Gregory Sanchez

P DSL Arizona Red

Age 22 LHP 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKDSL Arizona R…	18	25	6.39	4.56	16.3%	17.1%	—	K 11.1% · BB 21.3% · FIP 5.40
2026	21	ROKDSL Arizona R…	18	19	8.84	4.13	21.0%	12.0%	—	K 14.3% · BB 15.0% · FIP 5.33
2027PROJ	22	MLB—	12	13	5.45	5.45	19.3%	15.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLB—	11	12	5.16	5.05	20.6%	13.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAustin Hamilton (age 23) · Jackson Lancaster (age 24) · Brendan Nail (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120129vR 137

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%19.3%

BB%15.6%

K-BB%3.7%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	18	0	25	129	21	22	1	0%	1.4	11.1%	21.3%	-10.2%	1.0%	6.39	5.40	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	18	0	25	129	21	22	1	0%	1.4	11.1%	21.3%	-10.2%	1.0%	6.39	5.40	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	18	0	25	129	21	22	1	0%	1.4	16.3%	17.1%	-0.8%	0.8%	6.39	4.56	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	18	0	19	100	21	12	2	0%	1.1	14.3%	15.0%	-0.7%	2.8%	8.84	5.33	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	18	0	19	100	21	12	2	0%	1.1	14.3%	15.0%	-0.7%	2.8%	8.84	5.33	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	18	0	19	100	21	12	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.0%	9.0%	2.0%	8.84	4.13	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	—	12	0	13	55	11	9	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	15.6%	3.7%	3.0%	5.45	5.45	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	—	23	0	24	100	21	14	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.5%	7.1%	2.9%	5.16	5.05	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	—	11	0	12	51	10	7	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.5%	7.1%	2.9%	5.16	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	10	7	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.5%	7.1%	2.9%	5.16	4.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	120	17	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.5%	7.1%	2.9%	5.16	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		36	0	45	229	29	42	4	0%	1.2	12.5%	18.6%	-6.1%	1.8%	7.46	5.37	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	0	200	1025	128	190	18	0%	1.2	12.5%	18.6%	-6.1%	1.8%	7.46	5.37	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gregory Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	19.3%	15.6%	3.0%	—	5.05	20.7%	7.2%	24	-0.40	—	—	—
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	89
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	87
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	85
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	84
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	84
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	84
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	84
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	81
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80
Felix Polanco L 2022 · 5.19 FIP	22	SU	5.19	18.7%	19.9%	2.1%	.290	3.68	18.8%	12.8%	27	-1.51	3.68	105	80
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	80
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	80
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	79
Jeff Wallace L 2000 · 5.61 FIP	24	SU	5.61	14.6%	17.8%	2.7%	.308	4.73	16.9%	0.5%	50	-0.88	2.51	137	79
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	79
Fraser Ellard L 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	19.2%	14.6%	1.7%	.367	3.62	23.4%	10.8%	141	-0.66	2.91	199	79
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	79
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	79
Jason Kershner L 2002 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	16.8%	12.1%	2.8%	.233	4.04	14.5%	8.1%	76	-0.72	3.87	100	78