Jarvis Gomez

OF DSL Mariners

Age 18 R/R ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1574ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKSEA	197	.368/.472/.546	6	17	88	—	.244/.333/.343
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBSEA	307	.228/.298/.316	4	8	75	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBSEA	53	.230/.302/.325	1	2	81	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSEA	130	.233/.306/.336	2	4	85	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA94

Z-Con%94

wRC+93

Whiff%93

K%88

ISO77

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJahmai Jones (age 18) · Juan Lagares (age 18) · Moisés Sierra (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 104 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .296 / .314

PA104

HR1

K%22

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	197	163	60	9	1	6	29	26	3	17	4	368	472	546	1.018	178	406	13	15	446	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	197	172	42	6	1	3	20	32	3	17	4	244	333	343	676	99	274	16	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	197	172	42	6	1	3	20	32	3	17	4	244	333	343	676	99	281	16	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	197	163	60	9	1	6	29	26	3	17	4	368	472	546	1.018	178	406	13	15	446	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	197	172	42	6	1	3	20	32	3	17	4	244	333	343	676	99	274	16	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	197	172	42	6	1	3	20	32	3	17	4	244	333	343	676	99	274	16	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	307	276	64	10	2	4	25	69	3	8	1	228	298	316	615	88	288	22	8	280	75	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	155	139	32	5	1	2	13	35	2	4	1	232	304	329	633	97	290	23	8	287	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	268	241	57	9	2	4	22	59	3	8	2	235	308	340	649	105	292	22	8	294	85	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	385	345	82	13	2	7	32	85	5	11	3	238	311	350	661	112	293	22	8	299	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	466	418	100	16	3	9	39	102	6	14	3	240	314	358	672	118	294	22	8	303	91	-5	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.4
2032	23	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	520	465	112	18	3	11	43	114	7	15	4	242	315	365	681	123	295	22	8	306	93	-4	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	557	499	120	19	3	12	46	122	7	16	4	243	317	369	685	125	295	22	8	308	95	-4	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.7
2034	25	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	576	516	126	20	4	13	48	126	7	17	4	244	317	371	688	127	296	22	8	309	95	-3	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	589	527	128	20	4	13	49	129	8	17	4	244	317	372	690	128	295	22	8	310	96	-3	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	590	529	128	20	4	13	49	130	7	17	4	243	316	369	686	127	295	22	8	308	95	-4	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	582	521	126	20	3	13	49	129	7	16	4	241	314	365	679	124	294	22	8	305	93	-5	+2	-1	-3	+13	0.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	565	506	121	19	3	12	47	127	7	15	4	238	311	358	669	120	292	22	8	302	90	-7	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	53	48	11	2	0	1	4	12	1	2	0	230	302	325	627	95	288	23	8	285	81	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	130	116	27	4	1	2	11	29	2	4	1	233	306	336	642	103	289	22	8	291	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	209	187	44	7	1	4	17	46	3	6	2	236	309	345	655	110	290	22	8	296	88	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	264	237	57	9	2	5	22	58	3	8	2	238	312	353	665	116	291	22	8	300	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	299	268	64	10	2	6	25	65	4	9	2	240	313	360	674	120	292	22	8	303	93	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	317	284	69	11	2	7	26	69	4	9	2	241	315	364	678	123	293	22	8	305	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2034	25	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	327	293	70	11	2	7	27	71	4	10	2	241	315	366	681	124	293	22	8	306	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2035	26	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	333	298	71	11	2	7	28	73	4	10	2	242	315	367	682	126	293	22	8	307	96	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	327	293	70	11	2	7	27	72	4	9	2	240	314	364	679	124	292	22	8	305	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	320	286	69	11	2	7	27	71	4	9	2	239	312	360	672	121	291	22	8	303	93	-3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	302	270	64	10	2	6	25	68	4	8	2	236	309	353	663	117	290	23	8	299	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2881	2580	616	97	18	59	239	634	37	84	19	239	312	359	671	120	293	22	8	302	92	-26	+9	-1	-17	+62	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	139	22	4	13	54	143	8	19	4	239	312	357	670	119	293	22	8	302	92	-6	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5554	4972	1195	188	34	113	465	1213	70	170	41	240	314	360	674	120	294	22	8	304	92	-51	+16	-2	-32	+116	4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	140	22	4	13	54	142	8	20	5	241	314	359	673	119	295	22	8	304	92	-6	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Mariners · 197 PAwOBA .439 → .298 (−141)K% 13.2% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.20%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	16.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.72%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	10.30%
