Héctor Cabrera

C DSL Cardinals

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 160 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKSTL	61	.098/.233/.118	0	0	-31	—	.075/.183/.094
2026	18	ROKSTL	119	.230/.432/.310	1	0	48	—	.140/.322/.172
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBSTL	229	.197/.282/.267	2	3	59	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSTL	65	.202/.288/.282	1	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSTL	157	.207/.292/.295	2	2	69	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA64

BB%60

wRC+59

Chase%43

Z-Con%38

K%33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Andres Regnault (age 19) · Luis Vázquez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .279 / .264

PA100

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	61	51	5	1	0	0	5	21	4	0	0	98	233	118	351	20	161	34	8	186	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	119	87	20	2	1	1	20	30	11	0	0	230	432	310	743	80	333	25	17	360	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	61	53	4	1	0	0	3	27	4	0	0	75	183	94	278	19	106	44	5	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	119	93	13	1	1	0	14	37	11	0	0	140	322	172	494	32	209	31	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	61	53	4	1	0	0	3	27	4	0	0	75	183	94	278	19	148	44	5	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	61	51	5	1	0	0	5	21	4	0	0	98	233	118	351	20	161	34	8	186	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	119	93	13	1	1	0	14	37	11	0	0	140	322	172	494	32	228	31	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	119	87	20	2	1	1	20	30	11	0	0	230	432	310	743	80	333	25	17	360	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	61	54	4	1	0	0	3	27	4	0	0	74	183	93	276	19	106	44	5	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	119	93	13	1	1	0	14	37	11	0	0	140	322	172	494	32	209	31	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	61	54	4	1	0	0	3	27	4	0	0	74	183	93	276	19	106	44	5	122	-31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	119	93	13	1	1	0	14	37	11	0	0	140	322	172	494	32	209	31	12	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	0%	229	203	41	6	2	2	18	70	6	3	1	197	282	267	548	70	287	31	8	255	59	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	STL	34%	190	168	34	5	1	2	15	57	5	3	1	202	287	282	569	80	289	30	8	264	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	STL	48%	325	287	59	9	2	4	26	96	9	5	2	206	292	296	587	89	291	30	8	271	69	-12	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	STL	54%	423	375	78	12	3	6	34	123	11	7	3	210	295	308	603	97	292	29	8	277	73	-13	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	STL	57%	489	434	92	14	3	8	39	140	13	8	4	214	298	318	616	104	293	29	8	282	77	-13	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	STL	57%	520	460	100	16	4	9	42	147	13	8	4	217	300	327	627	110	294	28	8	286	80	-13	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	STL	57%	520	460	101	16	4	10	42	147	13	8	4	218	301	330	631	112	294	28	8	287	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	520	460	101	16	4	10	42	147	13	8	4	218	301	332	633	114	293	28	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	520	460	101	16	4	10	42	148	13	8	4	217	300	329	630	113	293	28	8	287	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	520	460	98	15	3	9	42	149	13	7	5	215	298	324	623	110	292	29	8	284	78	-13	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	520	460	97	15	3	9	42	150	13	7	5	212	295	318	613	106	290	29	8	280	76	-15	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	STL	53%	520	462	97	15	3	9	41	152	12	7	6	209	292	310	602	101	288	29	8	276	73	-17	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	STL	34%	65	58	12	2	0	1	5	19	2	1	0	202	288	282	569	79	291	29	8	264	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	STL	48%	157	140	29	5	1	2	12	46	4	2	1	207	292	295	587	88	292	29	8	271	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	STL	54%	229	203	43	7	2	3	18	66	6	4	2	211	295	306	601	95	293	29	8	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	STL	57%	277	246	53	9	2	4	22	79	7	4	2	214	298	316	614	102	294	29	8	281	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	STL	57%	294	261	56	9	2	5	24	83	7	5	2	217	300	324	625	107	295	28	8	285	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	STL	57%	294	261	56	9	2	5	24	83	7	4	2	218	301	327	628	110	295	28	8	286	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	294	261	56	9	2	5	24	83	7	4	2	218	301	329	630	111	295	28	8	287	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	288	256	55	9	2	5	23	82	7	4	2	217	300	326	627	110	294	28	8	286	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	285	253	55	9	2	5	23	81	7	4	3	215	298	322	620	107	293	28	8	283	78	-7	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	278	247	52	8	2	4	22	80	7	4	3	212	295	315	611	103	292	29	8	279	76	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	STL	53%	274	243	51	8	2	4	22	80	7	4	3	209	292	308	599	98	290	29	8	275	73	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2735	2429	518	84	19	43	219	782	68	40	22	213	296	317	613	103	294	29	8	281	75	-75	-1	-2	+49	+59	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	123	20	5	10	52	186	16	10	5	213	296	317	613	104	295	29	8	281	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5347	4721	993	154	36	87	432	1551	146	77	43	210	296	313	610	103	291	29	8	278	75	-145	-2	-4	+92	+112	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	121	19	4	11	53	189	18	9	5	211	298	315	613	105	291	29	8	278	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,836	47	42	214	294	319	+51	+28	4.9	4.5
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+6.6	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Héctor Cabrera (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	195/279/264	69	287	1	1	31%	8%	59	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	35	36→55	47→40	42	171/238/236	65	267	3	6	35%	8%	36	-3.4	187/255/285	98	291	9	5	36%	8%	53	-2.1	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Alfredo González 2011 · A	19	40	36→40	48→45	45	189/256/257	68	261	3	9	27%	8%	47	-2.5	183/228/250	67	245	3	9	25%	4%	34	-3.5	223/284/281	57	303	4	8	26%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	35	37→40	46→50	41	173/237/247	74	261	4	10	34%	7%	38	-3.2	169/266/252	83	245	7	8	31%	10%	52	-2.2	142/256/221	79	200	9	6	31%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→43	37→45	49→50	41	177/245/254	77	258	4	10	31%	7%	42	-2.9	196/268/297	101	275	9	13	30%	8%	61	-1.5	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→49	35→40	48→60	44	184/266/243	59	279	2	9	32%	8%	49	-2.4	191/294/274	83	293	6	15	33%	11%	68	-1.0	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4

Héctor Cabrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps