Caden Merritt — OGILVIE

Caden MerrittOF FCL Braves

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION226 act + 150 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .267 / .269

PA150

HR2

SB9

K%33

BB%9

BABIP266

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED69

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	ATL	—	226	197	31	4	2	2	22	89	6	25	6	157	262	228	491	71	271	39	10	224	30	-18	+3	+0	-1	+6	-1.1
YTD	19	ROK	ATL	—	226	184	39	5	3	3	35	62	6	25	6	212	356	321	676	109	300	27	15	317	101	+0	+3	+0	-1	+6	0.8
ROS	19	ROK	ATL	0%	150	133	24	4	1	2	13	50	3	9	2	180	267	269	537	90	267	33	9	246	47	-9	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
ROS	19	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	233	37	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	ATL	—	226	198	31	4	2	2	22	89	6	25	6	157	262	227	489	71	269	39	10	224	30	-18	+3	+0	-1	+6	-1.1
TOT	19	ROK	ATL	—	376	330	55	8	3	4	35	139	9	34	8	166	264	245	509	79	269	37	9	233	36	-27	+4	+0	-2	+11	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	ATL	34%	517	458	86	13	4	8	46	165	8	17	4	188	273	286	559	98	271	32	9	257	55	-26	+2	+0	-3	+15	-1.3
2027	20	MLB	ATL	34%	178	157	30	5	1	3	16	57	3	6	1	191	278	293	571	102	271	32	9	245	46	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	178	158	30	5	1	3	16	57	3	6	1	190	278	291	570	101	273	32	9	245	46	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	110	18	4	11	58	208	11	22	4	191	279	293	572	102	273	32	9	245	46	-40	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	667	591	110	17	5	10	59	215	11	26	6	186	272	282	554	96	270	32	9	255	53	-35	+3	+0	-4	+19	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	108	17	5	10	57	209	11	25	6	188	273	286	560	99	271	32	9	255	53	-34	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	498	7	15	190	267	284	-3	+0	-1.4	-0.7
	/162	664	9	20	190	267	284	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Merritt (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	34→39	64→69	60	166/264/245	79	269	4	34	37%	9%	36	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Michael Crouse 2010 · A	19	37	38→50	56→55	39	179/240/260	81	282	4	21	36%	7%	34	-2.8	185/250/308	123	307	12	20	41%	7%	51	-1.7	191/257/319	128	297	12	19	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2015 · A	19	47→38	35→45	60→50	41	217/275/282	65	309	2	20	29%	6%	54	-1.4	212/274/303	91	300	6	16	29%	7%	59	-1.1	178/233/300	122	252	15	10	35%	6%	40	-1.6
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	38	38→45	56→50	38	183/245/263	80	272	5	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	188/242/284	96	295	9	9	37%	6%	41	-2.3	186/239/293	108	289	12	10	38%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jose Ramos 2023 · A	20	41	41→40	57→60	48	201/274/306	105	261	8	20	25%	8%	61	-1.0	183/262/263	80	276	4	22	32%	8%	45	-2.1	166/252/237	72	256	4	27	33%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Jose Vinicio 2011 · A	18	42→30	37→40	59→55	39	203/240/285	82	262	4	14	24%	4%	40	-2.4	206/240/279	73	282	4	20	27%	3%	37	-2.6	246/270/308	62	315	1	12	22%	3%	53	-0.5
✕Kelvin Duran 2010 · A	19	45	39→45	60→55	43	213/262/308	95	277	5	19	24%	6%	55	-1.4	195/243/273	78	277	5	14	30%	6%	38	-2.6	153/197/199	46	226	5	15	33%	5%	-2	-1.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Jay Allen II 2023 · A	20	43→40	40	59→55	45	204/296/300	96	298	7	32	31%	8%	70	-0.3	186/279/271	85	278	7	28	33%	8%	56	-1.3	192/275/286	94	267	10	24	30%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Jeffrey Baez 2013 · A	19	43	40→50	56→60	40	210/264/301	91	280	7	25	27%	5%	55	-1.4	205/250/300	95	292	8	23	31%	5%	48	-1.9	196/251/342	146	261	19	15	32%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	50	-1.8	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	54	-1.4	155/238/219	64	252	5	32	37%	8%	22	-1.0
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	42	35→30	55	47	198/281/261	63	260	3	17	23%	7%	53	-1.5	210/300/287	77	273	4	25	23%	8%	68	-0.5	195/295/268	73	258	5	32	24%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	57	-1.2	219/285/316	97	323	6	14	31%	8%	67	-0.5	224/266/315	91	324	5	11	31%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Monte Harrison 2015 · A	19	45→44	36→50	59→60	45	207/296/274	67	309	3	25	31%	8%	63	-0.9	185/253/274	89	311	8	16	40%	6%	44	-2.1	206/263/349	143	355	18	31	44%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Angel Del Rosario 2022 · A	19	43	36→40	59→65	42	201/272/264	63	287	4	28	30%	7%	50	-1.8	193/257/262	69	308	5	34	36%	6%	42	-2.3	179/250/247	68	290	4	43	37%	7%	33	-1.0
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	50	-1.8	213/265/278	65	272	2	17	21%	6%	48	-1.9	212/263/268	56	267	2	18	20%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	39→42	37→50	60	37	183/239/254	71	300	4	28	38%	6%	31	-3.0	192/245/311	119	312	12	26	40%	6%	50	-1.8	199/253/334	135	284	13	30	34%	7%	56	-0.9