Jose Caguana — OGILVIE

Jose CaguanaC Modesto Nuts

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 262 proj PA

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .290 / .388

PA262

HR9

K%26

BB%8

ISO167

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$22M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	189	176	27	6	1	3	9	78	3	6	2	153	207	250	457	97	250	41	5	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	189	170	42	10	2	4	15	54	3	6	2	247	319	400	719	153	336	29	8	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	98	87	14	2	0	1	8	51	2	2	1	161	247	218	466	57	361	52	8	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	98	80	22	5	0	2	15	35	2	2	1	275	402	412	815	137	455	36	15	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	24	22	2	0	0	1	1	18	0	1	0	91	130	227	358	136	250	75	4	139	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	24	22	5	0	0	2	1	12	0	1	0	227	261	500	761	273	333	50	4	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	125	116	18	2	1	3	6	72	1	5	0	155	203	267	470	112	349	58	5	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	125	112	32	4	2	5	10	49	1	5	0	286	350	491	841	205	450	39	8	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK	2 teams	—	242	208	32	6	0	8	26	101	4	4	0	154	261	298	559	144	233	42	11	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK	2 teams	—	242	196	43	10	1	9	38	69	4	4	0	219	357	418	776	199	279	29	16	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	311	279	57	9	0	14	25	95	3	8	1	204	277	387	664	183	247	31	8	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	311	269	59	13	0	8	35	76	3	8	1	219	316	357	673	138	270	24	11	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	SEA	—	262	238	53	10	1	9	20	68	2	4	1	223	288	387	675	164	271	26	8	303	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SEA	42%	296	268	61	11	1	11	23	75	3	5	1	228	296	399	695	172	274	25	8	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2028	26	MLB	SEA	62%	356	322	74	14	1	13	28	90	3	6	1	230	297	401	698	171	275	25	8	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2029	27	MLB	SEA	69%	385	347	81	15	2	14	31	97	4	6	1	233	304	409	713	176	276	25	8	310	95	-2	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.7
2030	28	MLB	SEA	72%	401	361	83	15	2	14	33	101	4	6	1	230	302	399	700	169	276	25	8	309	95	-2	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.7
2031	29	MLB	SEA	72%	404	364	82	15	1	14	33	103	4	6	1	225	297	387	684	162	275	25	8	307	93	-3	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.5
2032	30	MLB	SEA	72%	404	363	82	15	1	14	34	104	4	6	1	226	299	388	688	163	273	26	8	304	91	-4	+1	-2	+7	+11	1.4
2033	31	MLB	SEA	72%	382	343	76	14	1	13	32	99	4	5	1	222	296	382	677	160	271	26	8	300	88	-5	+1	-3	+7	+11	1.0
2034	32	MLB	SEA	72%	355	320	69	13	1	11	29	94	3	4	1	216	287	366	653	150	268	26	8	295	84	-7	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.7
2035	33	MLB	SEA	72%	318	286	61	11	1	10	26	86	3	4	1	213	286	364	649	150	263	27	8	288	78	-8	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.3
2036	34	MLB	SEA	67%	270	244	50	8	1	8	22	74	2	3	1	205	276	344	620	139	257	27	8	279	72	-9	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.1
2037	35	MLB	SEA	63%	217	196	39	6	1	6	17	61	2	2	0	199	270	332	601	133	251	28	8	269	64	-9	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	SEA	42%	125	113	25	5	0	4	10	32	1	2	0	221	290	372	662	150	271	26	8	297	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2028	26	MLB	SEA	62%	221	199	45	8	1	8	18	56	2	4	1	226	297	397	694	171	272	25	8	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2029	27	MLB	SEA	69%	264	238	54	10	1	9	21	66	3	4	1	227	298	391	688	164	273	25	8	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.9
2030	28	MLB	SEA	72%	289	260	59	11	1	10	24	73	3	5	1	227	300	392	692	165	273	25	8	299	87	-4	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.9
2031	29	MLB	SEA	72%	291	262	59	11	1	10	24	74	3	4	1	225	298	389	687	164	272	25	8	297	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.8
2032	30	MLB	SEA	72%	291	262	59	11	1	10	24	75	3	4	1	225	298	389	687	164	271	26	8	294	83	-6	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.7
2033	31	MLB	SEA	72%	275	247	55	10	1	9	23	72	3	4	1	223	297	381	677	158	268	26	8	290	80	-6	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.5
2034	32	MLB	SEA	72%	255	230	50	9	1	8	21	67	2	3	1	217	289	370	658	152	265	26	8	285	76	-7	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.3
2035	33	MLB	SEA	72%	228	205	44	8	1	7	19	61	2	3	1	215	288	366	653	151	261	27	8	278	71	-7	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.0
2036	34	MLB	SEA	67%	182	163	34	6	1	5	15	50	2	2	0	209	283	350	633	141	255	27	8	270	65	-7	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
