Athanael Duarte

1B Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKLAA213.247/.390/.3763657—.186/.290/.284
202520ROKLAA231.245/.354/.3882228—.159/.236/.250
202621A/ROKLAA105.138/.324/.2001212—.114/.246/.170
2027PROJMLE22MLBLAA215.196/.271/.2832358-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBLAA41.200/.275/.2971164-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%89
BB%65
Speed21
ISO19
K%11
wOBA5
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJoey Armstrong (age 22) · Nick Sinay (age 22) · Steven Mateo (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .269 / .281
PA66
HR1
K%28
BB%8
ISO87
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Angels — 149124 26613 22272 122 210338347685 137242 1815 314 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Angels — 169151 47703 12192 90 311370417787 106333 117 346 36 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Angels — 213170 42733 32458 64 247390376767 129315 2115 350 57 — — — — — —
202520 ROKACL Angels — 231196 481442 28565 24 245354388741 143331 2412 334 28 — — — — — —
202621 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 6454 8101 9220 11 148270222492 74226 3414 236 1 — — — — — —
202621 ROKACL Angels — 4126 3100 10113 10 115410154564 38176 2724 299 30 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 149132 18412 14342 122 136230227457 91156 239 202 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 169155 30402 8232 90 194242258500 65208 145 222 36 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Angels — 213183 34523 19658 64 186290284575 98254 319 252 57 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Angels — 231208 33922 16835 24 159236250486 91239 367 210 28 — — — — — —
202621 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 6457 7101 6300 11 123206193399 70204 479 169 1 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEACL Angels — 4130 3100 6163 10 100308133441 33137 3915 212 30 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 149132 18412 14342 122 136230227457 91165 239 202 23 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Angels — 149124 26613 22272 122 210338347685 137242 1815 314 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 169155 30402 8232 90 194242258500 65211 145 222 36 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Angels — 169151 47703 12192 90 311370417787 106333 117 346 36 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Angels — 213183 34523 19658 64 186290284575 98265 319 252 57 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWACL Angels — 213170 42733 32458 64 247390376767 129315 2115 350 57 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Angels — 231208 33922 16835 24 159236250486 91250 367 210 28 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWACL Angels — 231196 481442 28565 24 245354388741 143331 2412 334 28 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 10587 10201 12463 21 115245172418 57214 4411 186 12 — — — — — —
202621 A RAW2 teams — 10580 11201 19333 21 138324200524 62208 3118 260 12 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 149132 18412 14342 122 136230227457 91156 239 202 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Angels — 169157 30402 8232 90 191242255497 64208 145 222 36 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Angels — 213184 34523 19658 64 185290283573 98254 319 252 57 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Angels — 231208 33922 16835 24 159236250486 91239 367 210 28 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 10589 10201 12463 21 112245169414 56178 4411 186 12 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEACL Angels — 213184 34523 19658 64 185290283573 98254 319 252 57 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEACL Angels — 231208 33922 16835 24 159236250486 91239 367 210 28 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 10589 10201 12463 21 112245169414 56178 4411 186 12 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLELAA 0% 215193 38812 17603 31 196271283554 87269 288 254 58 -11 +0 +0 -4 +5 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLELAA 34% 120107 22412 10332 21 201276299576 98271 288 263 64 -5 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.5
202823 MLB CTXLAA 34% 4137 7101 3111 10 200275297572 97269 277 261 64 -2 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4137 7101 3111 10 189268297566 108240 277 261 39 -2 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 11116016 4817416 160 189269298567 109239 277 261 39 -28 +3 +0 -12 +14 -2.3
Career— MLE — 1053932 15830613 8430223 3412 170255256511 87231 298 226 39 -8 +0 +0 -3 +4 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 981948 5218614 217 170255259515 89233 298 226 39 -29 +1 +0 -12 +14 -2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 64 PAwOBA .230 → .169 (−61)K% 34.4% → 46.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.38%÷1.000×1.360——46.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.06%÷1.000×0.690——9.70%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷1.000×0.920——17.25%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷1.000×0.830——2.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP3.12%÷1.000×0.800——2.50%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .230 → .169; ISO .074 → .052; BABIP .226 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Angels · 41 PAwOBA .310 → .212 (−97)K% 26.8% → 38.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.83%÷1.000×1.440——38.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.39%÷1.000×0.620—×0.97514.74%
HBP% /PA7.32%—×0.720—×0.9755.14%
Singles /BIP13.33%÷1.000×0.820—×0.97510.66%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9754.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .310 → .212; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .176 → .137. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Angels · 231 PAwOBA .327 → .210 (−117)K% 24.2% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷0.969×1.440——36.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.12%÷1.082×0.620—×0.9856.84%
HBP% /PA2.16%—×0.720—×0.9851.54%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.015×0.820×0.958×0.98515.24%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.992×0.720×0.958×0.9856.85%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.134×0.720×0.958×0.9851.71%
Home runs /BIP1.43%÷0.873×0.780—×0.9851.26%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 127, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .327 → .210; ISO .143 → .092; BABIP .331 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Angels · 213 PAwOBA .345 → .252 (−93)K% 21.1% → 30.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.13%÷1.004×1.440——30.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.02%÷1.026×0.620—×0.9959.03%
HBP% /PA3.76%—×0.720—×0.9952.69%
Singles /BIP23.20%÷0.958×0.820×0.990×0.99519.56%
Doubles /BIP5.60%÷0.966×0.720×0.990×0.9954.11%
Triples /BIP2.40%÷1.053×0.720×0.990×0.9951.62%
Home runs /BIP2.40%÷0.895×0.780—×0.9952.08%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 111, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .345 → .252; ISO .129 → .099; BABIP .315 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Angels · 169 PAwOBA .343 → .222 (−122)K% 11.2% → 13.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.24%÷1.002×1.220——13.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.10%÷1.018×0.700—×0.9954.86%
HBP% /PA1.18%—×0.700—×0.9950.82%
Singles /BIP28.03%÷1.028×0.680×0.958×0.99517.68%
Doubles /BIP5.30%÷0.927×0.600×0.958×0.9953.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.958×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP2.27%÷0.852×0.470—×0.9951.25%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 106, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .343 → .222; ISO .106 → .063; BABIP .333 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Angels · 149 PAwOBA .307 → .202 (−104)K% 18.1% → 22.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.12%÷0.976×1.220——22.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.09%÷1.074×0.700—×1.0089.25%
HBP% /PA1.34%—×0.700—×1.0080.95%
Singles /BIP16.49%÷1.016×0.680×0.960×1.00810.67%
Doubles /BIP6.19%÷0.863×0.600×0.960×1.0084.16%
Triples /BIP1.03%÷0.964×0.600×0.960×1.0080.62%
Home runs /BIP3.09%÷0.801×0.470—×1.0081.83%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 103, 2B 73, 3B 93, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .307 → .202; ISO .137 → .088; BABIP .242 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).