Joan Gonzalez

P DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	12	4	40	5.22	4.08	20.6%	13.8%	—	K 14.0% · BB 17.2% · FIP 5.31
2027PROJ	18	MLB—	23	0	24	5.44	5.44	19.4%	15.6%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLB—	17	0	18	5.18	5.07	20.4%	13.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsYimi Presinal (age 18) · Alix Hernandez (age 19) · Ernesto Jaquez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.44

FIP5.44

K%19.4%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%3.8%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	12	4	40	189	39	26	3	33%	3.3	14.0%	17.2%	-3.2%	2.2%	5.22	5.31	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	12	4	40	189	39	26	3	33%	3.3	14.0%	17.2%	-3.2%	2.2%	5.22	5.31	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	12	4	40	189	39	26	3	33%	3.3	20.6%	13.8%	6.9%	1.6%	5.22	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	—	23	0	24	101	20	16	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	15.6%	3.8%	3.0%	5.44	5.44	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	36	0	38	158	32	22	5	0%	1.0	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	2.9%	5.18	5.07	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	17	0	18	76	15	10	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	2.9%	5.18	5.07	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	18	78	16	11	2	0%	1.0	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	2.9%	5.18	4.69	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	119	22	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	2.9%	5.18	4.69	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		12	4	40	189	27	32	4	33%	3.3	14.0%	17.2%	-3.2%	2.2%	5.22	5.31	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	20	200	953	134	164	21	33%	3.3	14.0%	17.2%	-3.2%	2.2%	5.22	5.31	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joan Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.44	19.4%	15.6%	3.0%	—	5.07	20.4%	6.8%	38	-0.37	—	—	—
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	90
Alix Hernandez R 2023 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	21.7%	15.6%	2.8%	.254	4.91	22.5%	10.2%	119	+0.11	3.55	170	86
Ernesto Jaquez R 2017 · 4.99 FIP	18	SW	4.99	18.4%	16.9%	2.4%	.265	2.56	24.8%	15.7%	53	-2.43	2.56	239	85
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	83
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	83
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	82
Andry Cuevas R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	18	SW	4.68	18.2%	17.1%	1.7%	.223	4.21	20.7%	2.6%	71	-0.47	3.71	108	82
Yorman Galindez R 2022 · 4.93 FIP	19	SW	4.93	19.1%	18.3%	2.1%	.374	3.77	22.9%	6.2%	96	-1.16	3.63	201	82
Dante Mendoza R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SW	5.90	14.9%	14.1%	4.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	113	82
Andre Sanchez R 2022 · 4.60 FIP	19	SU	4.60	16.7%	15.1%	1.8%	.261	5.88	12.1%	-5.1%	165	+1.28	4.60	209	81
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	81
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	81
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	80
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	80
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	79
Ismael Agreda R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	18	SW	5.90	17.6%	14.1%	4.6%	.289	4.20	19.3%	3.8%	132	-1.70	3.35	272	79
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	79
Raimy Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.38 FIP	18	SW	4.38	21.3%	21.3%	0.7%	.293	5.41	16.3%	-5.1%	222	+1.03	3.39	284	79
Zac Correll R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	13.9%	11.7%	2.5%	.282	2.82	19.3%	10.8%	72	-1.93	2.59	112	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	20.0%	14.4%	1.13	5.28
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*