Player 837869 — OGILVIE

Player 8378691B DSL Mariners

Age — —/— ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION197 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .259 / .240

PA27

HR0

K%22

BB%7

BABIP306

ISO40

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	SEA	—	197	174	51	7	1	5	18	37	3	17	4	293	369	431	800	138	343	19	9	342	118	+4	+2	+0	-4	+4	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	SEA	—	197	163	60	9	1	6	29	26	3	17	4	368	472	546	1.018	178	406	13	15	446	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	27	25	5	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	200	259	240	499	40	309	22	7	304	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	SEA	—	224	199	56	8	1	5	20	43	3	18	4	281	356	407	763	126	333	19	9	337	114	+4	+2	+0	-4	+5	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	323	290	71	11	2	6	27	76	3	10	2	245	316	359	674	114	305	24	8	304	92	-3	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	413	371	91	14	2	9	35	96	4	12	2	245	317	367	684	121	304	23	8	307	94	-3	+2	+0	-7	+9	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	474	426	104	16	2	11	40	110	5	14	3	244	316	369	685	124	303	23	8	308	95	-3	+2	+0	-8	+10	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	515	461	114	18	3	12	44	120	5	15	3	247	320	377	697	130	303	23	9	310	96	-3	+2	+0	-9	+11	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	544	487	120	19	3	13	46	126	6	16	3	246	319	378	697	131	303	23	8	310	96	-2	+2	+0	-10	+12	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	565	506	124	19	3	14	48	131	6	17	3	245	318	377	695	132	302	23	8	311	97	-2	+2	+0	-10	+12	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	580	519	128	20	3	14	50	135	6	17	3	247	320	378	698	131	302	23	9	312	97	-2	+2	+0	-10	+13	0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	592	529	130	20	3	15	51	137	7	17	3	246	320	380	700	134	302	23	9	313	98	-2	+2	+0	-11	+13	0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	294	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	302	—	—	296	94	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	301	—	—	298	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	300	—	—	299	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	300	—	—	300	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	300	—	—	300	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	300	—	—	301	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	299	—	—	302	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4033	3614	887	138	21	94	343	937	42	119	22	245	318	373	691	128	305	23	9	310	96	-20	+15	+0	-72	+87	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	142	22	3	15	55	151	7	19	4	244	316	369	686	125	303	23	8	310	96	-3	+2	+0	-12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	8.0	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
/162	664	11	12	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.5	4,326	98	126	244	314	370	-49	+0	6.3	6.2
/162	664	15	19	-7.5	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 6
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837869 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	243/315/353	110	309	6	15	23%	8%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→50	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	76	-0.4	206/252/317	111	266	11	17	26%	5%	59	-1.6	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→52	40→45	53→55	40	228/277/321	93	297	7	20	25%	5%	70	-0.9	229/299/337	108	283	9	16	21%	6%	82	+0.0	227/303/337	110	275	9	18	20%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	69	-0.9	252/301/349	97	306	6	17	19%	6%	84	+0.2	269/312/404	135	308	11	10	16%	4%	98	+0.6
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	40→45	41→45	48→55	47	196/269/292	96	252	8	14	25%	8%	61	-1.5	213/289/334	121	273	12	18	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	45→50	42→50	53→50	39	221/265/325	104	304	10	11	30%	5%	65	-1.2	233/292/345	112	331	11	9	31%	7%	80	-0.1	238/302/353	114	340	11	8	31%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Collin Cowgill 2010 · A	24	47→57	42→50	52→55	43	223/292/336	113	310	9	11	29%	7%	79	-0.2	253/310/376	123	308	10	20	20%	7%	94	+0.9	259/315/377	118	312	10	23	19%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→48	43→50	52→50	46	220/282/340	120	279	10	15	24%	7%	76	-0.4	228/291/380	152	293	15	10	26%	7%	88	+0.5	214/288/369	154	277	16	7	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	46→45	55	45	207/293/340	133	287	12	21	30%	8%	81	-0.1	221/300/334	113	289	9	19	25%	8%	82	-0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Welington Dotel 2010 · A	24	47	43→50	50→55	42	229/283/348	119	308	10	14	28%	6%	78	-0.3	216/262/323	107	298	8	12	29%	5%	64	-1.3	268/303/404	136	342	11	22	24%	4%	95	+0.3
✕Brad McElroy 2011 · A	25	45→55	41→45	55	45	219/282/321	102	288	8	17	26%	7%	72	-0.7	230/289/317	87	299	5	21	23%	6%	73	-0.6	238/299/314	76	305	3	29	22%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Matt Vierling 2021 · A	24	40→50	40→50	50	40	197/252/286	89	268	7	14	28%	5%	52	-2.2	241/298/355	114	302	11	14	23%	7%	85	+0.2	254/314/393	138	307	13	10	21%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	43→52	44→45	51→50	43	213/277/330	117	286	12	14	29%	7%	72	-0.7	227/293/347	120	297	10	12	26%	7%	82	-0.0	229/296/349	120	303	9	12	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	73	-0.6	199/284/276	77	275	4	12	27%	9%	63	-1.4	176/273/228	52	251	2	11	27%	10%	47	-1.5
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46	40→50	51→50	46	220/296/311	91	301	8	15	28%	8%	75	-0.5	221/301/359	138	285	15	14	26%	9%	88	+0.4	208/293/354	146	263	17	14	27%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Joey Rickard 2014 · A	23	46→56	41→45	52→55	48	219/300/322	104	288	7	16	25%	8%	79	-0.2	241/315/332	91	308	5	16	21%	9%	86	+0.3	257/331/345	87	321	4	17	19%	9%	93	+0.4
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	45→55	45	53→55	45	223/287/353	130	295	13	20	28%	8%	81	-0.1	247/317/352	105	324	8	18	24%	9%	91	+0.7	251/326/344	93	326	6	18	23%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→48	44→50	54→65	47	216/295/339	123	274	11	23	24%	8%	81	-0.1	209/275/329	120	265	11	18	25%	7%	71	-0.8	207/330/379	172	285	16	41	30%	12%	101	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps