Michael Nieto — OGILVIE

Michael NietoIF DSL Phillies Red

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 145 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .266 / .287

PA79

HR1

K%29

BB%6

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	89	80	12	3	1	0	5	28	3	7	2	150	227	212	440	62	231	31	6	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	89	78	17	4	1	0	7	19	3	7	2	218	307	295	602	77	288	21	8	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	PHI	—	79	73	16	3	1	1	5	23	1	2	0	219	278	329	607	110	289	29	6	254	53	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	PHI	34%	170	154	33	6	2	2	11	47	3	4	1	214	280	318	598	104	291	28	6	265	61	-7	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.2
2027	20	MLB	PHI	34%	58	53	12	2	1	1	4	16	1	1	0	226	293	358	652	132	293	28	7	255	54	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	58	53	12	2	1	1	4	16	1	1	0	226	293	358	652	132	306	28	7	255	54	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	134	22	11	11	45	179	11	11	0	226	292	355	648	130	304	28	7	255	54	-34	+2	+0	+0	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	338	307	61	12	4	3	21	98	7	13	3	199	266	293	559	94	280	29	6	242	44	-22	+1	+0	+0	+10	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	118	23	8	6	40	188	13	25	6	200	266	297	562	97	281	29	6	242	44	-41	+3	+0	+0	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	89	78	17	4	1	0	7	19	3	7	2	218	307	295	602	77	288	21	8	278	71	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Nieto (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	204/266/287	83	289	1	2	29%	6%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	34	-2.8	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	33	-2.9	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	6	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2018 · A	19	44→28	36→45	52→50	43	203/273/273	70	297	3	14	30%	7%	52	-1.6	193/263/272	79	302	5	16	35%	8%	47	-1.9	205/271/341	136	317	14	17	37%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Zack Larson 2013 · A	19	45→35	37→45	53→50	39	208/264/285	77	308	4	10	32%	6%	50	-1.7	209/265/287	78	284	5	11	27%	5%	52	-1.6	189/247/250	60	260	3	12	27%	5%	33	-1.4
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	33	-2.9	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	70	-0.3	221/275/340	119	279	13	9	25%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2015 · A	19	43→38	35→50	54→55	41	198/266/258	61	302	2	17	33%	7%	45	-2.1	204/273/301	97	274	7	19	27%	7%	59	-1.1	200/270/318	118	257	11	22	26%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→34	38→45	46→50	39	192/268/272	80	307	5	9	36%	7%	50	-1.7	206/287/306	100	302	9	7	32%	9%	67	-0.5	197/289/306	108	288	11	5	33%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Johan Lopez 2019 · A	19	39	36→45	47→55	43	185/246/253	68	235	4	12	22%	6%	36	-2.7	212/279/308	96	266	6	17	21%	7%	63	-0.8	196/271/300	104	271	9	18	29%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Victor Soto 2008 · A	19	39	39→45	48→60	39	189/241/283	94	268	6	12	31%	5%	40	-2.4	194/247/269	75	274	3	21	28%	5%	39	-2.5	184/234/247	64	257	1	30	27%	5%	25	-0.9
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Mariel Bautista 2017 · A	19	46→34	39→45	51→50	42	220/276/309	90	284	5	10	24%	5%	62	-0.9	220/266/313	93	280	7	16	23%	4%	58	-1.2	204/248/294	90	262	9	19	25%	4%	44	-1.0
✕Ryan Vega 2016 · A	19	40	35→40	52→45	41	190/245/253	62	253	3	9	25%	5%	34	-2.8	221/274/312	91	286	8	7	24%	6%	62	-0.9	199/262/287	88	273	8	6	29%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Jodd Carter 2015 · A	19	46→41	37→45	49→45	42	218/273/286	68	303	4	10	28%	7%	54	-1.4	216/279/303	87	311	7	7	30%	7%	62	-0.9	203/268/332	129	278	16	8	32%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Sergio Garcia 2010 · A	19	40	39→45	52→60	40	195/248/284	89	274	6	20	30%	6%	43	-2.2	193/245/291	98	271	10	23	31%	6%	44	-2.1	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Brayan Buelvas 2021 · A	19	43→40	39→50	50→55	41	202/262/298	95	295	5	12	32%	6%	53	-1.5	188/248/312	124	261	13	14	32%	6%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Ignacio Valdez 2014 · A	19	38	36→45	49→50	39	180/242/249	69	280	3	11	35%	7%	32	-3.0	173/238/275	102	269	8	7	37%	7%	37	-2.6	141/208/262	122	210	12	5	38%	6%	20	-1.2