Dylan Driessen — OGILVIE

Dylan Driessen P Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%22.3%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	39	0	49	234	63	36	5	0%	1.3	20.2%	17.9%	2.3%	2.7%	5.47	5.16	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	39	0	49	234	63	36	5	0%	1.3	20.2%	17.9%	2.3%	2.7%	5.47	5.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	STL	24	0	31	135	43	18	2	0%	1.3	31.9%	13.3%	18.5%	1.5%	2.30	2.91	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	STL	15	0	18	99	20	18	3	0%	1.2	20.2%	18.2%	2.0%	3.0%	11.00	5.36	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	48	0	51	214	50	25	6	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.59	-0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	50	0	53	222	53	23	6	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.6%	13.5%	2.9%	4.49	4.38	+0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	51	0	54	228	56	23	7	0%	1.1	24.6%	9.9%	14.7%	2.9%	4.34	4.24	+0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	52	0	55	231	57	22	7	0%	1.1	24.9%	9.5%	15.4%	2.9%	4.23	4.15	+0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	52	0	55	231	58	22	7	0%	1.1	25.1%	9.5%	15.6%	2.9%	4.17	4.13	+0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	51	0	54	227	57	22	7	0%	1.1	25.1%	9.6%	15.6%	2.9%	4.17	4.17	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	STL	24	0	25	106	25	12	3	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.6%	11.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.59	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	36	0	38	160	39	17	5	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.6%	13.5%	2.9%	4.49	4.38	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	43	0	45	190	47	19	5	0%	1.0	24.6%	9.9%	14.7%	2.9%	4.34	4.24	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	46	0	48	203	50	19	6	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.5%	15.4%	2.9%	4.23	4.15	+0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	48	0	50	211	53	20	6	0%	1.0	25.1%	9.5%	15.6%	2.9%	4.17	4.13	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	48	0	50	211	53	20	6	0%	1.0	25.1%	9.6%	15.6%	2.9%	4.17	4.17	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		244	0	256	1080	266	107	31	0%	1.0	24.6%	9.9%	14.7%	2.9%	4.31	3.86	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	84	24	0%	1.1	24.6%	9.9%	14.7%	2.9%	4.31	3.86	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		39	0	49	234	47	42	6	0%	1.3	20.2%	17.9%	2.3%	2.7%	5.47	5.16	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	0	200	949	191	170	26	0%	1.3	20.2%	17.9%	2.3%	2.7%	5.47	5.16	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan Driessen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	22.3%	13.1%	3.0%	—	4.40	24.0%	13.3%	157	-0.51	—	—	—
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	91
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	89
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	89
Gerson Moreno R 2017 · 3.76 FIP	21	SU	3.76	23.6%	12.1%	2.1%	.294	5.22	21.3%	2.0%	17	+1.46	3.44	349	89
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	89
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	89
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	88
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	88
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	87
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	408	87
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	87
Aaron Holiday R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	22	SU	4.81	21.9%	11.3%	3.9%	.310	5.23	19.7%	-3.3%	59	+0.42	4.73	126	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	86
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	86
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	86
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	86
Gabriel Ponce R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	24.4%	16.2%	2.8%	.328	4.54	22.4%	7.7%	110	-0.08	4.45	161	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	51	24.3%	10.4%	1.12	4.40
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19