Athanael Duarte — OGILVIE

Athanael Duarte1B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .267 / .286

PA15

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP259

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Angels	—	149	124	26	6	1	3	22	27	2	12	2	210	338	347	685	137	242	18	15	314	99	-0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Angels	—	169	151	47	7	0	3	12	19	2	9	0	311	370	417	787	106	333	11	7	346	121	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	19	ROK	ACL Angels	—	213	170	42	7	3	3	32	45	8	6	4	247	390	376	767	129	315	21	15	350	123	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Angels	—	231	196	48	14	4	2	28	56	5	2	4	245	354	388	741	143	331	24	12	334	112	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	149	134	21	5	1	3	12	40	2	12	2	157	236	276	513	119	188	27	8	224	38	-11	+2	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	169	156	36	5	0	3	7	27	2	9	0	231	273	321	593	90	253	16	4	260	62	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	213	183	34	5	2	3	19	65	8	6	4	186	290	284	575	98	255	31	9	254	58	-11	-0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	231	208	33	9	2	2	16	83	5	2	4	159	236	250	486	91	243	36	7	213	30	-19	-1	—	—	+5	-1.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	149	134	21	5	1	3	12	40	2	12	2	157	236	276	513	119	196	27	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	149	124	26	6	1	3	22	27	2	12	2	210	338	347	685	137	242	18	15	314	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	169	156	36	5	0	3	7	27	2	9	0	231	273	321	593	90	256	16	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	169	151	47	7	0	3	12	19	2	9	0	311	370	417	787	106	333	11	7	346	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	213	183	34	5	2	3	19	65	8	6	4	186	290	284	575	98	265	31	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	—	213	170	42	7	3	3	32	45	8	6	4	247	390	376	767	129	315	21	15	350	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	231	208	33	9	2	2	16	83	5	2	4	159	236	250	486	91	250	36	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	—	231	196	48	14	4	2	28	56	5	2	4	245	354	388	741	143	331	24	12	334	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	149	134	21	5	1	3	12	40	2	12	2	157	236	276	513	119	188	27	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	169	158	36	5	0	3	7	27	2	9	0	228	273	316	589	89	253	16	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	213	184	34	5	2	3	19	65	8	6	4	185	290	283	573	98	255	31	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	231	208	33	9	2	2	16	83	5	2	4	159	236	250	486	91	243	36	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	169	158	36	5	0	3	7	27	2	9	0	228	273	316	589	89	253	16	4	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	213	184	34	5	2	3	19	65	8	6	4	185	290	283	573	98	255	31	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	231	208	33	9	2	2	16	83	5	2	4	159	236	250	486	91	243	36	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	LAA	—	105	86	10	2	0	1	13	45	3	2	1	116	255	174	429	58	214	43	12	191	15	-11	+0	+0	-2	+2	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	LAA	—	41	26	3	1	0	0	10	11	3	1	0	115	410	154	564	38	176	27	24	299	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A RAW	LAA	—	64	54	8	1	0	1	9	22	0	1	1	148	270	222	492	74	226	34	14	236	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	LAA	0%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	259	33	7	246	53	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	21	A MLE	LAA	—	120	100	13	3	0	1	14	50	3	2	1	130	256	190	446	60	235	42	12	198	20	-11	+0	+0	-2	+3	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	34%	288	257	49	10	2	4	24	86	5	4	2	191	273	292	565	101	262	30	8	258	61	-13	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAA	34%	99	89	16	3	1	1	8	30	2	1	1	180	263	270	532	90	261	30	8	245	61	-5	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	99	89	16	3	1	1	8	30	2	1	1	180	263	270	532	90	259	30	8	245	51	-5	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	106	20	7	7	53	197	13	7	7	182	265	276	540	94	261	30	8	245	51	-30	-1	+0	-12	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1065	952	176	35	7	15	79	306	22	33	12	185	263	284	547	99	252	29	7	243	51	-14	+0	+0	-5	+7	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	107	21	4	9	48	187	13	20	7	184	261	281	542	96	251	29	7	243	51	-31	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	316	4	4	195	268	289	-6	-2	-1.3	-0.6
/162	664	8	8	-11.9	-3.2	-2.7	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Athanael Duarte (OGILVIE)	21	35	30	40	45	178/263/262	84	259	2	3	31%	8%	53	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Nunez 2016 · A	21	41	36→30	45→55	43	193/260/262	69	278	3	7	30%	7%	50	-2.3	196/273/264	68	268	3	11	26%	9%	55	-1.9	200/288/269	69	247	5	16	19%	10%	61	-0.4
✕Juan Montes 2016 · A	21	39	39→30	43→55	43	190/267/276	86	260	7	5	28%	7%	57	-1.8	195/275/265	70	254	5	16	24%	6%	57	-1.8	185/271/239	53	243	4	21	23%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Dyron Campos 2022 · A	21	41	38→30	41→50	43	200/253/275	75	260	5	8	25%	6%	50	-2.3	179/233/279	100	275	10	9	37%	5%	43	-2.8	143/196/243	100	219	11	10	39%	4%	20	-1.5
✕Frank Hernandez 2023 · A	21	43	35→30	47→50	44	203/272/257	54	274	2	10	25%	7%	53	-2.1	205/260/264	59	299	3	8	30%	6%	50	-2.3	206/256/217	11	328	0	9	35%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	45	-2.7	208/274/288	80	306	4	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	208/281/288	80	312	4	8	32%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Luis Montero 2017 · A	21	45	35→30	45	45	211/276/272	61	277	2	6	23%	7%	58	-1.7	202/259/274	72	264	3	6	23%	6%	51	-2.2	177/231/241	64	222	0	3	19%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Carlos Quintana 2008 · A	21	43	37→40	40	42	202/268/276	74	291	4	5	30%	7%	56	-1.9	217/272/287	70	305	3	8	28%	6%	59	-1.6	224/258/258	33	326	0	17	30%	3%	44	-0.6
✕Ariel Baez 2012 · A	21	39	41→40	43→45	43	194/265/291	97	265	8	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	199/257/281	82	285	5	6	30%	6%	53	-2.1	173/227/238	65	246	2	6	29%	5%	30	-1.2
✕Jose Ramirez 2010 · A	21	39	38→40	46→50	43	188/249/265	77	248	5	10	25%	6%	47	-2.6	211/278/295	84	273	7	11	24%	7%	65	-1.2	214/288/286	72	266	9	15	22%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Estarlyn Morales 2014 · A	21	41→40	38→40	46→50	46	197/253/273	76	248	5	8	22%	7%	49	-2.4	207/254/300	93	287	7	12	29%	5%	56	-1.9	202/247/297	94	282	7	15	30%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Hector Rodriguez 2011 · A	21	44	37→40	40→30	44	207/267/280	72	258	4	3	21%	6%	56	-1.9	198/252/271	73	267	5	5	26%	6%	49	-2.4	140/186/179	39	189	4	2	27%	5%	3	-1.1
✕Cristopher Luciano 2016 · A	20	41	39→40	44→50	50	194/287/280	86	269	6	7	28%	10%	65	-1.2	189/274/269	80	284	5	6	32%	9%	57	-1.8	77/194/108	32	130	4	0	40%	12%	-8	-1.1
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	42→38	36→40	46→50	45	196/282/260	64	285	4	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	195/265/290	95	267	9	12	29%	7%	59	-1.7	182/251/273	91	250	9	14	30%	7%	47	-1.4
✕Reginald Lampe 2011 · A	21	43	38→45	39→55	43	203/263/286	83	274	5	6	26%	6%	56	-1.9	204/266/299	95	266	8	10	25%	7%	61	-1.5	188/253/281	93	240	8	12	24%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2014 · A	20	42	39→40	39→45	46	202/273/283	81	255	6	7	23%	7%	60	-1.6	204/268/284	80	277	5	6	26%	7%	58	-1.7	161/226/229	68	231	4	2	30%	6%	28	-0.8
✕Jose Tello 2019 · A	21	41	40	41→40	39	204/248/290	86	264	8	5	26%	4%	51	-2.2	207/247/318	111	269	12	4	27%	4%	57	-1.8	185/217/304	118	230	15	0	27%	3%	39	-0.8
✕Jose Benjamin 2017 · A	21	41	37→40	45→50	42	195/260/267	73	261	4	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	214/261/309	95	280	6	9	25%	5%	60	-1.6	224/253/343	119	276	8	9	22%	2%	63	-0.4
✕Maurizo Buda 2012 · A	20	40	37→40	38→40	42	189/263/261	72	271	5	4	30%	7%	51	-2.2	205/282/282	77	293	5	4	29%	8%	63	-1.4	192/282/254	62	276	4	1	29%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Rigoberto Rangel 2010 · A	21	41	39→45	43→40	44	199/268/288	89	262	5	4	25%	6%	59	-1.6	191/252/259	68	287	4	8	32%	6%	46	-2.6	160/219/196	36	254	2	10	35%	6%	17	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps