Ismael Contreras

P DSL Colorado

Age 18 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	17	ROKDSL Colorado	11	5	28	4.45	4.58	17.1%	15.5%	—	K 11.6% · BB 19.4% · FIP 5.77
2027PROJ	18	MLB—	16	0	17	5.58	5.58	19.4%	16.6%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	19	MLB—	12	0	13	5.29	5.18	20.4%	14.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsErnesto Jaquez (age 18) · Edinzo Marquez (age 17) · Joseph Hernandez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.58

FIP5.58

K%19.4%

BB%16.6%

K-BB%2.7%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	5	28	129	22	20	2	45%	2.6	11.6%	19.4%	-7.8%	2.2%	4.45	5.77	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	5	28	129	22	20	2	45%	2.6	11.6%	19.4%	-7.8%	2.2%	4.45	5.77	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	5	28	129	22	20	2	45%	2.6	17.1%	15.5%	1.6%	1.6%	4.45	4.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	18	MLB	—	16	0	17	72	14	12	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	16.6%	2.7%	3.0%	5.58	5.58	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	26	0	27	113	23	16	3	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.4%	6.0%	2.9%	5.29	5.18	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	12	0	13	55	11	8	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.4%	6.0%	2.9%	5.29	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	11	8	2	0%	1.0	20.4%	14.4%	6.0%	2.9%	5.29	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	121	30	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.4%	6.0%	2.9%	5.29	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		11	5	28	129	15	25	3	45%	2.6	11.6%	19.4%	-7.8%	2.2%	4.45	5.77	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	35	200	911	106	176	20	45%	2.6	11.6%	19.4%	-7.8%	2.2%	4.45	5.77	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ismael Contreras (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.58	19.4%	16.6%	3.0%	—	5.18	20.4%	6.0%	27	-0.40	—	—	—
Ernesto Jaquez R 2017 · 4.99 FIP	18	SW	4.99	18.4%	16.9%	2.4%	.265	2.56	24.8%	15.7%	53	-2.43	2.56	239	92
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	89
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	86
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	86
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	85
Eliazar Dishmey R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	18	SW	6.05	17.9%	15.1%	4.6%	.302	3.83	21.9%	9.2%	268	-2.22	3.40	311	85
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	85
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	84
Yosber Sanchez R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	18	SP-	5.58	14.6%	14.9%	3.3%	.315	4.61	20.2%	-5.2%	13	-0.97	3.21	200	84
Andry Cuevas R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	18	SW	4.68	18.2%	17.1%	1.7%	.223	4.21	20.7%	2.6%	71	-0.47	3.71	108	83
Jesus Rivero R 2021 · 5.42 FIP	18	SP-	5.42	21.7%	22.1%	2.5%	.224	4.35	21.7%	1.5%	117	-1.07	4.09	146	83
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	81
Yorman Galindez R 2022 · 4.93 FIP	19	SW	4.93	19.1%	18.3%	2.1%	.374	3.77	22.9%	6.2%	96	-1.16	3.63	201	81
Ben Peoples R 2019 · 6.28 FIP	18	SW	6.28	21.8%	27.5%	2.8%	.227	4.51	23.0%	9.1%	103	-1.77	3.56	365	80
Jaydenn Estanista R 2021 · 4.72 FIP	19	SP-	4.72	18.1%	19.2%	1.3%	.254	5.35	21.0%	2.6%	109	+0.63	4.59	230	80
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	80
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.30	277	79
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	79
Alfredo Romero R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	19	SW	6.31	16.7%	16.6%	4.6%	.172	4.44	14.6%	-1.1%	146	-1.87	4.40	256	79
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	79