	225	25	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	68	52	12	2	1	0	12	14	3	2	0	231	403	308	711	77	308	21	18	337	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	68	57	9	1	1	0	8	17	3	2	0	158	299	211	509	53	203	25	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	68	57	9	1	1	0	8	17	3	2	0	158	299	211	509	53	203	25	12	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	178	157	33	5	2	1	16	46	3	2	1	212	296	288	583	76	290	26	9	269	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	159	141	31	5	2	1	14	41	3	2	1	216	301	299	600	83	292	26	9	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	304	268	58	9	3	3	27	77	6	4	2	219	305	310	614	91	293	25	9	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	417	369	82	13	4	5	37	105	8	6	3	222	307	319	627	97	294	25	9	287	80	-10	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	497	440	98	16	5	6	44	124	10	7	3	225	310	327	637	103	295	25	9	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	520	459	105	17	5	8	46	129	10	8	3	227	311	335	646	108	296	25	9	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	459	105	17	5	8	46	129	10	8	3	228	312	337	650	109	297	25	9	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	459	105	17	5	8	46	129	10	8	3	228	313	339	652	111	297	25	9	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	520	459	105	17	5	8	46	129	10	7	3	228	313	340	652	111	296	25	9	296	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	520	458	105	17	5	8	47	129	10	7	3	227	312	337	649	110	296	25	9	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	520	459	104	17	5	8	46	131	10	5	3	225	309	332	642	107	295	25	9	292	84	-10	-0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	520	460	103	17	5	7	46	132	9	3	2	223	307	326	632	103	293	25	9	288	81	-12	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2039	30	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	520	460	101	16	4	7	46	134	9	2	2	220	303	318	621	98	291	26	9	284	78	-14	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2040	31	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	504	446	96	15	4	6	44	131	9	1	2	215	298	308	606	92	288	26	9	278	74	-16	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	489	436	91	14	4	5	42	130	8	1	1	210	292	295	587	85	284	27	9	270	69	-18	-0	-4	+9	+11	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	55	49	11	2	1	0	5	14	1	1	0	214	299	296	594	82	290	25	9	274	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	147	130	28	5	1	1	13	37	3	2	1	217	303	306	609	89	291	25	9	280	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	226	200	44	7	2	3	20	57	4	3	1	220	306	315	621	95	292	25	9	284	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	281	249	56	9	3	4	25	70	5	4	2	223	308	323	631	100	292	25	9	288	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	299	264	60	10	3	4	27	74	6	4	2	225	309	330	640	105	293	25	9	291	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	296	262	59	10	3	4	26	73	6	4	2	226	310	333	643	107	294	25	9	293	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	295	261	59	10	3	4	26	73	6	4	2	226	311	334	645	108	294	25	9	294	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	294	260	59	10	3	4	26	73	6	4	2	226	311	335	646	109	294	25	9	294	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	289	256	57	9	3	4	26	72	5	4	2	225	310	332	642	107	293	25	9	292	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	286	253	57	9	3	4	26	72	5	3	2	223	308	328	635	104	292	25	9	290	84	-5	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	278	246	54	9	2	4	25	71	5	2	1	221	305	321	626	101	291	26	9	286	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2039	30	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	274	243	52	8	2	3	24	70	5	1	1	218	301	314	615	96	289	26	9	281	78	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2040	31	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	263	233	50	8	2	3	23	69	5	1	1	213	296	304	600	90	286	26	9	275	74	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	275	244	51	8	2	3	24	73	5	1	1	208	290	292	582	83	282	27	9	268	69	-10	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3558	3150	697	114	33	45	316	898	67	38	20	221	306	321	627	100	294	25	9	286	81	-79	-0	-6	+64	+77	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	127	21	6	8	58	164	12	7	4	221	305	320	625	99	294	25	9	286	81	-14	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6664	5888	1310	210	63	88	591	1684	126	72	34	222	307	324	631	102	294	25	9	288	81	-148	+0	-10	+118	+143	10.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	128	20	6	9	58	164	12	7	3	223	307	326	633	103	294	25	9	288	81	-15	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.5	3,624	48	39	224	304	326	+65	+32	8.4	7.2
/162	664	9	7	+11.9	+5.9	1.5	pk7: 6
#4Mike Tresh'38-'49 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,637 PA	5.5	3,637	2	19	239*	319*	306*	+65	+0	6.9	6.6
/162	664	0	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Alana (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	210/293/285	75	290	0	1	26%	9%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	43	37→45	49→30	44	204/271/279	75	283	4	6	28%	7%	58	-1.7	206/255/291	85	265	6	4	24%	5%	54	-2.0	198/245/281	83	248	7	1	22%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Axiel Plaz 2024 · A	18	41→51	39→50	47→40	43	182/289/272	90	310	5	5	38%	9%	65	-1.2	197/270/335	138	273	17	3	33%	7%	72	-0.7	209/276/363	155	262	21	2	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	46→45	38→55	48→30	44	218/266/297	79	275	4	4	22%	6%	59	-1.6	211/252/305	94	288	8	2	28%	5%	56	-1.9	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→44	36→50	50→45	44	203/264/273	70	257	3	6	22%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/332	105	258	10	5	16%	5%	71	-0.8	232/277/359	127	262	15	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2

Daniel Alana

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps