Athanael Duarte1B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION91 act + 126 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .256 / .257
PA126
HR1
K%32
BB%8
BABIP260
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -19.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-20BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +6.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -1.80-1.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.9-1.32627
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Angels 149135 23614 11412 122 170243319562 148209 287 240 42
202217 ROKDSL Angels 149124 26613 22272 122 210338347685 137242 1815 314 99
202318 ROKDSL Angels 169156 37603 7272 90 237279333612 96264 164 267 63
202318 ROKDSL Angels 169151 47703 12192 90 311370417787 106333 117 346 123
202419 ROKACL Angels 213183 35523 19648 64 191295290585 98271 309 261 58
202419 ROKACL Angels 213170 42733 32458 64 247390376767 129315 2115 350 126
202520 ROKACL Angels 231209 32922 15865 24 153227244471 91246 376 208 17
202520 ROKACL Angels 231196 481442 28565 24 245354388741 143331 2412 334 114
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ALAA 9177 7101 10422 11 91213143356 52171 4611 168 -13 -12 -0 +0 -2 +3 -1.1
YTD21 ALAA 9173 9201 14312 11 123281192473 68190 3415 234 37 -6 -0 +0 -2 +3 -0.6
ROS21 ALAA 0% 126113 20411 10402 21 177256257513 80255 328 241 42 -8 +0 +0 -2 +4 -0.7
ROS21 MLBLAA 0% 01 0000 000 00 254 226 31 +0 -0
FULL21 ALAA 9178 7101 10422 11 90213141355 51167 4611 168 -13 -12 -0 +0 -2 +3 -1.1
TOT21 ALAA 217190 27512 20824 32 142238211449 68231 389 210 19 -20 -0 +0 -4 +6 -1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBLAA 34% 288258 481024 23885 32 186266287553 101262 318 255 53 -15 -0 +0 -5 +8 -1.3
202722 MLBLAA 34% 9989 17312 8302 11 191273315587 124261 308 242 43 -6 -0 +0 -2 +3 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 9990 17312 8302 11 189273311584 122259 308 242 43 -6 -0 +0 -2 +3 -0.6
/ 162G 650591 11220713 5319713 77 190274313587 124260 308 242 43 -42 -1 +0 -12 +18 -3.7
Career 11761054 19540817 8534624 3413 185261287548 102254 297 245 46 -72 +2 +0 -21 +33 -5.9
/ 162G 650583 1072249 4719113 197 184260281541 98253 297 245 46 -40 +1 +0 -12 +18 -3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Angels 149124 26613 22272 122 210338347685 137242 1815 314 99 -0 +2 +4 0.6
202318 ROKDSL Angels 169151 47703 12192 90 311370417787 106333 117 346 123 +4 +2 +5 1.1
202419 ROKACL Angels 213170 42733 32458 64 247390376767 129315 2115 350 126 +6 -0 +6 1.2
202520 ROKACL Angels 231196 481442 28565 24 245354388741 143331 2412 334 114 +4 -1 +7 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA
71,740625242294417-17-200.60.6
/162664242-6.5-7.60.2pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
131644194264292-6-2-1.3-0.7
/16266498-11.9-3.2-2.8pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA
61,7485423246305405-19-39-1.1-1.1
/162664219-7.1-14.7-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Athanael Duarte (OGILVIE) 21 35 30 40 45 142/238/211 68231 23 38% 9% 19 -1.8
Juan Montes
2016 · A
21 39 39→30 43→55 43 190/267/276 86260 75 28% 7% 51 -1.7 195/275/265 70254 516 24% 6% 52 -1.6 185/271/2395324342123%5%42-0.7
Richard Nunez
2016 · A
21 41 36→30 45→55 43 193/260/262 69278 37 30% 7% 43 -2.2 196/273/264 68268 311 26% 9% 50 -1.8 200/288/2696924751619%10%56-0.3
Dyron Campos
2022 · A
21 41 38→30 41→50 43 200/253/275 75260 58 25% 6% 43 -2.2 173/227/266 93274 99 38% 5% 30 -3.1 132/186/22189211101041%4%0-1.7
Ariel Baez
2012 · A
21 39 41→40 43→45 43 194/265/291 97265 85 29% 7% 53 -1.5 199/257/281 82285 56 30% 6% 46 -2.0 173/227/238652462629%5%20-1.1
Frank Hernandez
2023 · A
21 43 34→30 47→50 44 203/271/256 53275 210 25% 6% 46 -2.0 205/260/264 59300 38 31% 6% 43 -2.2 204/255/216113290935%5%24-0.9
Luis Montero
2017 · A
21 45 35→30 45 45 211/276/272 61277 26 23% 7% 53 -1.5 202/259/274 72264 36 23% 6% 45 -2.1 177/231/241642220319%6%20-1.0
Joey Armstrong
2016 · A
22 39 37→40 44→45 44 189/248/258 70262 55 29% 7% 37 -2.6 210/276/290 80306 57 30% 7% 57 -1.2 212/285/293813134831%7%58-0.5
Estarlyn Morales
2014 · A
21 41→39 38→40 46→50 46 197/253/273 76248 58 22% 7% 43 -2.2 205/253/300 95286 812 30% 5% 50 -1.8 199/244/2979828081531%5%43-1.3
Jose Tello
2019 · A
21 41 40 41→40 39 204/248/290 86264 85 26% 4% 45 -2.1 206/246/317 111267 124 27% 4% 51 -1.7 182/213/30011822515027%3%29-0.8
Carlos Quintana
2008 · A
21 43 37→40 40 42 202/268/276 74291 45 30% 7% 50 -1.7 217/272/287 70305 38 28% 6% 54 -1.4 224/258/2583332601730%3%37-0.6
Ismael Alcantara
2014 · A
20 42 39→40 39→45 46 202/273/283 81255 67 23% 7% 55 -1.4 204/268/284 80277 56 26% 7% 53 -1.5 161/226/229682314230%6%18-0.8
Elio Prado
2023 · A
21 44→37 36→40 46→50 47 203/290/267 64289 46 28% 8% 59 -1.1 194/265/290 96265 912 29% 7% 53 -1.5 180/250/27192246101430%7%39-1.4
Maurizo Buda
2012 · A
20 40 37→40 38→40 42 189/263/261 72271 54 30% 7% 45 -2.1 205/282/282 77293 54 29% 8% 58 -1.2 192/282/254622764129%9%51-0.7
Jose Ramirez
2010 · A
21 39 38→40 46→50 43 188/249/265 77248 510 25% 6% 40 -2.4 211/278/295 84273 711 24% 7% 60 -1.0 214/288/2867226691522%7%59-0.5
Jose Benjamin
2017 · A
21 41 37→40 45→50 42 195/260/267 73261 411 26% 6% 45 -2.1 214/261/309 95280 69 25% 5% 55 -1.4 224/253/3431192768922%2%59-0.3
Cristopher Luciano
2016 · A
20 41 39→40 44→50 50 194/287/280 86269 67 28% 10% 61 -1.0 189/274/269 80284 56 32% 9% 52 -1.6 77/194/108321304040%12%-22-1.1
Reginald Lampe
2011 · A
21 43 38→45 39→55 43 203/263/286 83274 56 26% 6% 50 -1.7 204/266/299 95266 810 25% 7% 56 -1.3 188/253/2819324081224%7%43-0.8
Victor Duarte
2022 · A
21 39 38→30 48→45 42 188/251/269 81260 67 29% 6% 42 -2.3 199/274/280 81291 66 31% 8% 55 -1.4 183/255/2506625161127%8%37-0.7
Hector Rodriguez
2011 · A
21 44 37→40 40→30 44 207/267/280 72258 43 21% 6% 50 -1.7 198/252/271 73267 55 26% 6% 42 -2.3 140/186/179391894227%5%-10-1.1
Adalfi Almonte
2016 · A
20 40 38→40 44→50 48 189/286/268 79268 511 29% 9% 58 -1.2 204/300/282 78311 512 32% 9% 67 -0.5 165/304/2225728552337%12%53-0.3