Jostin Melo

2B DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 18 S/R ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	160	.261/.448/.278	0	16	60	—	.184/.338/.192
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBPIT	270	.229/.315/.290	2	6	76	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBPIT	76	.233/.319/.304	1	2	81	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBPIT	172	.236/.323/.316	2	4	86	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%98

Whiff%98

Z-Con%96

BB%83

Chase%69

wOBA61

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAngel Genao (age 18) · Leo Rivas (age 18) · Jaison Chourio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 133 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .312 / .288

PA133

HR1

K%20

BB%10

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	160	115	30	2	0	0	33	13	6	16	6	261	448	278	726	17	283	8	21	346	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	160	125	23	1	0	0	23	16	6	16	6	184	338	192	530	8	193	10	14	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	160	125	23	1	0	0	23	16	6	16	6	184	338	192	530	8	204	10	14	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	160	115	30	2	0	0	33	13	6	16	6	261	448	278	726	17	283	8	21	346	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	160	130	23	1	0	0	23	16	6	16	6	177	338	185	522	8	193	10	14	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	160	130	23	1	0	0	23	16	6	16	6	177	338	185	522	8	193	10	14	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	270	238	56	7	2	2	26	54	4	6	1	229	315	290	605	62	287	20	10	281	76	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	221	194	45	6	1	2	21	44	4	5	1	233	320	305	625	72	289	20	10	288	81	-5	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	354	311	74	10	2	4	34	71	6	8	2	236	323	318	641	82	291	20	10	295	86	-6	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	454	400	96	13	3	6	43	91	8	10	3	239	326	329	655	90	292	20	9	300	89	-6	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	525	461	111	15	3	8	50	105	9	12	3	241	327	339	666	98	293	20	10	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	573	504	123	17	3	10	54	115	10	13	3	243	329	347	676	104	294	20	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	604	532	130	18	3	11	57	121	10	14	3	244	330	351	681	107	295	20	9	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+2	+13	1.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	622	547	135	19	4	11	59	124	11	14	4	245	331	354	685	109	295	20	9	311	97	-3	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	631	555	137	19	4	12	60	126	11	14	4	245	331	356	687	111	294	20	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	632	556	136	19	3	12	60	127	11	14	4	244	330	353	683	109	294	20	9	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+2	+14	1.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	627	552	133	18	3	11	60	128	10	13	4	242	328	348	676	106	293	20	10	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	618	544	131	18	3	11	59	128	10	13	4	240	325	342	666	102	292	21	10	304	92	-6	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	607	535	127	17	3	10	57	127	10	12	4	236	321	333	654	97	290	21	9	299	88	-8	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.6
2040	31	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	593	524	122	16	3	9	55	127	9	11	5	232	316	323	639	91	287	21	9	293	84	-11	+0	-3	+2	+13	0.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	575	508	115	15	2	8	53	126	9	10	7	227	310	311	621	84	283	22	9	285	79	-14	-1	-4	+2	+12	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	76	68	15	2	0	1	7	15	1	2	0	233	319	304	623	71	289	20	9	288	81	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	172	151	36	5	1	2	16	34	3	4	1	236	323	316	639	80	291	20	9	294	86	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	246	217	51	7	1	3	23	49	4	6	1	238	325	326	652	88	292	20	9	299	89	-3	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	297	262	63	9	2	4	28	59	5	7	2	240	327	336	662	95	293	20	9	303	92	-3	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	330	290	70	10	2	5	31	66	6	7	2	242	328	343	671	101	294	20	9	306	94	-2	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	344	302	74	11	2	6	33	69	6	8	2	243	329	347	676	104	295	20	10	308	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	353	310	76	11	2	6	34	71	6	8	2	244	330	350	679	106	295	20	10	309	97	-1	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	357	314	76	11	2	6	34	71	6	8	2	244	330	352	681	107	295	20	10	310	97	-1	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	351	309	75	11	2	6	33	71	6	8	2	243	329	349	678	106	294	20	9	308	96	-2	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	344	302	73	10	2	6	33	70	6	7	2	241	327	344	671	103	293	20	10	305	94	-2	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	330	291	70	10	2	5	31	68	5	7	2	239	324	338	662	99	292	21	9	302	92	-3	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	347	305	72	10	2	5	33	73	6	7	2	235	320	330	650	94	290	21	10	297	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	353	311	73	10	2	5	33	75	6	7	3	231	315	320	635	89	287	21	9	291	84	-7	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	352	312	69	9	1	4	32	77	5	6	4	226	309	308	617	82	283	22	9	284	79	-9	-0	-2	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4252	3744	893	126	23	64	401	868	71	92	27	239	324	336	660	97	292	20	9	301	90	-45	+8	-6	+15	+92	6.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	137	19	4	10	61	133	11	14	4	240	325	339	664	100	293	20	9	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7929	6965	1665	224	41	126	758	1603	136	182	57	239	326	337	663	98	292	20	10	302	90	-85	+13	-10	+28	+168	11.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	135	18	3	10	62	131	11	15	5	236	323	331	654	95	288	20	10	302	90	-7	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Lenny Randle'71-'82 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,427 PA	6.7	4,427	27	156	256*	323*	370*	+10	+7	8.7	9.8
/162	664	4	23	+1.5	+1.0	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Don Blasingame'55-'66 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,938 PA	8.9	5,938	21	105	253*	326*	336*	+23	+12	7.6	9.4
/162	664	2	12	+2.5	+1.3	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#5Ralph Young'13-'22 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,336 PA	6.5	4,336	4	92	233*	324*	337*	+16	+8	7.3	8.4
/162	664	1	14	+2.5	+1.2	1.1	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,386	70	94	240	322	339	+16	+9	9.5	8.2
/162	664	11	14	+2.4	+1.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jostin Melo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	227/312/288	61	287	1	3	20%	10%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	41→51	36→40	51→65	48	192/286/264	72	258	2	16	24%	8%	61	-1.5	206/297/278	72	286	3	17	26%	10%	68	-1.0	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	45→55	37→40	53→55	62	208/315/286	78	255	3	15	18%	13%	77	-0.3	227/325/310	83	318	4	21	26%	12%	85	+0.2	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Pedro Ramírez 2022 · A	18	49→57	37→45	48→55	46	228/280/306	78	265	3	10	15%	5%	67	-1.1	238/295/338	100	300	7	13	22%	6%	80	-0.2	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→45	53→55	57	205/300/267	62	260	3	17	20%	11%	67	-1.1	222/307/301	79	287	4	15	22%	9%	77	-0.3	258/359/382	124	284	11	19	13%	13%	115	+2.4
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	45→55	36→45	50→45	54	206/294/278	71	267	2	9	22%	10%	67	-1.1	203/252/261	58	256	2	6	21%	5%	46	-2.6	279/319/373	94	320	8	6	15%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Victor Reyes 2013 · A	18	46→56	34→50	47→55	50	212/296/257	45	288	2	12	25%	9%	63	-1.4	241/284/292	51	311	1	9	21%	5%	64	-1.3	284/319/425	141	349	12	18	21%	4%	108	+1.2
●Vidal Bruján 2016 · A	18	46→56	36→45	50→65	58	210/291/278	68	229	3	17	10%	9%	65	-1.2	233/293/323	90	265	4	17	13%	7%	76	-0.4	252/312/364	113	300	8	43	18%	7%	89	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4

Jostin Melo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps