Jordan Groshans — OGILVIE

Jordan Groshans3B Columbus Clingstones

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION474 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP265

ISO122

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT60

Whiff%

867.2%

xAVG

250.231

POWER30

Barrel%

102.1

Avg EV

2487.1

EYE40

Chase%

5630.5%

SPEED40

Sprint

3026.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$7M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	207	186	55	13	0	5	15	37	3	0	0	296	358	446	804	151	340	18	7	354	126	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2019	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	96	83	28	6	0	2	13	21	0	1	1	337	427	482	909	145	433	22	14	407	161	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2021	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	316	278	81	23	0	7	34	61	1	0	0	291	371	450	820	158	347	19	11	363	132	+12	+0	—	—	+7	1.9
2022	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	65	61	16	0	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	262	308	311	619	49	319	20	6	284	78	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.1
2022	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	412	353	94	15	0	3	54	65	2	3	0	266	367	334	701	68	316	16	13	324	105	+3	+1	—	—	+9	1.2
2022	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	286	25	5	235	45	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	460	112	20	1	6	66	92	1	0	0	243	340	330	670	87	292	17	12	310	96	-3	+0	—	—	+11	0.9
2024	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	63	57	13	2	0	1	6	11	0	0	1	228	302	316	617	88	267	17	10	284	78	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	320	283	67	12	1	3	32	56	1	0	2	237	316	318	634	81	281	18	10	289	82	-7	-1	—	—	+7	-0.1
2025	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	25	20	4	2	0	0	4	3	1	0	0	200	360	300	660	100	235	12	16	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	250	223	65	6	1	3	22	35	3	0	1	291	363	368	731	76	332	14	9	332	111	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	65	61	16	0	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	262	308	311	619	49	319	20	6	284	78	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	207	191	42	9	0	4	10	53	3	0	0	220	270	330	599	110	271	26	5	260	62	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2019	19	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	96	87	23	5	0	1	9	30	0	1	1	264	333	356	690	92	397	31	9	312	97	-0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	21	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	316	288	71	19	0	6	24	75	1	0	0	247	307	375	682	128	306	24	8	297	87	-5	+0	—	—	+7	0.2
2022	22	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	65	61	16	0	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	262	308	311	619	49	319	20	6	285	79	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	0.1
2022	22	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	412	369	84	14	0	2	38	81	2	3	0	228	303	282	585	54	281	20	9	267	67	-16	+1	—	—	+9	-0.7
2022	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	20	19	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	158	200	211	411	53	266	35	5	184	11	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	23	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	482	104	18	1	4	44	106	1	0	0	216	283	282	565	66	270	20	8	258	61	-25	+0	—	—	+11	-1.3
2024	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	63	59	13	2	0	1	4	13	0	0	1	220	270	305	575	85	249	21	6	231	42	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	320	293	56	9	1	2	22	71	1	0	2	191	250	249	499	58	234	22	7	226	39	-23	-1	—	—	+7	-1.7
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	25	21	4	2	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	190	320	286	606	95	196	16	12	254	58	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	250	231	58	5	1	2	14	42	3	0	1	251	302	307	610	56	296	17	6	277	74	-8	-0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2018	18	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	207	191	42	9	0	4	10	53	3	0	0	220	270	330	599	110	277	26	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	207	186	55	13	0	5	15	37	3	0	0	296	358	446	804	151	340	18	7	354	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	96	87	23	5	0	1	9	30	0	1	1	264	333	356	690	92	393	31	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	96	83	28	6	0	2	13	21	0	1	1	337	427	482	909	145	433	22	14	407	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	316	288	71	19	0	6	24	75	1	0	0	247	307	375	682	128	310	24	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	316	278	81	23	0	7	34	61	1	0	0	291	371	450	820	158	347	19	11	363	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	497	