Ben Peoples

P Round Rock Express

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AATB	12	12	55	3.42	3.70	24.9%	10.0%	—	K 20.2% · BB 11.0% · FIP 4.60
2025	24	AAACWS	45	0	49	3.33	3.84	23.0%	12.7%	—	K 19.8% · BB 11.5% · FIP 3.78
2026	25	MIX2 levels	54	0	63	3.02	3.88	24.9%	12.8%	0.5	K 22.0% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.05
2027PROJ	26	MLBTEX	45	0	47	4.49	4.69	21.8%	12.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ79% MLB	27	MLBTEX	39	0	41	4.59	4.69	21.9%	12.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ85% MLB	28	MLBTEX	37	0	39	4.67	4.74	21.9%	12.0%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo71

xwOBA vs57

K%10

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 1.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsGrant Black (age 27) · Daniel Corcino (age 26) · Layne Somsen (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.49

FIP4.69

K%21.8%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Statcast · Contract

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p4124.0%

p1014.7%

xwOBA vs

p570.305

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	5	2	11	50	16	11	1	40%	2.1	21.8%	27.5%	-5.7%	2.8%	5.91	6.28	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Rays	5	2	11	50	16	11	1	40%	2.1	32.0%	22.0%	10.0%	2.0%	5.91	4.41	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	9	4	19	85	29	13	0	44%	2.1	23.2%	19.1%	4.1%	0.0%	2.84	3.56	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	9	4	19	85	29	13	0	44%	2.1	34.1%	15.3%	18.8%	0.0%	2.84	2.10	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	94	388	121	42	9	96%	3.9	23.0%	12.8%	10.2%	3.5%	3.06	4.72	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	94	388	121	42	9	96%	3.9	31.2%	10.8%	20.4%	2.3%	3.06	3.11	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	84	365	96	45	7	100%	3.8	20.3%	14.2%	6.1%	2.2%	4.06	4.42	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	84	365	96	45	7	100%	3.8	26.3%	12.3%	14.0%	1.9%	4.06	3.50	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	20.2%	11.0%	9.1%	3.3%	3.42	4.60	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	20.2%	11.0%	9.1%	3.3%	3.42	4.60	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	24.9%	10.0%	14.8%	2.6%	3.42	3.70	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.5%	8.3%	1.6%	3.33	3.78	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.5%	8.3%	1.6%	3.33	3.78	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.7%	10.3%	2.0%	3.33	3.84	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	63	257	64	33	6	0%	1.2	22.0%	11.9%	10.1%	2.4%	3.02	4.05	+0.4
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	63	257	64	33	6	0%	1.2	22.0%	11.9%	10.1%	2.4%	3.02	4.05	+0.4
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	63	257	64	33	6	0%	1.2	24.9%	12.8%	12.1%	2.3%	3.02	3.88	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	16	68	10	8	3	0%	1.0	14.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.4%	2.76	5.73	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TEX	45	0	47	198	43	24	5	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.3%	9.5%	2.7%	4.49	4.69	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	50	0	52	220	48	27	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.1%	9.9%	2.8%	4.59	4.69	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	43	0	45	191	42	23	6	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.0%	9.9%	2.9%	4.67	4.74	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	39	0	41	173	38	21	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.1%	9.9%	2.8%	4.59	4.69	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	37	0	39	165	36	20	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.0%	9.9%	2.9%	4.67	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		92	0	96	406	84	49	13	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.0%	8.7%	3.1%	4.31	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	842	174	102	27	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.0%	8.7%	3.1%	4.31	4.57	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		171	63	375	1578	337	211	40	37%	2.2	21.4%	13.3%	8.0%	2.6%	3.44	4.39	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	34	200	842	180	112	22	37%	2.2	21.4%	13.3%	8.0%	2.6%	3.44	4.39	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAARound Rock Express · 46 IPFIP 3.23 → 3.49 (+0.26)K% 28.6% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.57%	—	×0.860	24.57%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.23%	—	×0.900	11.90%
HR / BF /BF	1.59%	÷1.000	×1.100	1.75%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.23 → 3.49, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 49 IPFIP 3.85 → 3.78 (−0.07)K% 23.0% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.04%	—	×0.860	19.81%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.75%	—	×0.900	11.47%
HR / BF /BF	1.96%	÷1.320	×1.100	1.63%

Result: FIP 3.85 → 3.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 55 IPFIP 3.71 → 4.60 (+0.89)K% 24.9% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.89%	—	×0.810	20.16%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.04%	—	×1.100	11.05%
HR / BF /BF	2.62%	÷0.958	×1.200	3.28%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 92).

Result: FIP 3.71 → 4.60, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 84 IPFIP 3.49 → 4.42 (+0.93)K% 26.3% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.30%	—	×0.770	20.25%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.33%	—	×1.150	14.18%
HR / BF /BF	1.92%	÷1.066	×1.250	2.25%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 113).

Result: FIP 3.49 → 4.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ACharleston RiverDogs · 84 IPFIP 3.26 → 4.72 (+1.47)K% 31.1% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.14%	—	×0.740	23.05%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.86%	—	×1.180	12.81%
HR / BF /BF	2.57%	÷0.943	×1.300	3.55%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 89).

Result: FIP 3.26 → 4.72, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 10 IPFIP 1.77 → 2.58 (+0.81)K% 31.6% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.58%	—	×0.770	24.32%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.53%	—	×1.150	12.11%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.020	×1.250	0.00%

Result: FIP 1.77 → 2.58, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Rays · 19 IPFIP 2.16 → 3.56 (+1.41)K% 34.1% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	34.12%	—	×0.680	23.20%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.29%	—	×1.250	19.12%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.948	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 2.16 → 3.56, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKGCL Rays · 11 IPFIP 4.28 → 6.28 (+2.00)K% 32.0% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	32.00%	—	×0.680	21.76%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	22.00%	—	×1.250	27.50%
HR / BF /BF	2.00%	÷1.000	×1.400	2.80%

Result: FIP 4.28 → 6.28, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Peoples (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.7%	—	4.71	21.9%	9.9%	97	+0.02	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	78
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	77
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	76
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	75
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	75
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	74
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	74
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	74
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	73
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	73
Linder Castro R 2017 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	18.9%	10.7%	3.2%	.305	5.68	21.1%	6.3%	62	+1.05	4.23	279	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	73
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	73
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	73
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	72
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	72
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	72
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	72
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	72
Will Cunnane R 2000 · 3.62 FIP	26	SU	3.62	20.1%	12.4%	1.2%	.295	3.97	20.3%	12.9%	98	+0.35	2.99	271	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	21.3%	12.1%	1.13	4.41
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Bill Risley ('98)	1.1	55	21.9%	10.9%	1.26	3.98
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*