Randel Clemente — OGILVIE

Randel Clemente P Springfield Cardinals

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 173 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 123

ERA5.60

FIP5.60

K%27.7%

BB%23.5%

K-BB%4.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CMD2030

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	17	5	33	167	35	29	3	29%	2.0	14.3%	21.7%	-7.5%	2.4%	4.86	5.99	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	17	5	33	167	35	29	3	29%	2.0	21.0%	17.4%	3.6%	1.8%	4.86	4.78	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	18	0	21	106	24	13	0	0%	1.2	15.4%	15.3%	0.1%	0.0%	9.00	3.74	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	18	0	21	106	24	13	0	0%	1.2	22.6%	12.3%	10.4%	0.0%	9.00	2.67	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	19	0	19	85	24	16	0	0%	1.0	19.2%	23.5%	-4.3%	0.0%	4.34	4.46	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	19	0	19	85	24	16	0	0%	1.0	19.2%	23.5%	-4.3%	0.0%	4.34	4.46	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	19	0	19	85	24	16	0	0%	1.0	28.2%	18.8%	9.4%	0.0%	4.34	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	48	221	80	50	2	0%	1.2	25.6%	27.3%	-1.7%	1.1%	6.14	5.02	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	48	221	80	50	2	0%	1.2	25.6%	27.3%	-1.7%	1.1%	6.14	5.02	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	48	221	80	50	2	0%	1.2	36.2%	22.6%	13.6%	0.9%	6.14	3.43	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	53	232	76	40	3	0%	1.4	25.0%	21.0%	3.9%	1.9%	4.25	4.71	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	53	232	76	40	3	0%	1.4	25.0%	21.0%	3.9%	1.9%	4.25	4.71	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	53	232	76	40	3	0%	1.4	32.8%	17.2%	15.5%	1.3%	4.25	3.23	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	43	0	49	226	92	45	5	0%	1.1	33.0%	21.9%	11.1%	2.7%	5.29	4.55	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	43	0	49	226	92	45	5	0%	1.1	33.0%	21.9%	11.1%	2.7%	5.29	4.55	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	STL	43	0	49	226	92	45	5	0%	1.1	40.7%	19.9%	20.8%	2.2%	5.29	3.40	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	STL	6	0	6	25	7	6	1	0%	1.0	27.7%	23.5%	4.2%	2.7%	5.60	5.60	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	55	251	99	51	6	—	—	39.4%	20.3%	19.2%	2.3%	5.32	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	87	0	91	385	109	77	10	0%	1.0	28.4%	19.9%	8.5%	2.7%	5.24	5.09	-0.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	87	0	91	385	111	73	10	0%	1.0	28.8%	19.0%	9.8%	2.7%	5.04	4.95	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	85	0	90	379	108	70	11	0%	1.1	28.4%	18.5%	10.0%	2.8%	4.97	4.95	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	83	0	87	367	103	67	11	0%	1.0	28.1%	18.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.99	5.02	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	79	0	83	351	98	65	11	0%	1.1	27.9%	18.6%	9.3%	3.0%	5.09	5.15	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	74	0	78	330	97	60	11	0%	1.1	29.6%	18.1%	11.5%	3.2%	5.07	5.06	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	38	0	40	169	48	34	5	0%	1.1	28.4%	19.9%	8.5%	2.7%	5.24	5.09	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	58	0	61	258	74	49	7	0%	1.1	28.8%	19.0%	9.8%	2.7%	5.04	4.95	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	67	0	70	296	84	55	8	0%	1.0	28.4%	18.5%	10.0%	2.8%	4.97	4.95	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	70	0	73	308	87	57	9	0%	1.0	28.1%	18.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.99	5.02	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	70	0	73	308	86	57	9	0%	1.0	27.9%	18.6%	9.3%	3.0%	5.09	5.15	-0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	67	0	70	296	87	53	10	0%	1.0	29.6%	18.1%	11.5%	3.2%	5.07	5.06	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		369	0	387	1634	466	305	48	0%	1.0	28.5%	18.6%	9.9%	2.9%	5.05	4.66	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	241	158	25	0%	1.0	28.5%	18.6%	9.9%	2.9%	5.05	4.66	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		175	5	224	1037	246	231	17	3%	1.3	23.7%	22.3%	1.4%	1.6%	5.43	4.83	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	4	200	927	220	207	15	3%	1.3	23.7%	22.3%	1.4%	1.6%	5.43	4.83	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Randel Clemente (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.60	27.7%	23.5%	2.7%	—	5.00	28.6%	9.4%	272	-0.60	—	—	—
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	82
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	80
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	80
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	78
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	77
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	77
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	77
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	23.9%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	77
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	77
Eduardo Herrera R 2023 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.9%	16.8%	2.5%	.397	4.26	21.8%	3.6%	75	-0.40	4.13	127	76
Bryce McGowan R 2023 · 4.41 FIP	23	SU	4.41	23.4%	16.0%	2.3%	.327	4.33	19.2%	6.2%	99	-0.08	3.71	178	76
Sandy Lugo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	23	SU	4.40	22.0%	14.8%	2.3%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	146	75
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	75
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	75
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	75
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	74
Antonio Knowles R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	23	SU	5.09	22.2%	15.9%	3.4%	.224	3.87	20.9%	9.0%	121	-1.22	3.24	223	74
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	74
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	74
Jordan Sheffield R 2019 · 5.07 FIP	24	SU	5.07	24.9%	20.2%	2.8%	.235	6.61	16.0%	1.7%	52	+1.54	3.90	248	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	28.4%	19.5%	1.11	5.15
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Dinelson Lamet ('23)	1.8	61	30.0%	10.7%	1.29	4.66