Gerardo Cardona — OGILVIE

Gerardo CardonaC DSL Twins

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 192 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .291 / .272

PA69

HR0

K%28

BB%10

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$6M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.3M
Totals		$13M		$30M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	73	59	9	2	0	0	11	22	1	1	0	153	296	186	482	34	231	30	15	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	73	52	10	2	0	0	18	15	1	1	0	192	408	231	639	38	256	21	25	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	MIN	—	69	61	11	2	0	0	7	19	1	1	0	180	275	213	488	33	290	28	10	264	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	160	141	30	5	1	2	16	44	2	2	1	213	302	305	607	92	292	28	10	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB	MIN	48%	301	265	58	10	2	4	30	81	3	3	1	219	305	317	622	98	293	27	10	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2029	22	MLB	MIN	54%	406	358	79	14	2	6	40	108	5	4	1	221	308	321	629	101	294	27	10	285	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.9
2030	23	MLB	MIN	57%	476	420	93	16	3	7	47	126	6	5	2	221	309	324	632	102	295	26	10	288	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2031	24	MLB	MIN	57%	520	457	102	18	3	8	52	138	6	5	2	223	311	328	639	105	296	27	10	290	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2032	25	MLB	MIN	57%	520	457	102	18	3	8	52	138	6	5	2	223	311	328	639	105	296	27	10	291	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2033	26	MLB	MIN	56%	520	457	102	18	3	8	52	138	6	5	2	223	311	328	639	105	296	27	10	292	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2034	27	MLB	MIN	55%	520	456	102	18	3	8	53	138	6	5	2	224	313	329	642	105	295	27	10	292	81	-11	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2035	28	MLB	MIN	55%	520	456	101	18	3	8	53	139	6	5	2	221	311	327	637	105	295	27	10	291	81	-11	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2036	29	MLB	MIN	58%	520	456	100	17	3	8	53	140	6	5	1	219	309	322	631	103	294	27	10	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2037	30	MLB	MIN	60%	520	456	99	17	2	8	53	141	6	4	1	217	307	316	623	99	293	27	10	286	77	-14	+0	-2	+9	+15	0.9
2027	20	MLB	MIN	34%	55	48	11	2	0	1	6	15	1	1	0	229	327	333	661	104	292	27	11	266	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB	MIN	48%	146	128	28	5	1	2	15	39	2	2	0	219	310	320	631	102	293	27	10	273	67	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB	MIN	54%	220	193	42	7	1	3	22	59	3	2	1	218	307	311	618	93	294	27	10	277	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	23	MLB	MIN	57%	269	237	52	9	1	4	27	71	3	3	1	219	307	316	624	97	295	26	10	280	72	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2031	24	MLB	MIN	57%	294	260	58	10	2	5	29	78	3	3	1	223	308	335	643	112	296	27	10	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	25	MLB	MIN	57%	294	260	58	10	2	5	29	78	3	3	1	223	308	335	643	112	296	27	10	283	74	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2033	26	MLB	MIN	56%	294	260	58	10	2	5	29	78	3	3	1	223	308	335	643	112	296	27	10	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	27	MLB	MIN	55%	288	254	57	10	2	5	29	76	3	3	1	224	311	339	650	114	296	26	10	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	28	MLB	MIN	55%	285	251	56	10	1	5	29	76	3	3	1	223	311	331	642	108	295	27	10	282	74	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2036	29	MLB	MIN	58%	302	264	58	10	1	5	31	81	4	3	1	220	311	322	633	102	294	27	10	280	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB	MIN	60%	313	274	59	10	1	5	32	85	4	3	1	215	306	314	620	99	293	27	10	278	71	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2760	2429	537	93	14	45	278	736	32	29	9	221	309	326	636	105	296	27	10	280	73	-85	+2	-2	+49	+78	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	127	22	3	11	65	173	8	7	2	222	310	329	639	107	297	27	10	280	73	-20	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	5125	4499	988	173	28	75	519	1372	60	50	17	220	309	321	629	101	296	27	10	287	78	-128	+3	-4	+92	+145	11.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	126	22	4	10	66	174	8	6	2	221	311	326	636	105	297	27	10	287	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Twins	—	73	52	10	2	0	0	18	15	1	1	0	192	408	231	639	38	256	21	25	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,830	42	29	221	306	323	+51	+28	6.4	5.7
	/162	664	10	7	221	306	323	+11.9	+6.6	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gerardo Cardona (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	203/291/272	69	290	0	1	28%	10%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/290/273	82	290	5	8	32%	11%	61	-1.0	192/289/292	100	287	9	14	33%	10%	65	-0.7	175/282/297	122	265	13	26	36%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	54	195/298/259	64	275	4	8	28%	12%	60	-1.0	196/296/284	88	277	8	5	29%	11%	66	-0.6	173/283/253	79	246	9	2	30%	12%	51	-0.6
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	47	-1.9	210/260/302	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	53	-1.5	184/227/264	80	254	7	0	30%	3%	27	-1.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	51	-1.7	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Alixon Suarez 2013 · A	19	41	39→45	42→40	49	197/283/282	85	252	6	3	23%	8%	59	-1.1	198/259/275	77	269	4	5	26%	6%	46	-2.0	148/180/183	35	205	0	2	27%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→43	39→50	49→30	44	211/285/298	86	311	6	8	32%	8%	63	-0.8	210/293/378	168	310	19	3	36%	10%	89	+0.9	201/295/383	183	291	22	1	36%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	44	-2.1	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	40	-2.4	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Carlos Narváez 2018 · A	19	46→45	36→50	48→45	46	219/274/285	66	269	4	3	20%	6%	54	-1.4	217/290/287	70	304	5	5	27%	9%	63	-0.9	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	39→37	38→40	48→40	47	187/266/269	83	245	4	8	24%	8%	49	-1.8	193/286/294	101	260	9	6	27%	11%	63	-0.8	179/279/276	97	240	10	4	28%	12%	55	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9