Joel Jimenez

P DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 RHP ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	12	2	33	5.79	4.20	20.7%	19.3%	—	K 14.1% · BB 24.1% · FIP 5.51
2027PROJ	19	MLBHOU	18	0	19	5.92	5.92	20.1%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBHOU	14	0	15	5.56	5.42	20.9%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsWill Kobos (age 20) · Anthony Cruz (age 19) · Denny Larrondo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%20.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.1%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	2	33	140	29	27	1	17%	2.7	14.1%	24.1%	-10.0%	1.0%	5.79	5.51	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	2	33	140	29	27	1	17%	2.7	14.1%	24.1%	-10.0%	1.0%	5.79	5.51	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	12	2	33	140	29	27	1	17%	2.7	20.7%	19.3%	1.4%	0.7%	5.79	4.20	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	HOU	18	0	19	80	16	16	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	20.0%	0.1%	2.9%	5.92	5.92	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	29	0	31	130	27	22	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	16.8%	4.1%	2.9%	5.56	5.42	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	16.8%	4.1%	2.9%	5.56	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	64	13	11	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	16.8%	4.1%	2.9%	5.56	5.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	145	26	0%	1.1	20.9%	16.8%	4.1%	2.9%	5.56	5.04	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		12	2	33	140	20	34	1	17%	2.7	14.1%	24.1%	-10.0%	1.0%	5.79	5.51	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	12	200	857	121	207	9	17%	2.7	14.1%	24.1%	-10.0%	1.0%	5.79	5.51	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joel Jimenez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	20.1%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.42	20.9%	4.1%	31	-0.50	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	86
Anthony Cruz R 2022 · 5.38 FIP	19	SW	5.38	16.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.237	4.19	18.2%	5.6%	180	-1.19	3.32	272	86
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	85
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	85
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	82
Yorman Galindez R 2022 · 4.93 FIP	19	SW	4.93	19.1%	18.3%	2.1%	.374	3.77	22.9%	6.2%	96	-1.16	3.63	201	82
Juan Soto R 2022 · 5.88 FIP	19	SW	5.88	16.4%	21.4%	2.7%	.274	6.68	8.9%	-15.1%	26	+0.80	5.06	102	81
Junior Pina R 2022 · 5.93 FIP	19	SW	5.93	15.7%	22.4%	2.4%	.263	6.65	9.7%	-20.4%	26	+0.72	4.72	115	81
Doimil Perez R 2023 · 5.95 FIP	19	SU	5.95	17.8%	14.7%	4.5%	.322	5.36	16.6%	-2.0%	47	-0.59	3.32	139	80
Angel Peralta R 2024 · 6.70 FIP	17	SW	6.70	19.0%	29.7%	2.6%	.200	4.28	15.9%	2.0%	84	-2.42	3.81	107	79
Junior Sanchez R 2024 · 4.79 FIP	18	SU	4.79	17.1%	15.3%	2.2%	.356	4.53	18.7%	8.6%	219	-0.26	3.36	294	79
Elvis Jerez R 2019 · 6.39 FIP	19	SU	6.39	14.2%	22.8%	2.9%	.292	3.52	27.9%	8.0%	50	-2.87	3.13	109	79
Randel Clemente R 2021 · 5.99 FIP	19	SW	5.99	14.3%	21.7%	2.4%	.270	4.60	21.8%	-1.8%	88	-1.39	3.74	214	79
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	78
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	78
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	78
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	78
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	78
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	78
Alexis Paulino R 2022 · 5.30 FIP	19	SU	5.30	16.9%	21.2%	1.7%	.384	4.94	17.6%	-5.1%	73	-0.36	4.39	102	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	20.6%	18.1%	1.12	5.70
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*