Mikel Nieblas

C DSL Rojos

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rojos	47	.231/.362/.333	0	0	29	—	.122/.234/.171
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	157	.212/.285/.296	1	1	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	50	.216/.290/.306	0	0	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	142	.219/.294/.315	1	1	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%85

Chase%62

Z-Con%60

K%50

BB%46

ISO42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsYasmil Bucce (age 18) · Robert Lopez (age 18) · Juan Centeno (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+66

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .283 / .293

PA54

HR0

K%26

BB%8

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	47	39	9	4	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	231	362	333	695	103	310	21	15	325	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	47	41	5	2	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	122	234	171	405	49	200	26	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	47	41	5	2	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	122	234	171	405	49	172	26	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	47	39	9	4	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	231	362	333	695	103	310	21	15	325	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	47	41	5	2	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	122	234	171	405	49	200	26	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	47	41	5	2	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	122	234	171	405	49	200	26	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	157	141	30	7	1	1	13	41	2	1	0	212	285	296	580	84	290	26	8	266	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	146	131	28	7	1	1	12	38	2	1	1	216	290	306	596	90	292	26	8	272	70	-5	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	294	264	58	14	2	3	24	76	4	3	2	219	294	315	610	96	293	26	8	278	74	-9	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	410	367	81	19	2	5	34	105	6	4	2	222	298	324	622	102	294	26	8	283	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	492	441	99	23	3	6	41	124	7	5	3	224	300	331	632	107	295	25	8	287	80	-12	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	465	105	24	3	7	43	130	7	5	3	227	302	338	640	112	296	25	8	290	82	-11	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	105	24	3	7	43	130	7	5	3	227	303	340	644	113	297	25	8	291	83	-10	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	106	24	3	8	43	130	7	5	3	228	304	342	645	114	297	25	8	292	84	-10	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	465	106	24	3	8	43	130	7	4	3	228	303	342	645	114	296	25	8	292	84	-10	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	465	105	24	3	7	43	131	7	4	3	227	302	339	642	113	296	25	8	290	83	-11	-0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	465	104	24	3	7	43	132	7	3	3	225	300	334	635	110	295	25	8	288	81	-12	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	465	104	24	3	7	43	133	7	1	2	222	297	328	626	106	293	26	8	284	78	-13	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	465	102	24	2	6	43	135	7	1	2	219	294	320	614	101	291	26	8	279	75	-15	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	57%	504	452	97	23	2	5	41	133	6	1	1	215	289	310	599	96	288	26	8	273	71	-17	-0	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	50	45	9	2	0	0	4	13	1	0	0	216	290	306	596	90	292	26	8	272	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	142	127	28	7	1	1	12	37	2	1	1	219	294	315	610	96	293	26	8	278	74	-4	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	222	199	43	10	1	2	18	57	3	2	1	222	298	324	622	102	294	26	8	283	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	278	249	56	13	2	3	23	70	4	3	2	224	300	331	632	107	295	25	8	287	80	-7	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	268	61	14	2	4	25	75	4	3	2	227	302	338	640	112	296	25	8	290	82	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	265	60	14	2	4	25	74	4	3	2	227	303	340	644	113	297	25	8	291	83	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	264	60	14	2	4	25	74	4	3	2	228	304	342	645	114	297	25	8	292	84	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	264	60	14	2	4	24	74	4	3	2	228	303	342	645	114	296	25	8	292	84	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	259	59	14	2	4	24	73	4	2	2	227	302	339	642	113	296	25	8	290	83	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	256	57	13	1	4	24	73	4	1	2	225	300	334	635	110	295	26	8	288	81	-7	-1	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	249	55	13	1	4	23	71	4	1	1	222	297	328	626	106	293	26	8	284	78	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	245	53	12	1	3	23	71	4	0	1	219	294	320	614	101	291	26	8	279	75	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	57%	285	256	55	13	1	3	23	75	4	0	1	215	289	310	599	96	288	26	8	273	71	-10	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3288	2946	656	153	18	40	273	837	46	22	19	223	299	328	626	105	296	25	8	286	79	-80	-3	-4	+59	+71	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	130	30	4	8	54	165	9	4	4	223	299	330	629	107	297	25	8	286	79	-16	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6107	5465	1215	283	33	77	505	1553	83	42	31	222	298	328	626	106	294	25	8	285	79	-150	-4	-7	+108	+131	8.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	129	30	4	8	54	165	9	4	3	222	298	328	626	107	293	25	8	285	79	-16	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Cy Perkins'15-'34 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,015 PA	6.0	4,015	30	18	231*	292*	368*	+71	-3	5.9	7.1
/162	664	5	3	+11.8	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 8
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,343	43	23	224	297	332	+60	+32	6.8	6.0
/162	664	9	5	+11.9	+6.4	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mikel Nieblas (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	210/283/293	83	290	0	0	26%	8%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	39	37→55	49→40	48	186/260/257	71	244	4	5	25%	8%	49	-2.4	197/286/284	87	296	6	4	32%	10%	65	-1.2	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Robert Lopez 2022 · A	18	37	38→45	48→45	45	176/263/256	80	259	5	6	32%	8%	51	-2.3	191/259/271	80	288	6	4	33%	8%	52	-2.2	190/257/269	80	283	7	3	33%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/266	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	48	-2.5	199/258/259	60	256	3	6	22%	6%	48	-2.5	279/317/335	56	337	1	3	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	39	37→40	42→45	48	187/265/263	76	258	4	6	27%	9%	53	-2.1	190/298/267	77	248	4	7	22%	12%	67	-1.1	180/313/262	82	232	4	7	21%	15%	70	-0.2
✕Juan Diaz 2007 · A	18	36→46	35→45	44→45	48	168/254/232	64	234	1	6	27%	9%	42	-2.9	209/255/277	68	283	3	5	26%	5%	50	-2.3	258/295/352	94	339	7	7	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	43→48	38→45	46→40	50	204/277/287	83	255	5	5	21%	9%	62	-1.4	233/285/320	87	295	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	36→46	36→45	46→55	50	172/250/236	63	219	4	11	22%	8%	40	-3.0	203/255/297	94	259	5	11	22%	6%	55	-1.9	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Starlin Aguilar 2022 · A	18	39	36→50	41→45	49	184/263/253	69	243	3	3	24%	8%	50	-2.3	199/249/262	63	290	3	4	30%	6%	45	-2.7	180/228/272	92	279	9	2	37%	5%	36	-1.1
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→55	47	215/290/297	83	299	3	10	27%	8%	69	-0.9	222/312/294	72	300	3	13	24%	11%	77	-0.3	217/314/281	64	302	1	14	25%	12%	73	-0.3

Mikel Nieblas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps