Player 837215 P ACL White Sox
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
K: +1.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -2.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.09 (34 IP)-0.1WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026ROKACL White Sox8420882716150%2.520.9%22.7%-1.9%1.6%3.605.09-0.1
ROSMLBCWS2214591462100%7.023.4%9.3%14.0%3.0%4.334.33+0.0
2026 TotalMLBCWS341474122327.7%14.6%13.1%1.9%3.904.78-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBCWS3320842083100%6.723.8%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.294.26+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career8420881820150%2.520.9%22.7%-1.9%1.6%3.605.09-0.1
/ 200 IP80402008801802001050%2.520.9%22.7%-1.9%1.6%3.605.09+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 837215 (OGILVIE) 4.33 23.4%9.3%3.0%
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 84
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 78
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 77
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 76
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 75
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 74
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 74
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 72
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 72
Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 72
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 71
Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 25 SW 3.48 23.7%8.9%2.3%.317 3.80 23.3%8.6%38 +0.32 3.48 331 71
Brock Stewart R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 25 SW 3.92 23.3%9.2%3.0%.295 5.28 16.6%7.8%224 +1.36 1.51 596 70
Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP 23 SP- 4.85 18.3%9.3%3.9%.317 3.73 126 70
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 4.16 124 70
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 70
Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 4.28 121 69
Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 69
Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 69
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 3.45 102 68