Ernesto Jaquez
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%22.5%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 5 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 40% | 2.7 | 18.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.35 | 4.99 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | 5 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 40% | 2.7 | 27.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 1.7% | 1.35 | 3.48 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Astros | 14 | 5 | 53 | 192 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 36% | 3.8 | 24.8% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 0.7% | 0.51 | 2.56 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Astros | 14 | 5 | 53 | 192 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 36% | 3.8 | 36.5% | 7.3% | 29.2% | 0.5% | 0.51 | 1.50 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 37 | 179 | 47 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 18.3% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 7.05 | 6.14 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 37 | 179 | 47 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.3% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 7.05 | 5.64 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 76 | 350 | 76 | 46 | 13 | 62% | 3.6 | 16.5% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 5.0% | 6.13 | 6.35 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 13 | 76 | 350 | 76 | 46 | 13 | 62% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 6.13 | 5.13 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 21 | 0 | 37 | 162 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 14.7% | 14.9% | -0.2% | 3.7% | 5.30 | 5.79 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 21 | 0 | 37 | 162 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 5.30 | 4.87 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 15 | 0 | 22 | 114 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 21.2% | -2.9% | 5.2% | 8.72 | 7.09 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 15 | 0 | 22 | 114 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 18.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 8.72 | 5.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.32 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 20 | 239 | 1056 | 196 | 162 | 40 | 20% | 2.3 | 18.6% | 15.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.86 | 5.55 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 17 | 200 | 885 | 164 | 136 | 33 | 20% | 2.3 | 18.6% | 15.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.86 | 5.55 | -0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ernesto Jaquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.70 | 22.5% | 11.7% | 20 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 76 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 76 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 75 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 75 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 75 |
| Brayden Spears R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 74 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 74 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 74 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 73 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.12 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 4.0% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 414 | 73 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 73 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 73 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 73 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 73 |
| Linder Castro R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 73 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 73 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 72 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 72 |