Robbie Lavey

C Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 21 L/R A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1704ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	20	A+SD	63	.241/.302/.431	2	1	52	—	.186/.238/.305
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBSD	173	.212/.272/.333	3	2	70	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	22	MLBSD	23	.211/.272/.334	0	0	73	0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	23	MLBSD	65	.214/.275/.340	1	1	75	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$1M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO68

Chase%43

wOBA36

wRC+35

Whiff%28

Speed25

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 6.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 89%

CompsMeibrys Viloria (age 21) · Colson Montgomery (age 21) · Ricardo Olivar (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .269 / .330

PA39

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	63	58	14	5	0	2	5	19	0	1	0	241	302	431	733	190	324	30	8	324	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	63	59	11	4	0	1	4	24	0	1	0	186	238	305	543	119	288	38	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	63	59	11	4	0	1	4	24	0	1	0	186	238	305	543	119	294	38	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	63	58	14	5	0	2	5	19	0	1	0	241	302	431	733	190	324	30	8	324	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	63	59	11	4	0	1	4	24	0	1	0	186	238	305	543	119	288	38	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	63	59	11	4	0	1	4	24	0	1	0	186	238	305	543	119	288	38	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	173	158	34	8	1	3	12	52	1	2	1	212	272	333	604	120	290	30	7	271	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	25%	91	84	18	4	0	2	6	27	1	1	0	215	276	339	615	124	291	30	7	276	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	38%	169	154	35	8	1	4	12	49	1	2	1	218	279	345	624	127	292	29	7	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	44%	253	231	50	11	1	5	18	73	2	3	1	220	282	350	632	130	293	29	7	283	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+5	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	47%	319	291	64	14	1	7	23	90	2	4	1	222	284	353	637	132	293	28	7	285	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	49%	362	330	73	16	2	8	26	102	3	5	2	222	286	356	641	133	292	28	7	287	80	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	49%	381	347	77	17	2	8	28	107	3	5	2	221	285	353	638	132	292	28	7	285	79	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	49%	387	353	77	17	2	8	28	110	3	4	2	220	282	348	631	129	291	28	7	282	77	-10	+0	-0	+7	+8	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	48%	383	349	76	17	1	8	28	110	3	4	2	217	280	342	622	125	289	29	7	279	75	-12	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	SD	52%	375	343	72	16	1	7	27	109	2	4	2	214	276	334	610	120	287	29	7	274	72	-13	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	25%	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	211	272	334	606	122	285	30	9	272	73	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	38%	65	60	12	3	0	1	5	19	0	1	0	214	275	340	615	126	286	29	8	276	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	44%	111	101	21	5	0	2	8	32	1	1	0	216	278	345	623	128	287	29	7	279	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	47%	151	138	30	6	1	3	11	43	1	2	1	218	280	348	629	130	287	28	7	281	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	49%	178	162	35	7	1	4	13	50	1	2	1	219	282	350	633	132	286	28	7	283	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	49%	187	170	37	8	1	4	14	53	1	2	1	218	281	348	629	130	286	28	7	282	79	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	49%	190	173	38	8	1	4	14	54	1	2	1	216	279	343	622	127	285	28	7	279	77	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	48%	185	169	37	8	1	4	13	53	1	2	1	213	276	337	613	124	283	29	7	275	75	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	SD	52%	195	178	38	8	1	4	14	57	1	2	1	210	272	329	602	119	281	29	7	270	72	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1285	1172	252	54	6	26	94	368	7	14	6	215	277	338	615	123	288	29	7	278	76	-36	+0	-1	+23	+28	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	127	27	3	13	48	186	4	7	3	214	278	336	614	121	286	29	7	278	76	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2822	2577	561	126	11	59	203	813	20	34	13	218	280	344	624	126	292	29	7	281	76	-77	+1	-2	+49	+60	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	130	29	3	14	47	187	5	8	3	219	282	348	631	130	293	29	7	281	76	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 63 PAwOBA .315 → .245 (−70)K% 30.2% → 38.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.16%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	38.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.94%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.027	5.79%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.95%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.027	16.96%
Doubles /BIP	12.82%	÷1.000	×0.810	—	×1.027	10.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.13%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	4.21%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .315 → .245; ISO .190 → .142; BABIP .324 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#2Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Chris Widger'95-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,998 PA	3.0	1,998	55	10	227*	283*	381*	+33	-0	3.6	4.1
/162	664	18	3	+11.1	-0.2	1.2	pk7: 5
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,285	28	15	220	279	349	+23	+0	2.4	2.3
/162	664	14	8	+11.9	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 2
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robbie Lavey (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	211/269/330	119	290	1	1	30%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Meibrys Viloria 2018 · A	21	50→48	42→45	43→40	40	243/286/354	110	312	9	4	25%	5%	80	-0.2	225/277/315	90	310	7	4	28%	6%	68	-1.0	214/301/308	93	318	8	3	32%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Colson Montgomery 2023 · AA	21	48	43→55	44→45	46	230/305/343	113	307	11	3	27%	8%	86	+0.3	214/301/355	141	294	15	5	31%	9%	88	+0.4	197/286/357	160	269	19	4	33%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	46→50	43→45	47→50	41	219/289/340	121	321	9	9	33%	7%	78	-0.3	226/303/344	118	307	11	9	28%	9%	85	+0.2	222/301/337	115	291	12	10	26%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2022 · A	21	45→42	45	50→45	48	218/318/334	116	300	13	8	30%	10%	90	+0.6	197/302/311	114	264	12	6	28%	9%	79	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Mark Karaviotis 2017 · A	21	50	41→40	40	47	235/330/340	105	319	7	6	26%	8%	95	+1.0	227/303/318	91	327	7	4	30%	8%	79	-0.2	221/297/300	80	317	6	3	30%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Marcus Lemon 2009 · A	21	52→55	40	45	47	248/311/352	104	309	6	9	21%	7%	89	+0.5	244/290/324	80	300	3	8	19%	6%	74	-0.6	252/292/329	78	309	3	9	19%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2022 · A	21	48	44→45	47→45	45	235/294/352	117	309	12	7	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/273/322	102	296	10	8	28%	6%	68	-1.0	213/267/311	98	282	10	9	27%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Jacob Nottingham 2016 · A	21	49→55	44→45	44→50	39	236/284/356	120	318	12	4	29%	5%	80	-0.1	209/266/317	108	303	10	7	33%	5%	65	-1.2	185/259/305	120	279	14	11	37%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2024 · A	21	52→53	41→40	44→45	49	250/315/344	94	297	8	4	18%	7%	88	+0.5	228/291/299	71	271	4	6	16%	7%	70	-0.8	223/288/281	58	263	3	5	15%	6%	62	-1.0
✕Cam Maron 2012 · A	21	51→58	39→40	47→40	50	242/311/324	82	301	6	5	21%	8%	83	+0.1	242/313/321	79	317	4	3	23%	9%	82	+0.0	242/317/316	74	319	4	1	23%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Bryan Anderson 2008 · AA	21	55→59	40→45	40→30	44	260/306/351	90	326	7	3	22%	6%	86	+0.3	248/296/349	101	318	9	4	23%	6%	82	+0.0	242/294/348	106	308	10	2	24%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2015 · A	22	49	43→45	48→30	43	238/294/350	112	314	11	6	27%	7%	82	+0.0	201/250/292	91	293	8	3	32%	6%	53	-2.1	220/280/330	110	294	10	0	27%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Joshua Noviskey 2006 · A	23	45	44→45	44→30	48	221/289/341	119	282	11	4	25%	8%	79	-0.2	212/279/323	111	277	12	5	27%	8%	72	-0.7	182/258/274	92	229	14	1	26%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Daniel Vellojin 2022 · A	22	44	43→45	45	56	213/315/327	114	278	9	7	25%	12%	86	+0.3	190/277/296	106	269	11	5	31%	10%	65	-1.2	162/249/251	89	227	10	4	31%	10%	42	-1.2
✕Brandon Valenzuela 2022 · A	21	50→53	41→45	47→40	46	233/305/330	97	339	8	5	32%	9%	82	-0.0	204/279/311	107	287	11	3	30%	9%	69	-0.9	196/264/316	120	252	15	3	28%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Jordan Groshans 2022 · AA	22	51	44→50	46→30	47	248/308/373	125	318	11	4	25%	8%	93	+0.8	230/296/309	79	291	6	3	21%	8%	74	-0.6	213/267/346	133	247	16	1	21%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→52	46→45	50→40	42	231/293/362	131	322	13	8	31%	7%	85	+0.2	230/295/359	129	310	12	3	28%	8%	85	+0.2	226/292/357	131	305	12	1	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Jimmy Crooks 2024 · A	23	47	44→50	46→40	43	227/290/349	123	306	11	4	29%	7%	81	-0.1	240/306/372	132	335	14	4	30%	7%	92	+0.7	240/311/381	141	337	17	2	32%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2019 · A	21	46→44	48→50	44→45	43	233/277/371	137	268	16	6	20%	5%	81	-0.1	229/267/366	137	273	15	6	22%	4%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	256	19	1	23%	4%	74	-0.4

Robbie Lavey

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps