Victor Valdez

SS DSL Rays

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKTB	147	.285/.401/.374	1	12	53	—	.195/.299/.242
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTB	257	.226/.296/.302	2	7	72	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTB	73	.232/.304/.317	1	2	77	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBTB	168	.236/.308/.329	2	5	81	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%93

Z-Con%92

K%90

Speed77

wRC+62

wOBA59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsTyler Rodriguez (age 18) · Joendry Vargas (age 18) · José Mejía (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 122 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .294 / .300

PA122

HR1

K%22

BB%7

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$13M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	147	123	35	6	1	1	15	18	9	12	2	285	401	374	775	89	327	12	10	360	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	147	128	25	4	1	0	10	22	9	12	2	195	299	242	542	47	227	15	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	147	128	25	4	1	0	10	22	9	12	2	195	299	242	542	47	236	15	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	147	123	35	6	1	1	15	18	9	12	2	285	401	374	775	89	327	12	10	360	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	147	127	25	4	1	0	10	22	9	12	2	197	299	244	543	47	227	15	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	147	127	25	4	1	0	10	22	9	12	2	197	299	244	543	47	227	15	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TB	0%	257	231	52	8	2	2	18	56	6	7	1	226	296	302	598	76	288	22	7	274	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TB	34%	212	190	44	7	2	2	15	46	5	7	1	230	302	315	617	86	290	22	7	282	77	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	TB	48%	347	311	73	12	3	4	25	75	8	11	3	233	306	327	633	94	291	22	7	288	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	TB	54%	448	402	94	15	3	6	32	97	11	15	3	236	309	337	646	101	292	22	7	293	85	-8	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	TB	57%	521	466	111	18	4	8	38	112	12	17	4	238	312	346	658	108	293	21	7	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	TB	58%	569	509	122	20	4	10	42	122	13	18	4	240	314	353	667	114	294	21	7	301	90	-7	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	601	539	129	21	4	11	44	129	13	19	5	241	315	357	672	116	295	21	7	303	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2034	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	620	555	134	22	4	12	46	133	14	20	5	242	315	360	675	118	295	21	7	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	TB	57%	628	562	135	22	4	12	47	135	14	20	5	242	316	361	677	119	295	21	7	305	93	-6	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	629	563	135	22	4	12	47	136	14	20	5	241	315	359	673	118	295	22	7	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	625	560	133	22	4	11	46	136	14	19	5	239	313	354	667	115	294	22	7	301	90	-7	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	616	553	131	21	4	11	45	136	13	19	5	237	310	348	658	111	293	22	7	298	88	-9	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	605	543	128	21	4	10	44	136	13	18	5	234	307	341	647	107	291	22	7	293	85	-11	+2	-2	+6	+13	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	TB	57%	591	531	123	20	4	9	43	135	12	17	6	230	302	331	633	101	289	23	7	287	81	-14	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.4
2041	32	MLB MLE	TB	59%	573	515	116	18	3	8	41	133	12	16	7	225	296	320	616	95	285	23	7	280	76	-17	+0	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	TB	34%	73	66	16	2	1	1	5	16	2	2	0	232	304	317	621	85	294	22	7	284	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	TB	48%	168	150	36	6	1	2	12	36	4	5	1	236	308	329	637	93	295	21	7	290	81	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	TB	54%	243	217	52	8	2	3	18	52	6	8	2	238	312	338	650	100	296	21	7	295	85	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	TB	57%	295	264	64	10	2	5	22	64	7	10	2	240	314	347	661	107	297	22	7	299	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	TB	58%	328	294	71	11	2	6	24	71	7	11	3	242	316	354	670	112	298	22	7	303	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	343	307	75	12	3	6	25	74	8	11	3	244	317	358	675	114	299	22	7	305	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	352	315	77	12	3	6	26	76	8	11	3	244	318	360	678	116	299	22	7	306	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	TB	57%	355	318	78	12	3	7	26	76	8	11	3	244	318	362	680	117	299	21	7	306	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2036	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	349	312	76	12	3	6	26	75	8	11	3	243	317	359	676	116	298	21	7	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2037	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	343	308	74	12	2	6	25	75	7	11	3	242	315	355	670	113	298	22	7	302	90	-4	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2038	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	329	295	71	11	2	6	24	73	7	10	3	239	312	349	661	110	297	22	7	299	88	-5	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2039	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	318	285	68	11	2	5	23	71	7	9	3	236	309	342	651	105	295	22	7	295	85	-6	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	TB	57%	334	300	70	11	2	5	24	76	7	9	3	232	304	332	637	100	292	23	7	289	81	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	TB	59%	339	305	70	11	2	5	24	79	7	9	4	228	298	321	619	93	289	23	7	282	76	-10	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4169	3736	898	141	30	69	304	914	93	128	36	240	313	350	663	109	299	22	7	298	86	-64	+11	-6	+45	+90	7.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	141	22	5	11	47	143	14	20	6	242	314	354	668	112	301	22	7	298	86	-10	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7854	7037	1658	269	53	127	573	1710	180	252	66	236	309	343	653	107	292	22	7	295	86	-122	+22	-10	+83	+167	14.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	137	22	4	11	47	142	15	21	5	235	309	344	652	108	292	22	7	295	86	-10	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#2Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.5	4,291	70	133	238	307	347	+46	+27	10.9	9.2
/162	664	11	21	+7.1	+4.2	1.7	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Valdez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	224/294/300	76	288	1	4	22%	7%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	44→54	35→45	55	48	203/263/259	56	247	2	16	18%	7%	49	-2.4	205/260/265	60	260	2	11	21%	6%	50	-2.3	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Tito Polo 2013 · A	18	44→54	37→45	50→60	44	206/288/282	76	276	4	18	25%	7%	66	-1.1	203/265/282	79	275	4	22	26%	6%	56	-1.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	43	36→40	54→55	48	199/259/271	71	239	3	14	17%	6%	51	-2.3	231/283/301	70	265	2	14	13%	5%	66	-1.1	281/326/362	81	310	5	22	11%	5%	93	+0.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Abiatal Avelino 2013 · A	18	45→54	35→45	54→55	49	209/282/267	58	253	2	16	18%	7%	59	-1.6	228/282/303	75	282	3	23	19%	6%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1

Victor Valdez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps