Athanael Duarte — OGILVIE

Athanael Duarte1B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.7 · 2031

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .296 / .357

PA217

HR6

K%27

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

30→30

SPD

40→40

EYE

48↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.2	$1M	+$0.6M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$12M	+$7M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Angels	149	134	21	5	1	3	12	40	2	12	2	.157	.236	.276	.513	.119	.196	27	8	.230	34	-11	+2	+0	-3	+4	-0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Angels	169	156	36	5	0	3	7	27	2	9	0	.231	.273	.321	.593	.090	.256	16	4	.263	59	-8	+2	+0	-3	+5	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	ACL Angels	213	183	35	5	2	3	19	64	8	6	4	.191	.295	.290	.585	.098	.271	30	9	.259	56	-10	-0	+0	-4	+6	-0.9
2025	20	ROK	ACL Angels	231	209	32	9	2	2	15	85	5	2	4	.153	.227	.244	.471	.091	.244	37	6	.209	18	-21	-1	+0	-4	+7	-2.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	38	35	4	1	0	1	2	19	0	0	1	.114	.162	.229	.391	.114	.200	50	5	.157	-22	-5	-0	+0	-1	+1	-0.5
ROS	21	MLB	LAA	179	160	35	7	1	5	15	52	2	3	1	.219	.294	.369	.663	.150	.279	29	8	.286	77	-5	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
TOT	21	MLB	LAA	217	195	39	8	1	6	17	71	2	3	2	.200	.271	.344	.615	.144	.277	33	8	.263	60	-10	-0	+0	-4	+6	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	LAA	288	256	56	11	1	8	26	69	4	4	2	.219	.301	.363	.664	.145	.268	24	9	.301	89	-4	+0	+0	-5	+8	-0.1
2028	23	MLB 28%	LAA	380	337	76	15	2	11	35	88	5	6	2	.226	.308	.380	.688	.154	.270	23	9	.309	94	-2	+0	+0	-7	+11	0.2
2029	24	MLB 45%	LAA	442	392	90	17	2	14	42	101	5	7	3	.230	.312	.390	.702	.161	.271	23	10	.313	98	-1	+0	+0	-8	+13	0.4
2030	25	MLB 60%	LAA	476	421	97	19	2	15	46	108	6	7	3	.230	.315	.392	.707	.162	.273	23	10	.317	101	+0	+0	+0	-8	+13	0.6
2031	26	MLB 77%	LAA	496	438	101	19	2	16	49	113	6	7	3	.231	.316	.393	.709	.162	.273	23	10	.319	102	+1	+0	+0	-9	+14	0.7
2032	27	MLB	LAA	503	442	102	20	2	16	50	115	6	7	2	.231	.317	.394	.711	.163	.273	23	10	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	-9	+14	0.7
2033	28	MLB	LAA	503	441	101	19	2	16	51	116	6	6	2	.229	.317	.390	.707	.161	.272	23	10	.317	101	+1	+0	-1	-9	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB	LAA	496	437	100	19	2	16	50	116	6	6	2	.229	.316	.391	.708	.162	.272	23	10	.315	100	-0	+0	-1	-9	+14	0.4
2035	30	MLB	LAA	487	429	96	18	2	15	49	115	6	5	2	.224	.312	.380	.692	.156	.270	24	10	.312	97	-2	+0	-2	-9	+14	0.2
2036	31	MLB	LAA	474	417	93	18	2	14	48	114	6	4	1	.223	.312	.376	.689	.153	.269	24	10	.308	94	-3	+0	-3	-8	+13	-0.1
2037	32	MLB	LAA	457	403	88	17	2	13	46	112	5	3	1	.218	.306	.367	.673	.149	.267	25	10	.304	91	-5	+0	-4	-8	+13	-0.3
2038	33	MLB	LAA	428	377	81	15	2	12	43	108	5	3	0	.215	.304	.361	.664	.146	.265	25	10	.298	86	-7	+1	-4	-8	+12	-0.6
2039	34	MLB	LAA	382	337	70	13	1	10	38	100	4	2	0	.208	.296	.341	.637	.134	.263	26	10	.292	81	-8	+0	-5	-7	+11	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6753	5969	1310	251	30	192	641	1643	89	99	34	.219	.305	.368	.673	.149	.268	24	9	.302	89	-84	+6	-20	-121	+191	-2.7
/ 162G	—			650	575	126	24	3	18	62	158	9	10	3	.219	.305	.365	.671	.146	.269	24	10	.302	89	-8	+1	-2	-12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Angels	149	124	26	6	1	3	22	27	2	12	2	.210	.338	.347	.685	.137	.242	18	15	.314	99	-0	+2	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	18	ROK	DSL Angels	169	151	47	7	0	3	12	19	2	9	0	.311	.370	.417	.787	.106	.333	11	7	.346	123	+4	+2	—	—	+5	1.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Angels	213	170	42	7	3	3	32	45	8	6	4	.247	.390	.376	.767	.129	.315	21	15	.350	126	+6	-0	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	20	ROK	ACL Angels	231	196	48	14	4	2	28	56	5	2	4	.245	.354	.388	.741	.143	.331	24	12	.334	114	+4	-1	—	—	+7	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Athanael Duarte (OGILVIE)	21	35	30	40	45	.219/.296/.357	.138	.284	6	3	27%	9%	85	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Medina 2008 · A	21	42	44→45	45→50	46	.210/.285/.326	.117	.274	12	9	27%	8%	71	-0.3	.205/.283/.322	.117	.286	11	8	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.181/.269/.305	.124	.250	11	4	30%	6%	59	-0.2
✕Francisco Rodriguez 2016 · A	21	41	42→45	45→50	47	.197/.289/.302	.105	.283	9	9	31%	9%	68	-0.5	.185/.264/.280	.095	.311	8	6	40%	8%	51	-1.7	.144/.219/.247	.103	.250	8	2	43%	6%	20	-0.9
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Clint Coulter 2014 · A	21	42→43	43→50	44→40	43	.207/.274/.313	.106	.279	10	5	29%	7%	63	-0.9	.213/.287/.348	.135	.270	14	4	26%	7%	78	+0.2	.205/.273/.359	.153	.249	19	4	25%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Torin Montgomery 2023 · A	22	47	45→40	48→45	38	.220/.283/.342	.122	.338	12	6	37%	6%	74	-0.1	.226/.311/.324	.098	.344	8	5	33%	9%	82	+0.5	.220/.314/.307	.086	.343	7	3	34%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Rainer Nunez 2022 · A	21	39→49	44→45	41→30	45	.199/.262/.316	.116	.252	12	3	26%	7%	59	-1.1	.232/.272/.360	.128	.311	15	2	30%	5%	73	-0.1	.232/.273/.351	.118	.312	15	1	30%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Ramon Alvarado 2006 · A	21	44	44→45	49→50	44	.217/.294/.338	.120	.284	11	10	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.204/.269/.309	.105	.272	10	9	28%	6%	60	-1.0	.149/.205/.231	.081	.185	13	9	27%	4%	14	-0.8
✕Alberto Odreman 2010 · A	21	40	45→50	44→30	39	.205/.261/.323	.118	.277	14	3	31%	6%	60	-1.0	.195/.245/.298	.103	.293	10	5	35%	6%	46	-2.0	.136/.180/.222	.085	.220	7	2	40%	5%	-6	-1.2
✕Malcom Nuñez 2022 · AA	21	45→44	43→45	47→45	43	.221/.273/.323	.103	.282	11	8	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.287/.350	.126	.290	16	5	27%	7%	78	+0.2	.215/.279/.332	.117	.277	15	3	27%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Gabriel Moncada 2023 · A	21	45→40	42→45	44→40	45	.213/.292/.322	.109	.313	9	5	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.193/.265/.300	.107	.294	10	3	35%	8%	56	-1.3	.170/.241/.264	.094	.263	9	1	36%	8%	34	-1.4
✕Stanley Martinez 2018 · A	21	41	40→45	49→50	46	.200/.273/.294	.093	.261	7	8	25%	7%	58	-1.2	.224/.288/.327	.103	.314	9	7	30%	7%	72	-0.2	.220/.280/.293	.072	.342	5	3	34%	6%	56	-0.4
✕Albert Hernandez 2010 · A	21	48	40	48→45	47	.228/.290/.326	.098	.277	7	7	20%	7%	72	-0.2	.218/.273/.299	.081	.299	6	6	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.193/.237/.228	.035	.286	3	2	32%	5%	20	-0.8
●Robbie Tenerowicz 2017 · A	22	44→51	43→50	38→45	38	.216/.265/.328	.111	.296	10	4	30%	5%	63	-0.9	.227/.280/.338	.111	.289	10	6	24%	6%	71	-0.3	.232/.320/.392	.161	.288	20	2	25%	7%	102	+1.2
✕Cirilo Cumberbatch 2008 · A	22	48→43	42→40	48→45	44	.233/.290/.332	.100	.289	9	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	.218/.268/.291	.073	.282	6	7	23%	5%	54	-1.4	.204/.250/.248	.044	.268	3	7	24%	4%	32	-2.0
✕Travis Harrison 2014 · A	21	44→49	43→40	42→45	43	.213/.284/.323	.111	.297	11	3	30%	7%	70	-0.3	.212/.289/.305	.093	.295	6	5	28%	8%	67	-0.5	.203/.284/.286	.083	.286	4	7	28%	8%	58	-1.0
●Rainel Rosario 2011 · A	22	42→51	45→50	46→50	44	.207/.283/.342	.135	.296	11	9	32%	8%	74	-0.1	.210/.267/.310	.100	.310	8	9	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.253/.308/.402	.150	.285	19	6	18%	7%	96	+1.1
✕Brandon Wagner 2017 · A	21	42→46	46→45	43→30	44	.212/.278/.340	.128	.289	13	5	30%	8%	72	-0.2	.206/.280/.313	.107	.318	11	3	36%	8%	66	-0.6	.185/.269/.285	.100	.297	11	1	38%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Yassel Pino 2023 · A	21	40	46→45	46→40	46	.200/.276/.328	.128	.283	14	7	33%	9%	68	-0.5	.196/.262/.308	.112	.263	11	6	28%	7%	56	-1.3	.183/.249/.288	.105	.238	11	5	27%	7%	43	-1.0
●Kody Hinze 2009 · A	22	42→46	45→50	45→30	46	.213/.281/.336	.124	.281	13	4	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.208/.278/.341	.133	.286	15	2	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.216/.290/.370	.154	.285	20	1	30%	9%	82	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)