449	104	15	0	3	43	101	2	3	0	232	302	285	587	53	290	20	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	497	433	114	16	0	4	59	83	2	3	0	263	354	328	682	65	315	17	12	315	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	482	104	18	1	4	44	106	1	0	0	216	283	282	565	66	268	20	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	460	112	20	1	6	66	92	1	0	0	243	340	330	670	87	292	17	12	310	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	383	352	67	10	1	3	26	84	1	0	3	190	248	250	498	60	238	22	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	383	340	80	14	1	4	38	67	1	0	3	235	314	318	632	82	278	17	10	288	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	252	62	7	1	2	17	45	4	0	1	246	304	306	610	60	290	16	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	275	243	69	8	1	3	26	38	4	0	1	284	363	362	725	78	324	14	9	330	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	207	192	42	9	0	4	10	53	3	0	0	219	270	328	598	109	271	26	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	96	87	23	5	0	1	9	30	0	1	1	264	333	356	690	92	397	31	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	316	288	71	19	0	6	24	75	1	0	0	247	307	375	682	128	306	24	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	497	449	104	15	0	3	43	101	2	3	0	232	302	285	587	53	285	20	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	478	104	18	1	4	44	106	1	0	0	218	283	285	567	67	270	20	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	383	353	67	10	1	3	26	84	1	0	3	190	248	249	497	59	236	22	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	252	62	7	1	2	17	45	4	0	1	246	304	306	610	60	287	16	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	478	104	18	1	4	44	106	1	0	0	218	283	285	567	67	270	20	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	383	353	67	10	1	3	26	84	1	0	3	190	248	249	497	59	236	22	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	252	62	7	1	2	17	45	4	0	1	246	304	306	610	60	287	16	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	ATL	—	474	439	100	16	6	24	28	108	3	1	2	228	279	456	734	228	244	23	6	312	97	-1	-1	+0	+2	+10	1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	ATL	—	436	393	111	18	6	30	36	84	3	1	2	282	347	588	935	305	286	19	8	399	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA RAW	ATL	—	38	34	8	2	1	1	4	5	0	0	0	235	316	441	757	206	250	13	11	334	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	ATL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		265	22	11	305	92	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	26	AA MLE	ATL	—	483	447	101	16	6	24	29	110	3	1	2	226	278	450	727	224	243	23	6	312	97	-2	-1	-0	+2	+10	1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ATL	33%	570	524	122	20	5	20	37	126	4	1	2	233	288	405	693	172	268	22	6	306	94	-4	-1	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2028	28	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	571	523	123	20	5	20	39	127	4	1	2	235	293	407	701	172	269	22	7	307	94	-4	-1	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2029	29	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	560	512	120	20	5	19	39	125	4	1	2	234	294	404	698	170	270	22	7	306	93	-4	-1	-2	+2	+12	0.7
2030	30	MLB MLE	ATL	59%	549	502	116	20	4	18	38	124	4	1	1	231	290	394	685	163	270	23	7	304	92	-5	-0	-3	+2	+12	0.6
2031	31	MLB MLE	ATL	61%	538	492	113	19	4	18	37	123	4	1	1	230	289	394	683	165	268	23	7	300	89	-7	-0	-3	+2	+12	0.3
2032	32	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	346	317	72	12	3	11	24	81	2	0	1	227	286	388	674	161	265	23	7	295	86	-6	-0	-4	+1	+7	-0.1
2033	33	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	316	289	64	10	2	10	22	75	2	0	0	221	281	374	655	152	262	24	7	288	81	-7	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	ATL	33%	190	175	42	7	2	7	12	42	1	0	1	240	293	423	715	183	268	22	6	302	94	-1	-0	-0	+1	+4	0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	284	261	61	10	2	10	19	63	2	1	1	234	291	402	693	169	269	22	7	302	94	-2	-0	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	313	286	68	11	3	11	22	70	2	1	1	238	297	413	709	175	270	22	7	301	93	-2	-0	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	ATL	59%	326	298	70	12	3	11	23	74	2	1	1	235	294	406	700	171	270	23	7	299	92	-3	-0	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2031	31	MLB CTX	ATL	61%	330	302	70	12	3	11	23	76	2	1	1	232	291	401	691	169	268	23	7	295	89	-4	-0	-2	+1	+7	0.2
2032	32	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	217	199	45	7	2	7	15	51	1	0	0	226	284	387	671	161	265	24	7	290	86	-4	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
