Gerardo Cardona — OGILVIE

Gerardo CardonaC DSL Twins

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 192 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .291 / .273

PA6

HR0

K%28

BB%10

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	73	52	10	2	0	0	18	15	1	1	0	192	408	231	639	38	256	21	25	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	73	59	9	2	0	0	11	22	1	1	0	153	296	186	482	34	208	30	15	231	42	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	73	59	9	2	0	0	11	22	1	1	0	153	296	186	482	34	231	30	15	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	73	52	10	2	0	0	18	15	1	1	0	192	408	231	639	38	256	21	25	316	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	73	61	9	2	0	0	11	22	1	1	0	148	296	180	476	33	208	30	15	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	73	61	9	2	0	0	11	22	1	1	0	148	296	180	476	33	208	30	15	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	200	333	200	533		290	33	17	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	160	141	30	5	1	2	16	44	2	2	1	213	302	305	607	92	292	28	10	274	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	301	265	58	10	2	4	30	81	3	3	1	219	305	317	622	98	293	27	10	281	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	406	358	79	14	2	6	40	108	5	4	1	221	308	321	629	101	294	27	10	286	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	476	420	93	16	3	7	47	125	6	5	2	221	309	324	632	102	295	26	10	288	81	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	457	102	18	3	8	52	137	6	5	2	223	311	328	639	105	295	26	10	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	457	102	18	3	8	52	137	6	5	2	223	311	328	639	105	296	26	10	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	520	457	102	18	3	8	52	137	6	5	2	223	311	328	639	105	295	26	10	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	457	102	18	3	8	52	137	6	5	2	223	311	328	639	105	295	26	10	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	520	456	101	18	3	8	53	138	6	5	2	221	311	327	637	105	295	27	10	291	83	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	520	456	100	17	3	8	53	139	6	5	1	219	309	322	631	103	294	27	10	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIN	62%	520	456	99	17	2	8	53	140	6	4	1	217	307	316	623	99	292	27	10	286	80	-13	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIN	63%	504	442	94	16	2	7	51	137	6	4	1	213	303	305	608	93	290	27	10	282	77	-14	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIN	64%	488	430	89	15	2	6	50	135	5	3	1	207	297	293	590	86	287	28	10	277	73	-16	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.0
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	446	393	80	13	2	5	45	126	5	2	1	204	293	285	578	81	283	28	10	270	69	-17	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	55	48	11	2	0	1	6	15	1	1	0	229	327	333	661	104	292	27	11	266	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	146	128	28	5	1	2	15	39	2	2	0	219	310	320	631	102	293	27	10	273	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	220	193	43	8	1	3	22	58	3	2	1	223	312	321	633	98	294	26	10	277	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	269	237	52	9	1	4	27	71	3	3	1	219	307	316	624	97	295	26	10	280	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	294	260	58	10	2	5	29	77	3	3	1	223	308	335	643	112	296	26	10	282	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	294	260	58	10	2	5	29	77	3	3	1	223	308	335	643	112	296	26	10	283	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	294	260	58	10	2	5	29	77	3	3	1	223	308	335	643	112	295	26	10	283	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	288	254	57	10	2	5	29	76	3	3	1	224	311	339	650	114	295	26	10	283	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	307	269	60	10	2	5	31	81	4	3	1	223	312	331	643	108	295	26	10	282	83	-6	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	317	278	62	11	2	5	32	85	4	3	1	223	312	331	643	108	294	27	10	281	82	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIN	62%	324	284	63	11	2	5	33	87	4	3	1	222	312	327	639	106	292	27	10	278	80	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIN	63%	318	279	60	10	1	5	32	87	4	2	1	215	305	312	617	97	290	27	10	274	77	-9	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIN	64%	311	273	57	10	1	4	32	86	3	2	1	209	299	297	595	88	287	28	10	268	73	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	290	256	53	9	1	4	29	82	3	1	0	207	295	297	592	90	283	28	10	262	69	-11	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3727	3279	720	125	20	58	375	998	43	34	11	220	308	323	631	103	295	27	10	277	79	-91	+2	-9	+67	+81	5.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	125	22	3	10	65	174	7	6	2	219	305	320	625	101	294	27	10	277	79	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6500	5709	1241	215	34	93	658	1745	75	58	20	217	306	316	622	98	294	27	10	285	79	-156	+3	-15	+115	+139	8.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	124	22	3	9	66	174	8	6	2	217	307	313	621	96	293	27	10	285	79	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.7	3,796	55	35	219	304	318	+68	+36	7.9	6.7
/162	664	10	6	+11.9	+6.3	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gerardo Cardona (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	203/291/273	69	290	0	1	28%	10%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/288/272	81	291	5	8	32%	10%	64	-1.3	194/290/296	102	287	9	14	33%	10%	70	-0.8	175/281/296	121	259	13	27	34%	10%	66	-0.9
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	41	36→45	48→30	45	188/278/251	63	293	3	5	34%	9%	55	-1.9	188/250/272	84	275	7	4	32%	6%	49	-2.4	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	51	-2.3	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	47	-2.6	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	288	5	7	31%	8%	58	-1.7	194/291/271	77	319	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	55	196/303/262	65	273	4	8	27%	12%	68	-1.0	197/297/284	87	275	8	5	28%	11%	70	-0.8	175/284/254	79	245	9	2	29%	12%	58	-0.6
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	50	-2.3	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	58	-1.7	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	69	-0.9	213/293/326	113	268	10	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	212/279/323	110	272	10	12	25%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	40→37	38→45	47→40	48	188/271/271	82	247	4	8	24%	8%	57	-1.8	195/289/294	99	262	9	6	26%	11%	70	-0.9	183/285/276	93	245	10	4	27%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	45	-2.7	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	55	-2.0	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	43→41	41→50	47→50	51	206/290/306	101	284	7	8	28%	10%	72	-0.7	190/261/308	118	286	11	9	35%	8%	61	-1.5	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Andrew Caraballo 2019 · A	19	39	36→40	44→40	51	179/281/251	73	268	2	5	31%	11%	57	-1.8	181/252/259	78	304	5	8	38%	8%	47	-2.6	123/164/192	70	240	7	15	50%	5%	-6	-1.1
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	61	-1.5	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→45	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	64	-1.3	223/301/315	92	295	6	8	24%	10%	77	-0.3	207/279/322	115	260	13	5	25%	9%	69	-0.8
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps