Jose Caguana

C Modesto Nuts
Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1810ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202321ROKSEA125.286/.350/.4915528—.155/.203/.267
202422A/ROK2 orgs242.219/.357/.4189450—.148/.252/.288
202523A/ROK2 orgs311.219/.316/.3578852—.181/.254/.302
2027PROJMLE25MLBSEA361.213/.282/.34396760.2
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBSEA29.213/.282/.34110770.0
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBSEA63.213/.282/.34111780.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A
ISO83
Chase%50
wOBA48
K%48
wRC+46
BB%37
CompsBraxton Fulford (age 25) · Jeferson Morales (age 25) · Brian O'Keefe (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .279 / .340
PA85
HR2
K%26
BB%8
ISO130
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201917 ROKDSL Mariners — 189170 421024 15543 62 247319400719 153336 298 321 14 — — — — — —
202119 ROKDSL Mariners — 9880 22502 15352 21 275402412815 137455 3615 368 39 — — — — — —
202220 ROKACL Mariners — 2422 5002 1120 10 227261500761 273333 504 316 -14 — — — — — —
202321 ROKACL Mariners — 125112 32425 10491 50 286350491841 205450 398 364 28 — — — — — —
202422 AModesto Nuts — 7967 12301 11180 00 179295269564 90224 2314 264 26 — — — — — —
202422 ROKACL Mariners — 163129 31718 27514 40 240388496884 256315 3117 384 61 — — — — — —
202523 AModesto Nuts — 288252 581308 29683 81 230317377694 147278 2410 310 58 — — — — — —
202523 ROKACL Mariners — 2317 1000 680 00 5930459363 111 3526 221 -22 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201917 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 189174 25612 11663 62 144207224432 80210 356 189 14 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 9885 13201 10432 21 153258212469 59292 4410 226 39 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 2422 2001 1180 10 91130227358 136236 754 148 -14 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 125116 18213 6711 50 155203267470 112331 575 209 28 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEModesto Nuts — 7970 10201 8250 00 143231214445 71205 3210 207 26 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 163139 21416 17754 40 151263324586 173232 4610 258 61 — — — — — —
202523 A MLEModesto Nuts — 288261 501008 20883 81 192257322579 130242 317 254 58 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 2319 1000 4120 00 5321753270 93 5217 136 -22 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 189174 25612 11663 62 144207224432 80215 356 189 14 — — — — — —
201917 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 189170 421024 15543 62 247319400719 153336 298 321 14 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 9885 13201 10432 21 153258212469 59286 4410 226 39 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 9880 22502 15352 21 275402412815 137455 3615 368 39 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 2422 2001 1180 10 91130227358 136250 754 148 -14 — — — — — —
202220 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 2422 5002 1120 10 227261500761 273333 504 316 -14 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 125116 18213 6711 50 155203267470 112341 575 209 28 — — — — — —
202321 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 125112 32425 10491 50 286350491841 205450 398 364 28 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLE2 teams — 242210 32617 24994 40 152252290543 138231 4110 241 49 — — — — — —
202422 ROK RAW2 teams — 242196 431019 38694 40 219357418776 199279 2916 345 49 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 311280 511008 241003 81 182254304558 121244 328 245 52 — — — — — —
202523 A RAW2 teams — 311269 591308 35763 81 219316357673 138270 2411 303 52 — — — — — —
201917 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 189173 25612 11663 62 145207225433 81210 356 189 14 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 9886 13201 10432 21 151258209467 58292 4410 226 39 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 2423 2001 1180 10 87130217348 130236 754 148 -14 — — — — — —
202321 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 125117 18213 6711 50 154203265468 111331 575 209 28 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLE2 teams — 242212 32617 24994 40 151252288540 137223 4110 241 49 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 311281 511008 241003 81 181254302557 121231 328 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 ROK MLE2 teams — 242212 32617 24994 40 151252288540 137223 4110 241 49 — — — — — —
202523 A MLE2 teams — 311281 511008 241003 81 181254302557 121231 328 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESEA 0% 361327 701329 28953 61 213282343625 130270 268 281 76 -10 +1 +0 +6 +8 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESEA 30% 9587 18402 7251 20 215284346629 131271 267 283 77 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
202927 MLB MLESEA 42% 152138 31614 12401 21 215284346631 131272 268 283 78 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
203028 MLB MLESEA 48% 197178 38715 15512 31 215284345629 130272 268 283 77 -5 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.2
202826 MLB CTXSEA 30% 2927 6101 280 00 213282341622 128269 287 280 77 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202927 MLB CTXSEA 42% 6357 11201 5161 10 213282341624 128269 258 280 78 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
