Luis Tarifa

C DSL Nationals

Age 20 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ROKWSH	59	.228/.254/.351	1	1	-13	—	.121/.136/.155
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBWSH	169	.195/.240/.274	1	2	43	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBWSH	51	.199/.245/.283	1	1	48	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO53

Chase%32

Speed23

Whiff%20

Z-Con%12

K%9

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJavier Rivas (age 20) · Juan Santander (age 20) · Lizandro Espinoza (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .238 / .272

PA61

HR1

K%33

BB%5

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	59	57	13	4	0	1	2	20	0	1	1	228	254	351	605	123	333	34	3	269	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	215	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	206	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	59	57	13	4	0	1	2	20	0	1	1	228	254	351	605	123	333	34	3	269	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	215	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	59	58	7	2	0	0	1	24	0	1	1	121	136	155	291	34	215	41	2	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	169	158	30	6	1	1	8	57	1	2	1	195	240	274	514	79	290	34	5	232	43	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	149	139	29	6	1	2	8	49	1	2	1	199	246	284	530	85	291	33	5	239	48	-9	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	51	48	10	2	0	1	3	17	0	1	0	199	245	283	528	84	291	33	6	238	48	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	51	48	10	2	0	1	3	17	0	1	0	208	255	312	567	104	300	33	6	238	34	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	612	127	25	0	13	38	217	0	13	0	208	254	312	566	105	298	33	6	238	34	-40	+3	+0	+12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	269	255	47	10	1	3	12	93	1	4	2	184	224	267	491	82	275	35	4	218	34	-13	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	616	113	24	2	7	29	225	2	10	5	183	222	263	485	80	275	35	4	218	34	-41	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Tarifa (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	194/238/272	78	290	1	1	33%	5%	43	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Rivas 2023 · A	20	33→39	39→45	46→45	34	169/226/248	79	252	7	7	35%	4%	34	-3.5	181/228/271	90	293	9	6	40%	4%	40	-3.1	187/225/311	125	267	16	4	36%	3%	46	-1.8
✕Juan Santander 2023 · A	20	35	36→40	49→50	37	171/230/232	61	271	3	8	36%	6%	32	-3.7	192/250/282	90	271	9	8	31%	7%	51	-2.3	180/237/269	89	241	11	9	30%	7%	41	-0.9
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2023 · A	20	37→24	37→45	51→60	38	178/236/254	76	272	4	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	159/221/246	87	248	8	13	37%	6%	32	-3.7	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Luis Pineda 2022 · A	20	38	37→40	44→40	39	185/238/252	68	267	5	7	32%	6%	39	-3.1	186/233/271	85	296	9	4	38%	5%	41	-3.0	171/221/254	83	281	10	1	41%	5%	31	-1.3
✕Omar Hernandez 2022 · A	20	35	38→30	51→55	36	175/221/253	77	259	5	6	33%	5%	32	-3.6	186/237/251	65	263	4	16	29%	6%	38	-3.2	208/245/263	55	275	4	21	25%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Franklin Correa 2016 · A	20	38	37→40	45→50	40	180/247/249	70	281	5	9	35%	7%	42	-2.9	192/237/282	90	296	7	6	36%	5%	45	-2.7	152/169/259	107	218	10	2	36%	1%	13	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2018 · A	20	39→30	39→50	48→50	34	187/236/286	98	301	5	10	38%	5%	46	-2.6	189/239/315	126	299	13	9	39%	6%	54	-2.0	157/211/273	116	264	13	9	44%	6%	32	-2.3
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	32	38→40	47→50	42	158/250/236	79	240	5	8	34%	8%	42	-2.9	190/270/285	95	312	8	13	39%	7%	60	-1.6	159/240/237	78	323	8	23	49%	7%	35	-1.2
✕Jesus Chirinos 2021 · A	20	40→36	37→40	49→40	40	185/254/257	71	302	4	5	37%	8%	47	-2.6	198/277/294	96	340	10	3	40%	10%	64	-1.3	184/277/278	94	319	11	2	41%	11%	59	-0.9
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	37	39→40	48→45	40	184/244/266	82	265	6	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	194/257/269	75	315	4	8	36%	7%	50	-2.3	166/240/230	64	288	0	11	39%	8%	32	-0.8
✕Luis Pino 2024 · A	20	38→29	40	49→50	38	179/265/271	92	308	8	9	41%	8%	55	-1.9	182/262/282	100	313	9	8	41%	8%	56	-1.9	162/248/261	100	271	9	8	40%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Leandro Santana 2017 · A	20	38→31	36→45	44→40	38	176/242/245	69	307	3	6	41%	8%	39	-3.1	186/235/277	91	296	10	4	38%	6%	43	-2.8	173/220/262	89	265	11	3	38%	5%	32	-2.2
✕Dale Burdick 2016 · A	20	36	38→45	43→50	43	172/261/250	78	270	6	4	36%	8%	49	-2.4	178/251/271	93	308	7	7	41%	8%	49	-2.4	152/230/247	95	273	6	9	43%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Eduardo de Oleo 2013 · A	20	38	37→45	44→30	41	184/247/256	72	277	4	5	33%	7%	43	-2.8	198/245/305	107	268	12	4	30%	5%	54	-2.0	190/227/297	106	252	15	1	31%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Aneudis Mordán 2024 · A	20	36→30	42→45	48→40	42	185/254/284	99	260	10	6	32%	7%	53	-2.1	182/245/285	103	269	12	5	35%	7%	50	-2.3	160/226/256	96	233	12	3	35%	7%	33	-1.9
✕Jose Caguana 2021 · A	19	39	38→45	49→45	38	188/243/271	83	284	6	8	34%	6%	45	-2.7	192/253/282	90	366	8	8	46%	7%	52	-2.2	163/237/285	122	251	16	7	40%	8%	47	-1.0