2037	35	MLB	SEA	63%	136	123	24	4	0	4	11	38	1	1	0	195	267	325	592	130	248	28	8	260	57	-7	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2557	2302	508	93	9	84	210	664	25	36	8	221	293	378	671	158	271	26	8	290	80	-58	+4	-17	+46	+72	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	129	24	2	21	53	169	6	9	2	221	291	376	668	156	271	26	8	290	80	-15	+1	-4	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	5039	4540	961	172	16	167	403	1467	51	83	15	212	283	367	650	155	270	29	8	289	80	-116	+11	-25	+90	+143	10.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	124	22	2	22	52	189	7	11	2	212	284	369	653	157	269	29	8	289	80	-15	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	189	170	42	10	2	4	15	54	3	6	2	247	319	400	719	153	336	29	8	321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2021	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	98	80	22	5	0	2	15	35	2	2	1	275	402	412	815	137	455	36	15	368	140	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	24	22	5	0	0	2	1	12	0	1	0	227	261	500	761	273	333	50	4	316	100	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	21	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	125	112	32	4	2	5	10	49	1	5	0	286	350	491	841	205	450	39	8	364	137	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	79	67	12	3	0	1	11	18	0	0	0	179	295	269	564	90	224	23	14	264	60	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	163	129	31	7	1	8	27	51	4	4	0	240	388	496	884	256	315	31	17	384	152	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	288	252	58	13	0	8	29	68	3	8	1	230	317	377	694	147	278	24	10	310	95	-2	+1	—	—	+8	0.8
2025	23	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	23	17	1	0	0	0	6	8	0	0	0	59	304	59	363		111	35	26	221	28	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,819	94	40	223	291	383	+45	+32	9.1	8.2
	/162	664	22	9	223	291	383	+10.7	+7.5	2.1	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Caguana (OGILVIE)	24	35	40	45	40	223/290/388	166	271	9	4	26%	8%	90	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jared Keel 2009 · A	24	39→38	52→50	48→45	47	207/289/373	166	249	20	10	26%	8%	86	+0.8	205/291/350	145	262	16	7	27%	9%	80	+0.4	182/282/323	141	228	16	1	27%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Alejandro Segovia 2014 · A	24	44→45	51→50	45→30	47	228/303/388	160	268	19	3	23%	7%	95	+1.4	218/294/352	134	272	15	5	25%	8%	82	+0.5	192/277/314	122	234	15	3	24%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Alex Isola 2022 · A	24	39→45	51→50	47→40	46	208/274/360	152	261	20	4	29%	8%	76	+0.0	217/284/357	140	276	17	4	27%	8%	79	+0.3	209/277/336	128	261	16	4	26%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→46	49→55	44→45	46	222/293/372	149	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.8	216/294/380	164	285	19	5	30%	8%	89	+1.0	213/296/385	172	282	20	4	30%	9%	89	+0.8
✕Jaxx Groshans 2022 · A	24	46	49→50	46→30	45	231/293/374	144	302	17	4	29%	8%	86	+0.8	201/269/326	125	286	13	5	32%	8%	64	-0.8	127/211/244	116	177	13	0	35%	9%	17	-1.3
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39	53→50	41→30	49	209/293/378	169	268	22	3	30%	10%	89	+0.9	199/283/322	123	287	14	3	33%	9%	69	-0.4	179/269/275	96	268	10	1	34%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	220/264/370	149	273	17	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1	205/259/310	105	271	9	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	147/207/208	61	195	3	6	25%	5%	7	-1.2
✕Michael McKenry 2009 · A	24	42→47	52→55	38→40	47	222/296/395	173	274	20	4	27%	8%	94	+1.3	219/282/356	137	276	15	3	25%	7%	77	+0.1	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	41	50	45→50	40	211/280/359	148	289	19	12	33%	7%	78	+0.2	207/275/357	150	271	18	12	30%	6%	76	+0.0	200/269/348	148	259	18	13	30%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	54→55	45→40	38	228/271/405	177	288	23	7	30%	5%	85	+0.7	236/291/384	148	336	17	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	45→43	49→50	51→50	44	223/308/371	148	307	17	10	31%	8%	93	+1.3	208/282/352	144	287	16	10	32%	7%	77	+0.1	197/275/352	155	274	17	13	33%	7%	72	-0.1
●Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	40→38	51→60	49→50	42	213/277/371	158	262	20	14	27%	6%	80	+0.4	223/279/416	193	277	24	15	28%	6%	92	+1.2	217/275/424	208	268	26	17	30%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Paul McIntosh 2023 · AA	25	43→45	51→45	47→45	49	223/307/392	169	283	19	11	27%	9%	98	+1.6	219/292/356	137	280	16	8	27%	8%	82	+0.5	221/287/350	129	269	15	5	23%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	48→45	49→50	47	214/311/358	144	295	16	11	31%	10%	92	+1.2	211/307/316	105	308	10	14	32%	10%	79	+0.3	212/300/316	104	302	10	14	31%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	46→47	51→60	50→40	40	231/299/391	160	298	18	7	28%	6%	94	+1.3	227/304/400	173	278	22	5	26%	6%	99	+1.7	218/299/409	191	277	25	3	30%	6%	96	+1.1
✕Curt Casali 2013 · A	24	46	47→50	45→30	48	231/298/376	145	259	14	4	18%	7%	90	+1.0	236/312/373	137	293	14	3	23%	9%	95	+1.4	229/313/372	142	288	17	1	25%	9%	91	+0.6
✕Jacob Wilson 2014 · A	24	38→48	51→55	41→40	47	205/269/358	154	224	20	5	20%	7%	73	-0.1	205/263/336	131	253	14	5	25%	6%	64	-0.8	230/297/404	174	270	20	1	23%	7%	95	+0.8
✕Kenny Holmberg 2007 · A	24	46→47	48→50	41→40	49	231/300/373	142	280	16	5	23%	8%	89	+1.0	219/301/321	102	275	10	4	23%	9%	77	+0.1	211/302/300	89	264	9	2	22%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2018 · A	25	41→38	49→55	46→50	38	211/272/358	147	295	17	11	34%	6%	74	-0.1	229/305/403	174	315	22	8	32%	8%	100	+1.7	229/330/455	226	293	32	2	32%	11%	126	+1.3