203028 MLB CTXSEA 48% 9486 17302 7251 10 213282340622 127269 277 280 77 -3 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 186170 34604 14492 20 200269306575 106256 268 280 52 -5 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650594 11921014 491717 70 200269306576 106257 268 280 52 -17 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 15181367 24446535 11753518 346 178252296549 118257 358 245 52 -14 +1 -1 +9 +11 0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 10520215 502298 153 179253297551 118259 358 245 52 -18 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AModesto Nuts · 288 PAwOBA .306 → .254 (−53)K% 23.6% → 30.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.61%÷1.045×1.360——30.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.07%÷0.988×0.690—×0.9906.96%
HBP% /PA1.04%—×0.780—×0.9900.80%
Singles /BIP20.11%÷0.989×0.920×0.989×0.99018.31%
Doubles /BIP7.07%÷1.067×0.830×0.989×0.9905.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.097×0.910×0.989×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷0.759×0.800—×0.9904.54%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 52, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 119, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .306 → .254; ISO .147 → .134; BABIP .278 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Mariners · 23 PAwOBA .218 → .136 (−82)K% 34.8% → 50.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.78%÷0.999×1.440——50.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.09%÷1.000×0.620—×0.96515.61%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷0.942×0.820—×0.9659.34%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.046×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.886×0.780—×0.9650.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .218 → .136; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .093. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Mariners · 163 PAwOBA .381 → .258 (−123)K% 31.3% → 45.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.29%÷0.981×1.440——45.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.56%÷0.966×0.620—×0.97510.37%
HBP% /PA2.45%—×0.720—×0.9751.72%
Singles /BIP19.23%÷0.962×0.820×0.950×0.97515.19%
Doubles /BIP8.97%÷0.970×0.720×0.950×0.9756.17%
Triples /BIP1.28%÷1.150×0.720×0.950×0.9750.74%
Home runs /BIP10.26%÷0.863×0.780—×0.9759.04%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .381 → .258; ISO .256 → .184; BABIP .315 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AModesto Nuts · 79 PAwOBA .261 → .207 (−54)K% 22.8% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.78%÷0.993×1.360——31.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.92%÷1.010×0.690——9.51%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP16.33%÷0.970×0.920×1.016—15.72%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷1.076×0.830×1.016—4.80%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×1.016—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷0.897×0.800——1.82%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 94, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .261 → .207; ISO .090 → .072; BABIP .224 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Mariners · 125 PAwOBA .360 → .209 (−151)K% 39.2% → 56.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA39.20%÷0.992×1.440——56.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷0.989×0.620—×0.9854.94%
HBP% /PA0.80%—×0.720—×0.9850.57%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.987×0.820×0.950×0.98525.91%
Doubles /BIP6.35%÷0.993×0.720×0.950×0.9854.31%
Triples /BIP3.17%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9852.14%
Home runs /BIP7.94%÷0.945×0.780—×0.9856.45%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .360 → .209; ISO .205 → .117; BABIP .450 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Mariners · 24 PAwOBA .319 → .148 (−171)K% 50.0% → 73.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA50.00%÷0.984×1.440——73.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.17%÷1.023×0.620—×0.9952.51%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷1.014×0.820—×0.99524.15%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.132×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP20.00%÷1.033×0.780—×0.99515.03%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .319 → .148; ISO .273 → .120; BABIP .333 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Mariners · 98 PAwOBA .360 → .226 (−134)K% 35.7% → 43.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.71%÷0.996×1.220——43.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.026×0.700—×0.9959.69%
HBP% /PA2.04%—×0.700—×0.9951.42%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.957×0.680—×0.99523.58%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.177×0.600—×0.9955.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.600—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP4.44%÷1.004×0.470—×0.9952.07%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 91, 2B 135, 3B 88, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .360 → .226; ISO .138 → .066; BABIP .455 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 DSLDSL Mariners · 189 PAwOBA .314 → .189 (−124)K% 28.6% → 34.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.000×1.220——34.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.94%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0225.68%
HBP% /PA1.59%—×0.700—×1.0221.14%
Singles /BIP22.41%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×1.02214.81%
Doubles /BIP8.62%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0225.02%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×1.0221.00%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0221.66%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .314 → .189; ISO .153 → .078; BABIP .336 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).