2033	33	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	200	183	39	6	1	6	14	48	1	0	0	213	273	355	628	142	262	24	7	284	81	-4	+0	-3	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1925	1765	411	65	16	64	132	437	11	4	5	233	290	397	687	164	272	23	7	296	81	-23	-1	-12	+8	+42	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	139	22	5	22	45	148	4	1	2	233	291	398	689	164	273	23	7	296	81	-8	-0	-4	+3	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5761	5268	1204	204	31	139	410	1277	36	9	14	229	289	358	647	130	274	22	7	287	81	-40	-3	-19	+14	+76	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	136	23	3	16	46	144	4	1	2	229	288	359	647	130	274	22	7	287	81	-7	-0	-4	+3	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.9	1,930	63	3	232	287	393	+20	-3	4.5	4.5
/162	664	22	1	+6.9	-1.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Groshans (OGILVIE)	26	60	30	40	40	231/283/404	173	265	9	1	22%	6%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Davis 2016 · AAA	26	52→54	45	43→40	46	257/297/389	132	291	12	3	17%	5%	92	+0.7	248/297/350	102	286	8	3	15%	7%	83	+0.1	244/296/328	84	282	6	1	15%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Grant Green 2014 · MLB	26	53→58	44→45	44→45	41	258/297/376	118	319	11	7	22%	5%	89	+0.5	261/292/376	115	326	9	6	22%	4%	87	+0.4	267/292/378	110	330	8	4	21%	3%	84	+0.1
✕Brian Hernandez 2015 · AA	26	54→61	40→45	40	43	257/300/347	90	316	7	5	21%	5%	83	+0.1	248/288/340	92	307	8	4	21%	5%	77	-0.3	276/316/379	103	327	9	2	18%	5%	94	+0.7
●Michael Stefanic 2022 · AAA	26	56→63	44→40	43→45	47	276/328/392	116	317	12	7	17%	6%	105	+1.7	277/349/371	94	310	7	7	12%	8%	107	+1.9	281/361/358	77	313	4	7	11%	9%	107	+1.3
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2020 · MLB	26	51→59	46→45	42→50	45	254/294/380	125	287	14	5	17%	5%	89	+0.5	227/274/343	116	262	13	7	18%	6%	74	-0.6	228/275/328	100	276	7	14	19%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Joel Galarraga 2008 · AAA	26	58→61	42→40	41→50	48	281/327/391	110	317	9	7	14%	6%	103	+1.6	264/329/362	98	308	5	10	15%	8%	97	+1.1	275/335/364	89	308	4	11	12%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Kevin Plawecki 2018 · MLB	27	50→56	44→45	45→30	48	244/306/362	119	281	12	3	18%	7%	90	+0.6	239/314/378	139	284	14	4	20%	8%	97	+1.1	233/315/365	133	276	13	0	20%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Garrett Weber 2015 · AAA	26	53→57	42→45	45→40	40	254/296/361	107	319	9	4	23%	4%	86	+0.3	242/293/338	96	316	8	4	24%	6%	79	-0.2	240/295/327	87	314	7	1	24%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Konrad Schmidt 2011 · AAA	26	54→58	43→45	43→40	41	260/298/375	115	314	9	5	20%	4%	89	+0.5	229/270/336	107	295	9	4	25%	4%	70	-0.8	218/262/322	104	280	9	2	25%	4%	62	-0.9
✕Jantzen Witte 2016 · AA	26	51→54	43→45	44→45	46	247/301/367	120	303	8	5	21%	6%	88	+0.5	238/294/337	99	300	6	6	21%	7%	79	-0.2	244/294/361	116	313	12	6	25%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Hanser Alberto 2019 · MLB	26	54→61	42→45	38→50	42	262/285/365	103	282	10	4	12%	3%	82	-0.0	278/304/389	111	300	10	6	11%	3%	95	+0.9	284/308/396	112	305	9	6	10%	2%	96	+0.6
✕Damek Tomscha 2018 · AA	26	52→57	43→45	47→40	46	251/310/362	111	294	10	4	18%	6%	91	+0.7	229/282/341	112	280	12	4	22%	5%	76	-0.4	211/264/319	108	266	13	2	25%	5%	63	-0.9
✕Bobby Wilson 2009 · AAA	26	51→52	43→45	42→40	47	246/297/359	113	286	10	5	18%	6%	85	+0.2	231/279/347	116	273	11	4	19%	6%	76	-0.4	198/261/305	107	223	11	0	17%	8%	58	-0.4
✕Marcos Cabral 2010 · AAA	26	50→53	43→45	43→40	47	242/297/358	115	291	9	3	20%	7%	85	+0.2	234/280/339	105	281	9	6	20%	6%	74	-0.5	232/267/310	78	269	9	3	17%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Vasili Spanos 2007 · AA	26	53→58	44→45	44→40	47	257/334/380	123	318	11	3	22%	7%	105	+1.7	244/303/370	126	298	11	4	21%	5%	91	+0.6	240/292/370	130	292	11	3	21%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2016 · MLB	26	52→62	39→40	41→50	54	248/327/336	88	292	6	4	17%	9%	92	+0.7	233/296/324	91	275	6	4	17%	7%	77	-0.3	227/286/308	81	272	6	4	18%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Ray Chang 2010 · AAA	26	51→55	39→40	40	47	242/304/341	99	286	5	5	17%	6%	84	+0.1	244/300/333	89	287	6	3	16%	6%	80	-0.1	250/298/315	65	302	2	1	17%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Mike Ohlman 2017 · AAA	26	48→55	42→45	41→40	43	231/283/335	104	306	10	3	27%	7%	75	-0.5	193/262/307	114	307	13	6	38%	8%	61	-1.5	155/235/259	105	254	13	4	42%	9%	39	-1.6
✕David Adams 2013 · AA	26	55→57	43→45	45→40	48	266/327/384	118	317	10	6	19%	7%	103	+1.5	242/303/348	106	295	9	4	20%	7%	86	+0.3	244/308/341	97	296	7	4	19%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Shawn Riggans 2006 · AA	26	54→51	44→45	42→40	42	260/306/378	118	331	11	5	24%	6%	93	+0.8	244/289/365	121	308	12	4	24%	5%	84	+0.1	239/286/363	124	298	12	1	23%	5%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps