Junior Pina — OGILVIE

Junior Pina P DSL Miami

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%22.3%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%6.5%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	13	0	25	119	24	16	1	0%	1.9	13.7%	16.8%	-3.1%	1.2%	6.20	4.72	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 2	13	0	25	119	24	16	1	0%	1.9	20.2%	13.4%	6.7%	0.8%	6.20	3.63	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	16	4	36	173	40	31	3	25%	2.2	15.7%	22.4%	-6.7%	2.4%	6.56	5.93	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	16	4	36	173	40	31	3	25%	2.2	23.1%	17.9%	5.2%	1.7%	6.56	4.56	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	17	0	26	133	19	32	1	0%	1.5	9.7%	30.1%	-20.4%	1.0%	6.23	6.65	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	17	0	26	133	19	32	1	0%	1.5	9.7%	30.1%	-20.4%	1.0%	6.23	6.65	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	17	0	26	133	19	32	1	0%	1.5	14.3%	24.1%	-9.8%	0.8%	6.23	5.83	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	18	0	29	148	45	34	2	0%	1.6	20.7%	28.7%	-8.0%	1.9%	7.76	6.03	—
YTD	23	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	18	0	29	148	45	34	2	0%	1.6	20.7%	28.7%	-8.0%	1.9%	7.76	6.03	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	MIA	18	0	29	148	45	34	2	0%	1.6	30.4%	23.0%	7.4%	1.4%	7.76	4.18	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIA	28	0	29	123	28	17	4	0%	1.0	22.9%	13.8%	9.2%	3.0%	5.00	4.91	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIA	11	0	12	51	12	7	1	0%	1.1	22.9%	13.8%	9.2%	3.0%	5.00	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	53	12	7	2	0%	1.0	22.9%	13.8%	9.2%	3.0%	5.00	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	113	32	0%	1.1	22.9%	13.8%	9.2%	3.0%	5.00	4.53	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		64	4	115	573	87	141	10	6%	1.8	15.2%	24.7%	-9.5%	1.7%	6.71	5.87	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	7	200	994	151	245	17	6%	1.8	15.2%	24.7%	-9.5%	1.7%	6.71	5.87	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Junior Pina (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	22.3%	15.8%	3.0%	—	4.91	22.9%	9.2%	29	-0.33	—	—	—
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	91
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	90
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	88
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	86
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	86
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	86
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	85
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	85
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
David Ellingson R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	23	SU	4.15	20.5%	14.6%	1.7%	.362	3.52	18.0%	10.2%	105	-0.63	3.43	150	84
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	84
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	83
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	83