Matt Duffy

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1989-02-06

Age (2027)38

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	25	AAA/AA2 orgs	568	.288/.339/.451	18	3	82	—	.248/.293/.378
2015	26	AAACOL	557	.294/.371/.484	20	4	95	—	.252/.316/.396
2016	27	AAATEX	444	.229/.299/.387	14	1	53	—	.190/.245/.316

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	23	A	Lexington Legends	—	587	492	138	32	1	16	48	106	41	6	3	280	391	447	838	167	324	18	8	375	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	95	89	22	4	0	5	3	22	3	1	1	247	295	461	755	213	274	23	3	333	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	425	372	120	20	4	19	30	81	18	0	2	323	400	551	951	228	366	19	7	413	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	352	315	88	11	3	12	21	70	7	0	3	279	338	448	786	168	319	20	6	340	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	216	202	61	11	1	6	7	36	5	3	1	302	341	455	797	153	342	17	3	350	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	557	490	144	29	2	20	48	90	12	4	1	294	371	484	855	190	320	16	9	374	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	444	401	92	17	2	14	30	124	10	1	1	229	299	387	686	157	293	28	7	306	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	23	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	587	509	123	27	1	12	31	136	41	6	3	242	336	369	705	128	290	23	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	95	90	17	3	0	3	2	27	3	1	1	189	232	322	554	133	233	28	2	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	425	383	95	14	3	14	19	117	18	0	2	248	314	410	724	162	307	28	4	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	352	320	77	10	2	9	16	91	7	0	3	241	292	369	660	128	289	26	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	216	204	53	10	1	5	5	44	5	3	1	260	294	392	687	132	306	20	2	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	557	503	127	23	2	15	35	114	12	4	1	252	316	396	712	143	287	20	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	444	411	78	12	2	12	20	159	10	1	1	190	245	316	561	127	267	36	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	587	509	123	27	1	12	31	136	41	6	3	242	336	369	705	128	302	23	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A RAW	Lexington Legends	—	587	492	138	32	1	16	48	106	41	6	3	280	391	447	838	167	324	18	8	375	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	520	473	113	17	3	18	21	144	21	1	3	239	301	402	703	163	302	28	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	520	461	142	24	4	24	33	103	21	1	3	308	381	534	914	226	349	20	6	398	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	568	524	130	20	3	14	21	135	12	3	4	248	293	378	671	130	304	24	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	568	517	149	22	4	18	28	106	12	3	4	288	339	451	790	162	328	19	5	344	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	557	503	127	23	2	15	35	114	12	4	1	252	316	396	712	143	294	20	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	557	490	144	29	2	20	48	90	12	4	1	294	371	484	855	190	320	16	9	374	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	444	411	78	12	2	12	20	159	10	1	1	190	245	316	561	127	272	36	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	444	401	92	17	2	14	30	124	10	1	1	229	299	387	686	157	293	28	7	306	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	23	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	587	510	123	27	1	12	31	136	41	6	3	241	336	369	704	127	290	23	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	520	473	113	17	3	18	21	144	21	1	3	239	301	402	703	163	293	28	4	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	568	530	130	20	3	14	21	135	12	3	4	245	293	374	666	128	295	24	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	26	AAA MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	557	505	127	23	2	15	35	114	12	4	1	251	316	394	710	143	287	20	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	444	411	78	12	2	12	20	159	10	1	1	190	245	316	561	127	267	36	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2676	2420	571	99	11	71	128	688	96	15	12	236	301	374	675	138	296	26	5	291	83	-53	-2	+0	+10	+58	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	139	24	3	17	31	167	23	4	3	236	300	374	674	138	298	26	5	291	83	-13	-0	+0	+2	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAARound Rock Express · 444 PAwOBA .299 → .246 (−53)K% 27.9% → 35.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.93%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	35.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.53%	÷1.039	×0.710	—	×1.003	4.47%
HBP% /PA	2.25%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	2.21%
Singles /BIP	21.30%	÷0.949	×0.900	×1.011	×1.003	20.48%
Doubles /BIP	6.14%	÷1.079	×0.810	×1.011	×1.003	4.67%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷0.977	×0.810	×1.011	×1.003	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	5.05%	÷0.839	×0.780	—	×1.003	4.71%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 90, 2B 116, 3B 95, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .299 → .246; ISO .157 → .127; BABIP .293 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 557 PAwOBA .369 → .309 (−60)K% 16.2% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.16%	÷1.020	×1.290	—	—	20.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.62%	÷0.987	×0.710	—	×1.018	6.31%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	2.15%
Singles /BIP	23.25%	÷0.972	×0.900	×1.005	×1.018	22.02%
Doubles /BIP	7.25%	÷1.051	×0.810	×1.005	×1.018	5.72%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷1.021	×0.810	×1.005	×1.018	0.41%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷1.060	×0.780	—	×1.018	3.75%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 94, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .369 → .309; ISO .190 → .144; BABIP .320 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 352 PAwOBA .336 → .285 (−51)K% 19.9% → 25.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.89%	÷0.994	×1.290	—	—	25.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.97%	÷0.977	×0.710	—	×1.033	4.48%
HBP% /PA	1.99%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	2.01%
Singles /BIP	25.31%	÷1.018	×0.900	×1.015	×1.033	23.47%
Doubles /BIP	4.49%	÷0.935	×0.810	×1.015	×1.033	4.08%
Triples /BIP	1.22%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.015	×1.033	0.90%
Home runs /BIP	4.90%	÷1.042	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.79%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .336 → .285; ISO .168 → .130; BABIP .319 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 216 PAwOBA .342 → .295 (−47)K% 16.7% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	20.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.24%	÷0.991	×0.700	—	×0.998	2.29%
HBP% /PA	2.31%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	2.01%
Singles /BIP	25.90%	÷1.022	×0.920	×0.991	×0.998	23.06%
Doubles /BIP	6.63%	÷0.890	×0.840	×0.991	×0.998	6.19%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.991	×0.998	0.62%
Home runs /BIP	3.61%	÷0.956	×0.800	—	×0.998	3.02%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .342 → .295; ISO .153 → .132; BABIP .342 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 425 PAwOBA .404 → .311 (−93)K% 19.1% → 27.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.06%	÷0.929	×1.340	—	—	27.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.59%	÷1.035	×0.710	—	×0.988	4.46%
HBP% /PA	4.24%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	3.31%
Singles /BIP	26.46%	÷1.037	×0.910	×1.021	×0.988	23.42%
Doubles /BIP	6.87%	÷1.090	×0.820	×1.021	×0.988	5.21%
Triples /BIP	1.37%	÷1.150	×0.760	×1.021	×0.988	0.92%
Home runs /BIP	6.53%	÷1.147	×0.920	—	×0.988	5.17%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 107, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 86, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .404 → .311; ISO .228 → .167; BABIP .366 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 95 PAwOBA .323 → .249 (−74)K% 23.2% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.16%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	28.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.16%	÷1.117	×0.700	—	×1.012	2.00%
HBP% /PA	3.16%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	2.78%
Singles /BIP	19.40%	÷1.040	×0.920	×0.997	×1.012	17.31%
Doubles /BIP	5.97%	÷1.067	×0.840	×0.997	×1.012	4.74%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.997	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.46%	÷1.106	×0.800	—	×1.012	5.46%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 101, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .323 → .249; ISO .213 → .151; BABIP .274 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 ALexington Legends · 587 PAwOBA .369 → .304 (−65)K% 18.1% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.06%	÷1.046	×1.340	—	—	23.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.18%	÷1.016	×0.660	—	×0.990	5.26%
HBP% /PA	6.98%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	5.32%
Singles /BIP	23.06%	÷0.992	×0.920	×1.013	×0.990	21.45%
Doubles /BIP	8.29%	÷0.998	×0.820	×1.013	×0.990	6.83%
Triples /BIP	0.26%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.013	×0.990	0.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.15%	÷1.064	×0.820	—	×0.990	3.16%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 109, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .369 → .304; ISO .167 → .133; BABIP .324 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).