Jordan Groshans
3B Columbus Clingstones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 383 | .235/.314/.318 | 4 | 0 | 39 | — | .193/.251/.261 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 275 | .284/.363/.362 | 3 | 0 | 68 | — | .242/.300/.301 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 518 | .267/.337/.556 | 33 | 2 | 89 | — | .224/.273/.452 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBATL | 3 | .247/.298/.417 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 28 | MLBATL | 163 | .245/.297/.413 | 5 | 0 | 98 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 29 | MLBATL | 220 | .243/.296/.407 | 7 | 0 | 96 | 0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 207 | 186 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 358 | 446 | 804 | 151 | 340 | 18 | 7 | 354 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 96 | 83 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 337 | 427 | 482 | 909 | 145 | 433 | 22 | 14 | 407 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 316 | 278 | 81 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 291 | 371 | 450 | 820 | 158 | 347 | 19 | 11 | 363 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 65 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 308 | 311 | 619 | 49 | 319 | 20 | 6 | 284 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 412 | 353 | 94 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 54 | 65 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 266 | 367 | 334 | 701 | 68 | 316 | 16 | 13 | 324 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 53 | 286 | 25 | 5 | 235 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 528 | 460 | 112 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 66 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 340 | 330 | 670 | 87 | 292 | 17 | 12 | 310 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 63 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 302 | 316 | 617 | 88 | 267 | 17 | 10 | 284 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 320 | 283 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 237 | 316 | 318 | 634 | 81 | 281 | 18 | 10 | 289 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 25 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 360 | 300 | 660 | 100 | 235 | 12 | 16 | 316 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 250 | 223 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 291 | 363 | 368 | 731 | 76 | 332 | 14 | 9 | 332 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 59 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 305 | 491 | 796 | 264 | 209 | 12 | 10 | 346 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 436 | 393 | 111 | 18 | 6 | 30 | 36 | 84 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 282 | 347 | 588 | 935 | 305 | 286 | 19 | 8 | 399 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL | Jaguares de Nayarit | — | 23 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 227 | 56 | 283 | 77 | 26 | 13 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 65 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 308 | 311 | 619 | 49 | 319 | 20 | 6 | 284 | 78 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 207 | 191 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 275 | 335 | 610 | 110 | 274 | 26 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 96 | 87 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 344 | 368 | 712 | 92 | 409 | 31 | 9 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 316 | 287 | 74 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 319 | 390 | 710 | 132 | 319 | 24 | 8 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 65 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 308 | 311 | 619 | 49 | 319 | 20 | 6 | 289 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 412 | 367 | 88 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 81 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 240 | 318 | 297 | 615 | 57 | 296 | 20 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 20 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 211 | 411 | 53 | 254 | 35 | 5 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 528 | 480 | 109 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 106 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 296 | 296 | 592 | 69 | 283 | 20 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 63 | 59 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 270 | 305 | 575 | 85 | 257 | 21 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 320 | 293 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 188 | 247 | 253 | 499 | 65 | 228 | 22 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 25 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 286 | 606 | 95 | 199 | 16 | 12 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 250 | 231 | 57 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 298 | 303 | 601 | 56 | 286 | 17 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 59 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 254 | 400 | 654 | 200 | 185 | 14 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 436 | 405 | 92 | 15 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 102 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 227 | 275 | 459 | 735 | 232 | 238 | 23 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 207 | 191 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 275 | 335 | 610 | 110 | 285 | 26 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 207 | 186 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 296 | 358 | 446 | 804 | 151 | 340 | 18 | 7 | 354 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 96 | 87 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 344 | 368 | 712 | 92 | 411 | 31 | 9 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 96 | 83 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 337 | 427 | 482 | 909 | 145 | 433 | 22 | 14 | 407 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 316 | 287 | 74 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 319 | 390 | 710 | 132 | 325 | 24 | 8 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 316 | 278 | 81 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 291 | 371 | 450 | 820 | 158 | 347 | 19 | 11 | 363 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 497 | 447 | 107 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 100 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 312 | 293 | 605 | 54 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 497 | 433 | 114 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 59 | 83 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 354 | 328 | 682 | 65 | 315 | 17 | 12 | 315 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 528 | 480 | 109 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 106 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 296 | 296 | 592 | 69 | 283 | 20 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 528 | 460 | 112 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 66 | 92 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 340 | 330 | 670 | 87 | 292 | 17 | 12 | 310 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 351 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 191 | 251 | 251 | 501 | 60 | 239 | 22 | 7 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 340 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 235 | 314 | 318 | 632 | 82 | 278 | 17 | 10 | 288 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 252 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 297 | 298 | 594 | 60 | 280 | 16 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 275 | 243 | 69 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 284 | 363 | 362 | 725 | 78 | 324 | 14 | 9 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 518 | 480 | 107 | 18 | 6 | 27 | 29 | 116 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 273 | 454 | 727 | 231 | 234 | 22 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 518 | 464 | 124 | 21 | 7 | 33 | 45 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 267 | 337 | 556 | 893 | 289 | 268 | 19 | 9 | 383 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 207 | 192 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 275 | 333 | 608 | 109 | 274 | 26 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 96 | 87 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 344 | 368 | 712 | 92 | 409 | 31 | 9 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 316 | 287 | 74 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 319 | 390 | 710 | 132 | 319 | 24 | 8 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 497 | 447 | 107 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 100 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 239 | 312 | 293 | 605 | 54 | 297 | 20 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 528 | 476 | 109 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 106 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 296 | 298 | 594 | 69 | 283 | 20 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 352 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 190 | 251 | 250 | 501 | 60 | 233 | 22 | 7 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 252 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 297 | 298 | 594 | 60 | 278 | 16 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 518 | 480 | 107 | 18 | 6 | 27 | 29 | 116 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 273 | 454 | 727 | 231 | 232 | 22 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 352 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 190 | 251 | 250 | 501 | 60 | 233 | 22 | 7 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 275 | 252 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 297 | 298 | 594 | 60 | 278 | 16 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 518 | 480 | 107 | 18 | 6 | 27 | 29 | 116 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 273 | 454 | 727 | 231 | 232 | 22 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 2% | 380 | 351 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 80 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 298 | 417 | 715 | 171 | 282 | 21 | 6 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 298 | 417 | 715 | 171 | 282 | 33 | 0 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 33% | 489 | 453 | 111 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 104 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 245 | 297 | 413 | 710 | 167 | 282 | 21 | 6 | 312 | 98 | -1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 46% | 476 | 441 | 107 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 103 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 296 | 407 | 703 | 164 | 282 | 22 | 6 | 310 | 96 | -2 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 54% | 463 | 428 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 102 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 294 | 400 | 694 | 159 | 281 | 22 | 6 | 306 | 93 | -4 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB MLE | ATL | 58% | 451 | 417 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 290 | 391 | 682 | 154 | 279 | 22 | 6 | 301 | 90 | -5 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB MLE | ATL | 61% | 242 | 224 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 286 | 380 | 666 | 147 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 295 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 33% | 163 | 151 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 297 | 413 | 710 | 167 | 282 | 21 | 6 | 312 | 98 | -0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 46% | 220 | 203 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 243 | 296 | 407 | 703 | 164 | 282 | 22 | 6 | 310 | 96 | -1 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 54% | 249 | 229 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 294 | 400 | 694 | 159 | 281 | 22 | 6 | 306 | 93 | -2 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB CTX | ATL | 58% | 262 | 242 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 290 | 391 | 682 | 154 | 279 | 23 | 6 | 301 | 90 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB CTX | ATL | 61% | 147 | 136 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 286 | 380 | 666 | 147 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 295 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1106 | 1022 | 245 | 38 | 8 | 33 | 69 | 244 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 240 | 292 | 389 | 682 | 150 | 283 | 22 | 6 | 304 | 82 | -11 | -1 | -7 | +5 | +24 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 144 | 22 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 143 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 240 | 293 | 388 | 681 | 148 | 283 | 22 | 6 | 304 | 82 | -6 | -1 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5096 | 4682 | 1099 | 189 | 26 | 122 | 348 | 1107 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 235 | 292 | 364 | 656 | 130 | 280 | 22 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -19 | -1 | -13 | +10 | +51 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 140 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 141 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 291 | 365 | 657 | 131 | 279 | 22 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -5 | -0 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 436 PAwOBA .391 → .311 (−81)K% 19.3% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 5.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | ×0.978 | 15.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | ×0.978 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.952 | ×0.978 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 7.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .391 → .311; ISO .305 → .241; BABIP .286 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 59 PAwOBA .337 → .270 (−66)K% 11.9% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 10.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.003 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.58% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .337 → .270; ISO .264 → .205; BABIP .209 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 250 PAwOBA .324 → .270 (−55)K% 14.0% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.00% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.40% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.988 | 25.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.19% | ÷0.984 | ×0.840 | ×0.986 | ×0.988 | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.986 | ×0.988 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.077 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .324 → .270; ISO .076 → .062; BABIP .332 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 25 PAwOBA .309 → .258 (−51)K% 12.0% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 12.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.108 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 10.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 9.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 122, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 101, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .309 → .258; ISO .100 → .086; BABIP .235 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMidland RockHounds · 320 PAwOBA .285 → .223 (−63)K% 17.5% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.50% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.31% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.47% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 18.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.29% | ÷1.170 | ×0.840 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.940 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.12% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 112, 2B 134, 3B 130, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .285 → .223; ISO .081 → .062; BABIP .281 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 63 PAwOBA .277 → .238 (−38)K% 17.5% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.019 | ×1.033 | 21.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.072 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.033 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .277 → .238; ISO .088 → .064; BABIP .267 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 528 PAwOBA .302 → .269 (−33)K% 17.4% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.42% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.31% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.10% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 22.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.039 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×1.048 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.16% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 108, K 108, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .302 → .269; ISO .087 → .074; BABIP .292 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 412 PAwOBA .319 → .279 (−39)K% 15.8% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.78% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.11% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×1.050 | 24.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.050 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.74% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .319 → .279; ISO .068 → .060; BABIP .316 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .