Frank Hernandez — OGILVIE

Frank HernandezLF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .257 / .285

PA6

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	212	181	52	6	2	1	20	26	8	9	6	287	383	359	742	72	325	12	9	339	115	+4	-1	—	—	+5	0.8
2022	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	55	45	4	0	0	0	7	12	2	1	0	89	241	89	330		121	22	13	181	9	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	69	59	18	3	0	0	8	15	2	3	1	305	406	356	762	51	409	22	12	355	126	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	71	66	16	2	1	1	5	12	0	0	1	242	296	348	644	106	283	17	7	290	83	-1	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	153	136	33	2	0	0	13	37	2	4	2	243	318	257	575	15	333	24	8	269	68	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	212	189	44	4	2	1	12	38	8	9	6	233	306	291	597	58	265	18	6	255	59	-10	-1	—	—	+5	-0.7
2022	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	55	48	4	0	0	0	4	17	2	1	0	83	185	83	269		123	31	7	139	-20	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	69	62	14	2	0	0	5	22	2	3	1	226	304	258	562	32	332	32	7	245	52	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	71	68	13	1	1	1	3	17	0	0	1	191	225	279	505	88	237	24	4	211	29	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	153	141	30	2	0	0	8	53	2	4	2	213	265	227	492	14	328	35	5	218	34	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	212	189	44	4	2	1	12	38	8	9	6	233	306	291	597	58	281	18	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	212	181	52	6	2	1	20	26	8	9	6	287	383	359	742	72	325	12	9	339	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	124	110	17	2	0	0	9	39	4	4	1	155	244	173	417	18	239	31	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	124	104	22	3	0	0	15	27	4	4	1	212	333	240	574	29	286	22	12	278	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	71	68	13	1	1	1	3	17	0	0	1	191	225	279	505	88	240	24	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	71	66	16	2	1	1	5	12	0	0	1	242	296	348	644	106	283	17	7	290	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	153	141	30	2	0	0	8	53	2	4	2	213	265	227	492	14	341	35	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	153	136	33	2	0	0	13	37	2	4	2	243	318	257	575	15	333	24	8	269	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	212	190	44	4	2	1	12	38	8	9	6	232	306	289	596	58	265	18	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	124	110	17	2	0	0	9	39	4	4	1	155	244	173	417	18	239	31	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	71	68	13	1	1	1	3	17	0	0	1	191	225	279	505	88	237	24	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	153	142	30	2	0	0	8	53	2	4	2	211	265	225	490	14	328	35	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	71	68	13	1	1	1	3	17	0	0	1	191	225	279	505	88	237	24	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	153	142	30	2	0	0	8	53	2	4	2	211	265	225	490	14	328	35	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		286	33	0	249	54	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	131	120	25	4	1	2	9	40	1	2	1	208	269	308	578	100	287	31	7	259	61	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	289	31	8	253	61	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	261	31	8	253	44	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	117	17	0	17	50	200	0	17	0	195	257	308	565	113	261	31	8	253	44	-30	+3	+0	-7	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	697	634	130	13	4	4	41	189	15	19	11	205	270	257	527	52	283	27	6	233	44	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	122	12	4	4	38	176	14	18	10	206	271	261	531	54	284	27	6	233	44	-30	+0	+0	-7	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frank Hernandez (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	198/257/285	86	286	1	1	32%	6%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	41	42→50	49→50	43	202/263/308	106	276	10	11	30%	7%	61	-1.5	185/246/300	115	257	13	11	32%	6%	54	-2.0	146/220/249	103	210	14	11	37%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Kyle Robinson 2012 · A	23	35	41→45	51→30	39	178/228/284	107	247	8	4	31%	6%	43	-2.8	205/255/294	89	300	5	5	31%	6%	55	-2.0	210/261/310	100	314	5	1	33%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Doran Turchin 2021 · A	24	39	42→45	48→50	39	188/259/291	104	294	9	7	37%	7%	57	-1.8	197/270/316	119	327	11	10	40%	7%	67	-1.1	159/245/278	118	272	12	11	43%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Skyler Ewing 2017 · A	24	40→39	42→45	45→30	42	198/262/305	107	265	10	3	28%	6%	61	-1.5	198/272/342	144	272	16	4	32%	7%	74	-0.5	192/278/365	173	240	21	1	29%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	181/251/288	108	274	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/278/297	95	279	9	12	29%	8%	65	-1.2	198/280/282	84	265	10	14	27%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Tyler Marincov 2016 · A	24	42	43→50	47→50	39	206/259/317	111	289	10	10	31%	6%	62	-1.4	207/261/332	125	293	14	9	33%	6%	66	-1.1	197/253/328	131	278	16	10	34%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Josh Richmond 2013 · A	24	34→40	41→45	48→45	36	175/225/277	101	253	8	8	34%	5%	40	-3.1	201/254/324	123	281	11	8	31%	5%	61	-1.5	203/258/337	135	277	12	7	30%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	205/266/301	96	298	7	10	32%	8%	61	-1.5	190/261/305	115	269	10	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	172/251/288	116	240	10	18	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39→38	42→50	46→55	38	194/256/302	108	290	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	185/249/303	118	274	11	13	35%	6%	56	-1.9	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Matt Pita 2021 · A	24	38	37→50	49→55	36	183/234/261	77	267	3	10	31%	4%	40	-3.1	198/258/330	132	275	14	16	32%	5%	65	-1.2	179/240/316	137	249	14	27	33%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Jay Brossman 2009 · A	24	42→36	43→45	46→45	40	209/258/320	111	270	10	9	27%	5%	63	-1.4	199/249/323	124	255	13	8	27%	5%	60	-1.6	181/229/310	129	221	16	7	26%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Michael Soto 2016 · A	24	41→37	41→40	50→45	39	203/244/300	97	276	8	7	29%	5%	52	-2.2	193/240/274	81	292	6	8	34%	6%	45	-2.7	128/170/161	33	216	3	2	41%	5%	-10	-1.6