HBP% /PA	1.52%	—	×0.700	—	—	1.07%
Singles /BIP	32.12%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.038	—	22.66%
Doubles /BIP	6.57%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.038	—	4.09%
Triples /BIP	0.73%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.038	—	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	4.38%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	2.06%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .439 → .298; ISO .178 → .098; BABIP .406 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,986	62	86	242	311	363	-18	+0	4.6	4.3
/162	664	14	19	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jarvis Gomez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	226/296/314	87	288	1	3	22%	8%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	43→51	38→50	50	42	204/262/285	80	276	5	16	27%	6%	55	-1.9	230/286/334	104	297	8	16	24%	6%	76	-0.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
●Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	40→50	38→45	53→50	45	192/255/278	86	256	4	11	26%	7%	51	-2.2	206/244/285	79	280	4	10	26%	4%	48	-2.5	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	39→49	37→50	52→50	44	188/256/263	75	240	4	13	23%	6%	49	-2.4	204/253/296	92	279	8	9	29%	4%	55	-2.0	252/302/391	139	320	16	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8
●Leandro Castro 2008 · A	19	40→50	39→50	53→50	47	193/257/272	79	233	6	18	20%	7%	51	-2.2	206/247/298	92	258	7	14	22%	4%	53	-2.1	244/286/388	144	268	16	11	16%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Alexis Hernandez 2022 · A	19	41→50	38→50	49→50	51	192/262/271	79	225	5	10	17%	8%	53	-2.1	199/272/281	82	266	6	15	26%	8%	59	-1.6	220/295/346	126	292	14	18	28%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Christian Bethancourt 2010 · A	18	41→51	40→50	52→50	42	201/252/296	95	270	7	8	28%	6%	54	-2.0	226/250/303	77	285	5	9	22%	3%	54	-2.0	233/268/383	149	287	19	5	25%	4%	80	-0.1
●José Pirela 2008 · A	18	41→51	37→55	50	51	194/266/261	68	229	4	12	17%	8%	52	-2.2	222/274/291	69	277	2	11	19%	6%	61	-1.5	265/314/442	177	310	19	8	21%	6%	110	+1.6
●Aaron Altherr 2010 · A	19	41→51	38→55	51→50	43	200/251/277	77	264	5	11	26%	6%	49	-2.4	204/246/284	80	291	6	16	30%	5%	49	-2.4	249/320/431	182	307	18	14	24%	8%	111	+1.5
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	38→47	40→55	51→45	49	182/253/279	97	221	6	7	20%	8%	52	-2.2	185/248/289	104	245	8	7	27%	7%	52	-2.2	223/287/404	181	270	24	8	27%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Rainel Rosario 2007 · A	18	41→51	37→50	46→50	42	192/261/262	70	281	4	8	31%	7%	51	-2.3	178/247/262	84	301	6	8	40%	7%	45	-2.7	246/301/378	133	280	16	6	18%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	40→48	41→55	54→60	39	186/260/283	97	311	8	10	40%	8%	55	-1.9	181/265/292	111	349	10	21	47%	8%	59	-1.6	211/281/393	182	287	24	33	34%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jose Siri 2015 · A	20	41→51	39→60	54→55	39	197/244/287	89	270	5	15	28%	5%	49	-2.4	190/219/301	111	302	9	17	39%	3%	42	-2.9	235/282/445	210	322	27	25	35%	5%	100	+0.9
✕Franchy Cordero 2013 · A	18	41→51	35→55	53→50	45	191/263/257	66	293	2	12	33%	9%	50	-2.3	201/249/273	72	312	4	13	35%	5%	47	-2.5	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
●Danny Santana 2010 · A	19	41→51	39→60	59→55	42	199/242/292	93	249	5	15	22%	5%	49	-2.4	211/248/304	93	292	7	15	29%	4%	54	-2.0	283/312/395	112	360	4	23	22%	3%	96	+0.9
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	37	39→40	53→45	48	183/256/271	88	235	7	14	24%	8%	51	-2.3	189/256/271	82	249	6	10	25%	7%	51	-2.3	153/243/231	78	239	5	5	35%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Daz Cameron 2016 · A	19	45→48	35→50	53→55	41	204/269/262	58	312	2	21	33%	7%	53	-2.1	201/263/303	102	309	7	18	35%	7%	60	-1.6	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
●Harold Ramírez 2014 · A	19	44→54	37→50	48→50	41	210/257/284	74	267	4	11	23%	5%	53	-2.1	268/315/354	86	337	4	15	21%	4%	91	+0.6	286/323/424	139	340	13	7	19%	4%	109	+1.6
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Andres Valor 2024 · A	18	40→36	39→45	51→60	41	193/247/280	87	271	6	18	30%	6%	49	-2.4	186/258/281	95	301	7	29	38%	7%	54	-2.0	166/252/269	102	286	9	37	41%	8%	48	-1.6
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2019 · A	18	35→42	42→55	44→45	43	179/260/276	97	237	10	7	28%	7%	55	-2.0	214/270/343	129	278	15	7	28%	5%	73	-0.6	211/264/390	178	270	24	4	31%	5%	82	-0.0

Jarvis Gomez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps