Eddison Septimo

P FCL Red Sox

Age 20 RHP 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	14	1	21	5.23	5.23	18.9%	18.9%	—	K 12.9% · BB 23.7% · FIP 6.85
2026	19	ROKBOS	7	0	8	14.09	12.62	16.3%	37.2%	—	K 16.3% · BB 37.2% · FIP 10.27
2027PROJ	20	MLBBOS	11	0	12	5.38	5.38	21.7%	16.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBBOS	10	0	10	5.12	5.01	22.3%	14.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsMichael Perez (age 21) · Michael Brewer (age 20) · Samuel Carpio (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.38

FIP5.38

K%21.7%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%5.3%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	14	1	21	95	18	18	2	7%	1.5	12.9%	23.7%	-10.8%	3.4%	5.23	6.85	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	14	1	21	95	18	18	2	7%	1.5	12.9%	23.7%	-10.8%	3.4%	5.23	6.85	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	14	1	21	95	18	18	2	7%	1.5	18.9%	18.9%	0.0%	2.1%	5.23	5.23	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	7	0	8	43	7	16	3	0%	1.1	16.3%	37.2%	-20.9%	7.0%	14.09	10.27	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	7	0	8	43	7	16	3	0%	1.1	16.3%	37.2%	-20.9%	7.0%	14.09	10.27	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	7	0	8	43	7	16	3	0%	1.1	16.3%	37.2%	-20.9%	7.0%	14.09	12.62	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	BOS	11	0	12	51	11	8	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	16.4%	5.3%	3.0%	5.38	5.38	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	19	0	20	84	19	12	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	14.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	5.01	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	14.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.1	22.3%	14.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	122	20	0%	1.1	22.3%	14.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		21	1	28	138	19	38	6	5%	1.3	13.9%	27.9%	-14.0%	4.5%	7.62	7.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		148	7	200	974	136	272	44	5%	1.3	13.9%	27.9%	-14.0%	4.5%	7.62	7.92	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eddison Septimo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	21.7%	16.4%	3.0%	—	5.01	22.3%	8.1%	20	-0.37	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	89
Michael Brewer R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	20	SU	4.30	23.7%	16.2%	2.1%	.303	4.69	19.7%	6.3%	114	+0.39	3.14	144	89
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	88
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	88
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	88
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	87
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	86
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	86
Drew Pestka R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	20	SU	4.26	19.0%	15.1%	1.6%	.298	4.55	18.1%	0.7%	83	+0.29	3.42	100	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	86
Daniel Procopio R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	21	SU	4.33	23.4%	18.8%	1.5%	.283	4.43	20.5%	6.5%	81	+0.10	4.16	103	86
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	84
Efrailin Ramos R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	18	SU	4.31	21.0%	15.7%	1.8%	.284	3.35	17.0%	6.4%	106	-0.96	3.11	142	84
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	84
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	83
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	83
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	83
Erbert Gonzalez R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	20	SU	5.52	23.8%	15.2%	4.5%	.295	4.56	20.9%	4.0%	60	-0.96	3.76	106	82