Samuel Pardo — OGILVIE

Samuel PardoC DSL Rays

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 78 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .307

PA78

HR1

K%29

BB%8

BABIP294

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$42M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	37	3	0	0	0	2	14	2	2	0	81	171	81	252		130	34	5	124	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	35	4	0	0	0	4	10	2	2	0	114	244	114	358		160	24	10	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	118	104	23	4	1	1	10	37	3	1	0	221	308	308	615	87	328	31	8	259	56	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	118	98	28	5	1	1	16	26	3	1	0	286	402	388	789	102	375	22	14	360	134	+4	+0	+0	+2	+3	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	TB	0%	78	71	15	2	1	1	6	23	1	1	0	209	280	307	587	98	298	29	8	264	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	255	53	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TB	—	118	105	23	4	1	1	10	37	3	1	0	219	308	305	612	86	324	31	8	259	56	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK	TB	—	196	175	38	6	2	2	16	60	4	2	0	216	296	307	604	91	314	31	8	261	58	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	230	206	45	7	2	3	18	65	4	5	1	218	294	316	609	97	297	28	8	272	66	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	360	323	71	12	2	5	28	99	6	8	2	220	294	316	610	96	298	28	8	281	73	-11	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.7
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	457	410	92	15	3	8	36	124	8	11	3	224	300	334	634	110	299	27	8	287	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	520	465	106	18	3	10	41	140	9	12	3	228	303	344	647	116	300	27	8	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	520	464	106	18	3	10	42	139	9	12	3	228	305	345	650	116	301	27	8	293	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	520	464	106	18	3	10	42	139	9	12	3	228	305	345	650	116	301	27	8	296	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	520	464	107	18	3	11	42	139	9	12	3	231	307	353	660	123	302	27	8	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	520	464	107	18	3	11	42	139	9	12	3	231	307	353	660	123	301	27	8	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	520	463	106	17	3	11	43	139	9	12	3	229	307	350	657	121	301	27	8	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	520	463	106	17	3	11	43	140	9	12	3	229	307	350	657	121	301	27	8	297	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	520	463	106	17	3	11	43	141	9	12	3	229	307	350	657	121	300	27	8	295	84	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	520	463	104	17	3	10	43	142	9	12	3	225	303	339	642	114	299	27	8	292	82	-11	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2039	31	MLB	TB	52%	504	448	100	16	3	10	42	139	9	11	3	223	303	339	642	116	296	28	8	288	79	-12	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.9
2040	32	MLB	TB	56%	489	437	96	15	3	9	41	137	8	11	3	220	298	330	628	110	293	28	8	283	74	-14	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.6
2041	33	MLB	TB	59%	473	423	91	14	3	8	39	135	8	10	3	215	294	319	613	104	289	29	8	276	69	-16	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.2
2042	34	MLB	TB	54%	429	384	78	11	2	7	35	125	7	9	2	203	282	297	579	94	283	29	8	268	63	-18	+1	-5	+8	+12	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	79	72	16	2	1	1	6	22	1	2	0	222	291	319	611	97	301	28	8	262	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	174	155	36	6	1	3	14	48	3	4	1	232	308	342	650	110	302	28	8	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	248	222	50	8	2	4	20	67	4	6	2	225	301	333	634	108	303	27	8	276	69	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	294	264	60	10	2	5	23	79	5	7	2	227	301	337	638	110	304	27	8	280	72	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	299	268	62	10	2	6	24	80	5	7	2	231	306	351	657	119	305	27	8	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	296	265	62	10	2	6	24	79	5	7	2	234	310	355	664	121	306	27	8	284	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	295	264	62	10	2	6	24	79	5	7	2	235	311	356	667	121	306	27	8	285	77	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	294	263	61	10	2	6	24	78	5	7	2	232	308	354	662	122	306	27	8	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	289	258	61	10	2	6	24	77	5	7	2	236	314	360	674	124	305	27	8	286	77	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	286	255	59	9	2	6	24	77	5	7	2	231	310	353	663	122	305	27	8	285	77	-8	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	278	248	57	9	2	5	23	75	5	6	2	230	308	343	651	113	304	27	8	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	274	244	56	9	2	5	23	75	5	6	2	230	309	344	653	115	303	27	8	281	73	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2039	31	MLB	TB	52%	263	235	53	8	2	5	22	73	4	6	2	226	303	340	643	115	300	28	8	277	70	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB	TB	56%	275	245	54	8	2	5	23	77	5	6	2	220	300	331	631	110	297	28	8	272	66	-11	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2041	33	MLB	TB	59%	279	249	54	8	2	5	23	80	5	6	2	217	296	325	621	108	293	29	8	265	61	-12	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.1
2042	34	MLB	TB	54%	234	209	44	6	1	4	19	68	4	5	1	211	289	306	595	96	287	29	8	257	55	-12	+1	-3	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4157	3717	847	133	29	78	340	1134	71	96	28	228	305	342	647	114	305	27	8	278	71	-135	+8	-11	+74	+118	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	133	21	5	12	53	177	11	15	4	229	305	344	649	115	307	27	8	278	71	-21	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7741	6912	1545	250	46	146	628	2119	134	176	44	224	301	336	637	113	298	27	8	288	79	-186	+18	-20	+138	+219	17.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	130	21	4	12	53	178	11	15	4	224	301	336	637	112	300	27	8	288	79	-16	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	41	35	4	0	0	0	4	10	2	2	0	114	244	114	358		160	24	10	192	5	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,239	79	97	225	298	338	+76	+40	10.0	8.1
	/162	664	12	15	225	298	338	+11.9	+6.3	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Pardo (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	216/296/307	91	314	2	2	31%	8%	58	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→50	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	48	-1.9	201/251/277	76	239	4	11	17%	4%	43	-2.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	41→51	37→50	48→55	41	195/247/274	79	274	2	8	29%	6%	40	-2.4	202/253/286	84	263	5	7	24%	6%	46	-2.0	262/304/399	137	319	15	17	22%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6