Wilton Guerrero Jr.

SS DSL Pirates Black

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	186	.312/.396/.388	0	19	49	—	.212/.286/.255
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBPIT	296	.226/.287/.299	2	10	67	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBPIT	83	.230/.293/.313	1	3	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBPIT	179	.233/.298/.325	2	6	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%96

Whiff%92

K%91

Speed89

wRC+58

wOBA55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJefferson Rojas (age 18) · Eguy Rosario (age 18) · Andruw Monasterio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 156 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .284 / .296

PA156

HR1

SB5

K%22

BB%7

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	186	160	50	8	2	0	18	22	4	19	3	312	396	388	783	75	357	12	10	351	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	186	165	35	5	1	0	13	27	4	19	3	212	286	255	540	42	241	15	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	186	165	35	5	1	0	13	27	4	19	3	212	286	255	540	42	250	15	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	186	160	50	8	2	0	18	22	4	19	3	312	396	388	783	75	357	12	10	351	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	186	167	35	5	1	0	13	27	4	19	3	210	286	251	537	42	241	15	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	186	167	35	5	1	0	13	27	4	19	3	210	286	251	537	42	241	15	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	296	271	62	10	3	2	20	64	3	10	1	226	287	299	586	73	287	22	7	267	67	-12	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	241	220	51	8	2	2	16	52	3	8	2	230	293	313	606	83	289	22	7	275	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	369	335	78	12	3	4	26	79	5	13	3	234	298	326	624	93	291	21	7	283	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	466	423	100	16	4	6	33	100	7	17	4	236	302	337	639	101	292	21	7	289	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	534	483	115	18	4	8	38	114	8	19	4	239	305	347	652	108	293	21	7	294	85	-10	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	580	525	126	20	4	10	42	124	8	21	5	241	307	355	662	114	294	21	7	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	610	552	134	21	5	11	44	130	9	22	5	242	309	359	668	117	295	21	7	300	89	-8	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	625	566	138	22	5	12	45	133	9	22	5	243	309	362	671	119	295	21	7	301	90	-7	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	633	573	139	22	5	12	46	135	9	23	5	243	310	364	674	121	295	21	7	302	91	-7	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	633	573	139	22	5	12	46	136	9	23	5	242	309	362	670	119	294	21	7	301	90	-8	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	629	570	138	22	5	12	46	136	8	22	5	241	307	357	664	117	294	22	7	298	88	-9	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	619	561	133	21	4	11	45	136	8	21	5	238	304	351	655	113	293	22	7	295	86	-11	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	608	551	129	20	4	10	44	135	8	20	5	236	301	344	645	108	291	22	7	290	83	-12	+2	-2	+7	+13	0.7
2040	31	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	594	540	124	19	4	9	42	135	7	19	6	232	296	335	631	103	289	23	7	285	79	-15	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.3
2041	32	MLB MLE	PIT	59%	576	524	119	18	4	8	40	133	7	18	6	227	290	323	613	96	285	23	7	277	74	-18	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	83	76	18	3	1	1	6	18	1	3	1	230	293	313	605	83	290	22	7	275	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	179	162	37	6	1	2	12	38	3	6	1	233	298	325	622	91	291	21	7	282	77	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	253	229	54	9	2	3	18	54	4	9	2	236	302	335	637	99	293	21	7	288	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	302	273	65	11	2	4	22	65	4	11	2	238	304	344	648	106	294	22	7	292	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	334	302	72	12	3	5	24	71	5	12	3	240	307	351	658	111	294	21	7	296	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	348	315	77	13	3	6	25	74	5	13	3	242	308	355	663	114	295	21	7	298	89	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	354	320	78	13	3	6	26	75	5	13	3	242	309	358	667	116	295	21	7	300	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	358	324	79	13	3	7	26	76	5	13	3	243	309	360	669	118	295	21	7	300	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	351	317	77	13	3	6	26	75	5	13	3	242	308	358	666	116	295	21	7	299	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2037	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	345	312	75	12	3	6	25	75	5	12	3	240	306	353	659	114	294	22	7	297	88	-5	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	331	300	71	12	2	5	24	73	4	11	3	238	303	348	651	110	293	22	7	293	86	-6	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	320	290	68	11	2	5	23	71	4	11	3	235	300	341	641	106	292	22	7	289	83	-7	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	336	305	70	11	2	5	24	76	4	11	3	231	295	332	627	101	289	23	7	283	79	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	PIT	59%	341	310	70	11	2	5	24	79	4	10	4	226	289	320	610	94	286	23	7	276	74	-11	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4235	3835	911	150	32	66	305	920	58	148	37	238	303	345	648	107	294	22	7	292	84	-76	+15	-6	+45	+92	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	140	23	5	10	47	141	9	23	6	238	304	345	649	107	294	22	7	292	84	-12	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8059	7304	1730	271	60	128	576	1739	111	292	69	237	302	343	645	106	292	22	7	292	84	-147	+28	-10	+84	+171	12.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	140	22	5	10	46	140	9	24	6	238	302	343	645	105	294	22	7	292	84	-12	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#3Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#4Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,391	73	152	239	301	348	+47	+27	10.4	8.8
/162	664	11	23	+7.1	+4.1	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wilton Guerrero Jr. (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	224/284/296	72	287	1	5	22%	7%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	44→54	35→45	55	48	203/263/259	56	247	2	16	18%	7%	49	-2.4	205/260/265	60	260	2	11	21%	6%	50	-2.3	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Tito Polo 2013 · A	18	44→54	37→45	50→60	44	206/288/282	76	276	4	18	25%	7%	66	-1.1	203/265/282	79	275	4	22	26%	6%	56	-1.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Abiatal Avelino 2013 · A	18	45→54	35→45	54→55	49	209/282/267	58	253	2	16	18%	7%	59	-1.6	228/282/303	75	282	3	23	19%	6%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	42	36→40	52→55	46	198/253/268	70	239	3	9	18%	6%	48	-2.5	214/269/284	70	249	2	15	14%	6%	58	-1.7	281/326/362	81	310	5	22	11%	5%	93	+0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6

Wilton Guerrero Jr.

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps