Rylan Mills — OGILVIE

Rylan MillsC Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 R/R A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 263 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .280 / .346

PA263

HR8

SB5

K%31

BB%10

ISO149

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$60M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER59

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$27M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Wilson Warbirds	—	250	209	49	8	1	14	40	90	0	5	2	234	357	483	841	249	330	36	16	370	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	24	20	7	1	1	2	4	3	0	0	0	350	458	800	1.258	450	333	12	17	524	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	—	250	220	36	5	1	10	28	122	0	5	2	164	257	332	589	168	284	49	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	24	22	6	1	1	2	2	4	0	0	0	273	333	682	1.015	409	251	17	8	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	274	242	40	6	1	11	31	127	0	5	2	165	260	335	595	169	276	46	11	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	274	229	56	9	2	16	44	93	0	5	2	245	366	511	877	266	331	34	16	383	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	274	241	40	6	1	11	31	127	0	5	2	166	260	336	596	170	281	46	11	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	274	241	40	6	1	11	31	127	0	5	2	166	260	336	596	170	281	46	11	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	384	342	68	11	2	12	37	120	2	7	2	200	282	349	631	149	266	31	10	284	78	-10	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIL	43%	331	294	61	10	2	11	32	101	2	6	2	205	288	362	650	157	269	31	10	291	83	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIL	61%	424	377	78	13	2	14	41	127	3	8	2	210	293	373	665	163	271	30	10	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	485	431	92	15	3	17	47	143	4	10	3	214	296	381	677	167	273	29	10	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIL	70%	520	461	101	17	3	19	50	151	4	10	3	217	299	387	686	170	275	29	10	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIL	70%	520	461	101	17	3	19	50	149	4	10	3	219	301	391	692	172	276	29	10	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	520	461	101	17	3	19	50	149	4	10	3	219	301	393	693	173	276	29	10	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIL	69%	520	461	101	17	3	19	50	150	4	10	3	218	300	390	690	172	275	29	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIL	69%	520	461	101	17	3	19	50	151	4	9	3	216	298	385	683	169	274	29	10	304	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIL	67%	520	461	100	17	3	18	50	152	4	9	3	214	295	379	673	165	272	29	10	300	89	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIL	72%	520	463	98	16	3	18	49	154	3	8	3	211	291	371	662	160	270	30	9	296	86	-8	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIL	75%	504	449	92	15	2	16	47	151	3	7	4	206	286	361	647	154	267	30	9	290	82	-11	-0	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	477	427	86	14	2	15	44	145	3	6	7	201	280	348	628	147	262	30	9	282	77	-13	-2	-4	+9	+10	0.1
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	434	389	76	12	2	13	40	135	2	5	13	195	273	333	605	138	257	31	9	273	71	-15	-4	-4	+8	+9	-0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIL	43%	143	127	26	4	1	5	14	44	1	3	1	204	287	364	651	160	265	31	10	291	83	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIL	61%	258	229	47	7	1	9	25	77	2	5	1	209	291	375	666	166	267	30	10	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	330	292	63	10	2	12	32	97	3	7	2	213	295	383	678	170	269	29	10	302	90	-4	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIL	70%	362	321	70	11	2	14	35	105	3	7	2	216	298	389	687	173	271	29	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIL	70%	365	324	71	11	2	14	35	104	3	7	2	218	300	393	693	175	272	28	10	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	367	326	71	11	2	14	35	105	3	7	2	218	300	395	695	177	272	29	10	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIL	69%	361	320	70	11	2	14	35	104	3	7	2	217	299	392	691	175	271	29	10	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIL	69%	357	317	68	11	2	13	34	103	3	6	2	215	297	387	684	172	270	29	10	305	92	-3	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIL	67%	348	310	66	10	2	13	33	102	2	6	2	213	294	381	675	168	268	29	9	301	89	-4	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIL	72%	372	332	70	11	2	13	35	110	2	6	2	209	290	373	663	163	266	30	9	296	86	-6	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIL	75%	377	337	70	11	2	13	35	113	2	5	3	205	285	363	648	157	263	30	9	290	82	-8	-0	-2	+7	+8	0.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	368	329	66	10	2	12	34	112	2	4	5	200	279	350	629	150	258	30	9	282	77	-10	-1	-3	+7	+8	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	341	305	60	9	1	11	31	106	2	4	10	194	272	335	606	141	253	31	9	273	71	-12	-3	-3	+6	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4349	3869	818	127	23	157	413	1282	31	74	36	211	293	378	670	166	269	29	9	298	87	-65	+0	-11	+78	+94	9.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	121	19	3	23	62	192	5	11	5	209	292	372	664	163	267	30	10	298	87	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6832	6072	1275	211	37	236	656	2067	46	118	55	210	292	374	665	164	273	30	10	296	87	-99	+1	-15	+117	+142	15.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	121	20	4	22	62	197	4	11	5	209	290	372	662	163	273	30	10	296	87	-10	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Paul DeJonglast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,500 PA	5.3	3,500	146	29	229	294	416	+36	+35	16.1	16.0
/162	664	28	6	+6.8	+6.6	3.1	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.9	4,613	157	79	212	290	374	+82	+40	13.6	11.7
/162	664	23	11	+11.9	+5.8	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rylan Mills (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	54→59	47→52	66	198/280/346	148	266	8	5	31%	10%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	41→38	49→50	53→50	44	205/287/362	157	291	15	13	33%	8%	84	+0.1	207/268/354	147	298	16	14	35%	6%	74	-0.5	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Orelvis Martinez 2022 · A	20	40→36	58→60	47→40	42	217/283/421	203	278	26	5	32%	7%	96	+1.0	203/271/392	189	257	26	4	32%	7%	85	+0.2	194/265/382	188	239	26	3	31%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→42	46→55	50	46	197/276/332	135	270	13	8	31%	9%	73	-0.6	186/272/313	127	276	12	8	34%	10%	67	-1.1	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Chris Williams 2019 · A	22	37→31	52→55	46→40	47	204/277/364	160	252	22	4	29%	9%	80	-0.1	180/269/315	135	277	15	4	37%	10%	67	-1.1	175/259/344	169	246	24	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Jeral Perez 2024 · A	19	38→42	47→50	49→45	49	195/280/329	134	254	15	8	28%	9%	74	-0.6	206/278/344	138	276	16	6	30%	8%	76	-0.4	199/270/336	137	262	16	5	29%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43	44→50	48→40	45	215/283/328	113	270	12	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/296/343	127	275	13	4	25%	8%	83	+0.1	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	44→36	50→60	48→50	40	224/283/379	155	309	19	8	33%	7%	86	+0.3	205/262/380	175	292	22	14	36%	7%	78	-0.3	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Thayron Liranzo 2023 · A	20	39→43	47→50	48→30	43	197/269/333	136	279	14	5	33%	8%	70	-0.8	211/298/368	157	314	18	2	35%	11%	89	+0.5	200/293/350	150	295	17	1	35%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Luke Adams 2024 · A	20	42→39	44→50	53→55	51	201/318/323	122	288	11	21	31%	11%	88	+0.4	207/347/351	144	268	15	19	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	47→50	53→40	46	206/290/344	138	303	13	8	34%	10%	80	-0.1	197/258/319	122	274	14	4	32%	7%	63	-1.4	188/246/296	108	254	13	1	31%	6%	51	-0.9
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	39→49	47→55	50	41	193/269/328	134	304	15	12	39%	8%	69	-0.9	221/286/348	127	329	13	9	35%	7%	80	-0.2	234/300/394	160	319	20	5	31%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Oliver Carrillo 2023 · A	21	42→28	46→45	52→45	49	210/293/339	129	282	13	7	29%	10%	80	-0.1	187/296/309	122	278	13	4	34%	12%	76	-0.4	158/271/272	114	242	14	3	37%	11%	58	-0.8
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→41	43→50	47→55	47	209/276/317	108	258	11	9	23%	7%	69	-0.9	216/283/359	143	277	16	17	27%	7%	81	-0.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Diego Cartaya 2023 · A	21	41→35	53→50	47→30	45	211/304/385	174	300	22	3	35%	9%	96	+1.0	184/261/316	132	269	17	3	36%	8%	64	-1.3	165/241/288	122	229	17	1	35%	7%	48	-1.6
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	38	50	46→40	41	202/264/358	156	275	19	7	33%	7%	74	-0.5	203/263/329	126	302	12	6	35%	6%	67	-1.1	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	41	55→60	47→30	47	214/312/402	188	287	23	4	32%	10%	103	+1.5	198/287/352	154	334	18	4	42%	10%	82	-0.0	140/248/285	145	254	20	0	49%	11%	51	-0.6
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	37→20	43→45	46→45	48	180/297/288	108	265	10	11	33%	10%	73	-0.6	155/286/270	115	241	13	6	37%	13%	65	-1.2	140/273/279	139	188	20	5	36%	13%	62	-0.8
✕Eric Haase 2014 · A	21	40→42	47→65	46→40	38	200/253/337	137	303	14	4	38%	6%	64	-1.3	192/247/337	145	294	15	3	38%	6%	63	-1.4	220/279/438	218	287	32	2	35%	7%	98	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps