Samuel Pardo — OGILVIE

Samuel PardoC DSL Rays

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION191 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .263 / .278

PA19

HR0

K%26

BB%5

BABIP288

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	35	4	0	0	0	4	10	2	2	0	114	244	114	358		160	24	10	192	16	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	37	3	0	0	0	2	14	2	2	0	81	171	81	252		124	34	5	127	-28	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	37	3	0	0	0	2	14	2	2	0	81	171	81	252		130	34	5	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	35	4	0	0	0	4	10	2	2	0	114	244	114	358		160	24	10	192	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	37	3	0	0	0	2	14	2	2	0	81	171	81	252		124	34	5	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	37	3	0	0	0	2	14	2	2	0	81	171	81	252		124	34	5	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	TB	—	191	169	31	5	1	1	14	55	6	2	0	183	270	243	512	59	261	29	7	228	40	-14	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	TB	—	191	160	39	7	1	1	23	38	6	2	0	244	360	319	679	75	309	20	12	316	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	TB	0%	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	222	263	278	541	56	280	26	5	256	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	TB	—	210	187	35	6	1	1	15	60	6	2	0	187	269	246	515	59	266	29	7	231	42	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	34%	237	213	45	8	1	3	18	63	4	4	1	211	285	300	586	89	283	27	8	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	48%	365	327	71	12	2	6	28	95	7	7	2	217	293	321	614	104	285	26	8	277	74	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	54%	460	412	91	15	3	8	36	118	9	9	2	221	298	330	628	109	286	26	8	284	79	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	57%	520	464	104	18	3	10	41	133	10	11	3	224	301	341	641	116	288	26	8	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	58%	520	464	106	18	3	11	41	132	10	11	3	228	305	351	656	123	288	25	8	292	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	520	464	106	18	3	11	41	132	10	11	3	228	305	351	656	123	289	25	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	520	464	107	18	3	12	41	131	10	11	3	231	307	360	667	129	290	25	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	57%	520	464	107	18	3	12	41	131	10	11	3	231	307	360	667	129	289	25	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	463	106	18	3	12	42	132	10	11	3	229	307	359	665	130	289	25	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	463	105	17	3	12	42	133	10	11	3	227	305	354	659	127	289	26	8	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	520	463	104	17	3	11	42	134	10	10	3	225	303	346	648	121	288	26	8	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	520	463	104	17	3	11	42	135	10	10	3	225	303	346	648	121	287	26	8	292	84	-10	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	52%	504	448	98	16	2	10	41	132	10	10	3	219	299	330	629	112	284	26	8	288	81	-11	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.7
2040	32	MLB MLE	TB	56%	489	437	94	15	2	10	40	130	9	9	2	215	294	327	621	112	281	27	8	282	77	-13	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.4
2041	33	MLB MLE	TB	59%	473	423	89	14	2	9	38	128	9	9	2	210	289	317	606	106	277	27	8	276	73	-15	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.0
2042	34	MLB MLE	TB	54%	429	384	77	11	2	7	34	119	8	8	2	201	279	294	574	94	271	28	8	267	67	-17	+1	-5	+8	+9	-0.4
2027	19	MLB CTX	TB	34%	81	74	17	3	1	1	6	22	1	1	0	230	296	338	634	108	291	27	7	260	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	48%	177	159	35	6	1	3	13	46	3	3	1	220	291	327	618	107	293	26	7	270	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	54%	249	223	52	9	2	5	19	64	5	5	1	233	308	359	666	126	295	26	8	277	79	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	57%	294	263	60	10	2	6	23	75	6	6	2	228	305	350	655	122	296	26	8	282	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	58%	299	268	62	11	2	6	23	76	6	6	2	231	306	354	661	123	297	25	8	285	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	296	265	63	11	2	7	23	75	6	6	2	238	313	374	687	136	298	25	8	288	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	295	264	63	11	2	7	23	75	6	6	2	239	314	375	689	136	298	25	8	289	87	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	57%	294	263	61	10	2	7	23	74	6	6	2	232	308	365	673	133	298	25	8	290	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	289	258	61	10	2	7	23	73	6	6	2	236	314	372	686	136	298	25	8	290	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	286	255	60	10	2	7	23	73	6	6	2	235	313	373	686	137	297	26	8	289	87	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	278	248	58	10	2	6	23	71	5	6	1	234	312	363	674	129	296	26	8	287	86	-5	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	274	245	55	9	1	6	22	71	5	5	1	224	301	343	644	118	295	26	8	285	84	-5	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	52%	263	235	53	9	1	6	21	69	5	5	1	226	303	349	652	123	292	26	8	280	81	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	TB	56%	275	246	54	9	1	6	22	73	5	5	1	220	297	337	634	118	289	27	8	275	77	-7	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2041	33	MLB CTX	TB	59%	279	249	53	8	1	5	23	76	5	5	1	213	292	313	606	100	285	27	8	268	73	-9	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2042	34	MLB CTX	TB	54%	234	209	44	7	1	4	19	65	4	4	1	211	289	311	600	100	279	28	8	260	67	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4163	3724	851	143	25	89	329	1078	80	81	22	229	305	352	657	124	296	26	8	281	81	-92	+7	-11	+74	+90	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	22	4	14	51	168	12	13	3	229	303	353	656	124	297	26	8	281	81	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7697	6871	1521	251	41	155	611	1997	148	155	41	221	299	338	636	116	287	26	8	287	81	-171	+14	-20	+137	+166	12.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	128	21	3	13	52	169	12	13	3	221	298	334	632	114	287	26	8	287	81	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.4	4,247	85	85	222	296	339	+76	+40	10.4	8.4
/162	664	13	13	+11.9	+6.3	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Pardo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	202/275/275	74	280	1	1	27%	7%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→51	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	203/252/278	75	241	4	11	17%	4%	50	-2.3	244/330/367	123	265	11	26	12%	10%	98	+0.7
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44→50	38→45	47→55	45	210/277/286	76	271	6	9	24%	6%	62	-1.4	207/267/292	85	318	6	15	35%	6%	59	-1.6	229/275/344	115	283	10	21	22%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	41→51	37→45	48→55	41	195/247/274	79	274	2	8	29%	6%	47	-2.6	202/253/288	86	262	6	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	263/305/392	130	320	14	17	22%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	45→49	37→55	49→50	43	209/275/287	78	306	4	12	31%	8%	61	-1.5	237/274/370	133	286	14	15	22%	4%	80	-0.2	245/282/403	158	315	17	11	27%	4%	89	+0.5
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→41	40→45	49→55	42	206/266/301	95	275	7	13	27%	6%	61	-1.5	209/266/312	103	295	9	17	31%	6%	63	-1.3	203/255/293	90	297	8	23	33%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕René Pinto 2015 · A	18	43	37→55	51→40	41	204/249/275	71	265	4	7	24%	5%	47	-2.5	217/260/333	116	271	10	5	23%	5%	65	-1.2	232/273/330	99	296	7	1	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→41	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	58	-1.7	196/241/316	120	278	11	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	47	-2.6	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	59	-1.7	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→50	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	51	-2.3	202/252/306	104	278	9	7	29%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps