Ben Peoples — OGILVIE

Ben Peoples P Round Rock Express

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 99

ERA4.34

FIP4.34

K%20.9%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5055

CMD3040

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p4124.0%

p1014.7%

xwOBA vs

p570.305

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	5	2	11	50	16	11	1	40%	2.1	21.8%	27.5%	-5.7%	2.8%	5.91	6.28	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Rays	5	2	11	50	16	11	1	40%	2.1	32.0%	22.0%	10.0%	2.0%	5.91	4.41	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	9	4	19	85	29	13	0	44%	2.1	23.2%	19.1%	4.1%	0.0%	2.84	3.56	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	9	4	19	85	29	13	0	44%	2.1	34.1%	15.3%	18.8%	0.0%	2.84	2.10	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	94	388	121	42	9	96%	3.9	23.0%	12.8%	10.2%	3.5%	3.06	4.72	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	94	388	121	42	9	96%	3.9	31.2%	10.8%	20.4%	2.3%	3.06	3.11	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	84	365	96	45	7	100%	3.8	20.3%	14.2%	6.1%	2.2%	4.06	4.42	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	84	365	96	45	7	100%	3.8	20.3%	14.2%	6.1%	2.2%	4.06	4.42	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	84	365	96	45	7	100%	3.8	26.3%	12.3%	14.0%	1.9%	4.06	3.50	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	20.2%	11.0%	9.1%	3.3%	3.42	4.60	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	20.2%	11.0%	9.1%	3.3%	3.42	4.60	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	24.9%	10.0%	14.8%	2.6%	3.42	3.70	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.5%	7.7%	1.6%	3.33	3.84	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.5%	7.7%	1.6%	3.33	3.84	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.7%	10.3%	2.0%	3.33	3.84	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	16	68	10	8	3	0%	1.0	14.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.4%	2.76	5.73	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	51	0	60	243	62	31	6	0%	1.2	21.9%	11.8%	10.1%	2.5%	2.87	4.12	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	51	0	60	243	62	31	6	0%	1.2	21.9%	11.8%	10.1%	2.5%	2.87	4.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	TEX	35	0	43	175	52	23	3	0%	1.2	29.7%	13.1%	16.6%	1.7%	2.91	3.20	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	TEX	16	0	16	68	10	8	3	0%	1.0	14.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.4%	2.76	5.77	-0.2
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	TEX	16	0	16	68	10	8	3	0%	1.0	14.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.4%	2.76	5.77	-0.2
ROS	25	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	5	21	4	3	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	2.6%	4.34	4.34	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	TEX	5	0	5	21	4	3	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.3%	8.6%	2.6%	4.34	4.34	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	65	264	66	34	7	—	—	25.1%	12.7%	12.4%	2.5%	2.98	4.14	+0.3
FULL	25	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	21	90	66	34	7	—	—	73.7%	37.3%	36.4%	7.3%	9.03	5.59	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	251	52	30	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	11.9%	8.8%	2.9%	4.85	4.82	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	56	0	59	247	52	29	7	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	2.9%	4.82	4.82	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	54	0	57	241	50	29	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	11.9%	8.8%	2.9%	4.85	4.82	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	53	0	56	236	49	28	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.8%	9.1%	2.9%	4.82	4.82	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		128	0	134	563	113	67	17	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.1%	4.56	4.60	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	843	169	100	25	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.1%	4.56	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		168	63	372	1564	332	209	40	38%	2.2	21.2%	13.4%	7.9%	2.6%	3.41	4.41	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	34	200	842	179	112	22	38%	2.2	21.2%	13.4%	7.9%	2.6%	3.41	4.41	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Peoples (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	20.6%	12.4%	2.7%	—	4.82	20.8%	8.9%	118	+0.05	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	84
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	83
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	83
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	82
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	82
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	82
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	82
Irving Jimenez R 2015 · 3.63 FIP	25	SW	3.63	18.5%	12.8%	0.9%	.313	4.04	14.1%	1.7%	50	+0.41	3.63	104	81
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	81
Brad Goldberg R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	25	SU	4.07	18.2%	11.7%	1.9%	.333	3.86	21.4%	7.2%	139	-0.21	3.14	197	81
José Ramírez R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	19.5%	12.2%	1.8%	.312	3.91	22.4%	11.8%	136	-0.08	3.36	206	81
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.53	13.6%	5.9%	162	+0.30	3.85	291	80
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	80
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	80
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	80
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	80
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	20.7%	12.0%	1.09	4.81
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91