Caden Merritt — OGILVIE

Caden MerrittOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION349 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP280

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	19	A MLE	ATL	—	349	305	48	6	5	4	36	156	7	35	11	157	261	249	511	92	301	45	10	232	43	-24	+3	+0	-2	+8	-1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	ATL	—	164	131	31	5	4	3	28	46	4	20	4	237	387	405	791	168	337	28	17	358	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	ATL	—	185	151	31	3	3	3	30	63	3	15	7	205	346	325	670	119	329	34	16	313	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	ATL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		280	33	11	250	55	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	ATL	—	358	313	49	6	5	4	37	159	7	36	11	157	261	246	507	89	298	44	10	233	44	-24	+3	+0	-2	+8	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	454	402	74	12	4	8	43	161	6	15	4	184	273	294	566	109	281	35	9	262	63	-20	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	490	433	82	13	4	10	47	167	7	15	4	189	279	307	586	118	283	34	10	271	69	-18	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	529	465	92	15	5	11	51	176	8	16	5	198	288	323	611	125	284	33	10	276	73	-17	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	571	503	100	16	5	13	55	188	8	17	5	199	288	328	616	129	285	33	10	280	75	-17	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	617	543	110	18	6	14	60	202	9	18	5	203	292	335	628	133	286	33	10	281	77	-17	+2	+0	-4	+13	-0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	633	558	112	18	6	14	61	207	9	18	5	201	290	330	620	129	286	33	10	282	77	-17	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.6
2027	20	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	156	138	25	4	1	3	15	55	2	5	1	181	271	290	561	109	281	35	10	251	63	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	237	209	40	6	2	5	23	81	3	7	2	191	281	311	592	120	283	34	10	260	69	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	287	253	50	8	3	6	28	96	4	9	2	198	288	324	612	126	284	33	10	265	73	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	323	284	56	9	3	7	31	106	5	10	3	197	287	324	611	127	285	33	10	269	75	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	349	307	62	10	3	8	34	114	5	10	3	202	292	332	624	130	286	33	10	271	77	-10	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	358	315	63	10	3	8	35	117	5	10	3	200	290	327	617	127	286	33	10	271	77	-10	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1710	1506	296	47	15	37	166	569	24	51	14	197	287	321	608	125	285	33	10	266	73	-54	+5	+0	-10	+37	-2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	113	18	6	14	63	216	9	19	5	198	287	323	610	126	287	33	10	266	73	-20	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3303	2912	571	92	30	70	318	1104	47	100	28	196	286	320	606	124	286	33	10	276	73	-106	+9	+0	-20	+72	-4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	113	18	6	14	63	217	9	20	6	197	287	323	610	126	287	33	10	276	73	-21	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.1	2,030	41	59	197	282	318	-12	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	14	19	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Merritt (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	36→41	62→67	62	174/265/271	97	280	4	19	37%	9%	55	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	62	-1.4	194/241/346	152	272	18	8	35%	5%	63	-1.4	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	42→40	53→45	45	194/262/300	106	257	10	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	201/266/295	94	268	8	10	26%	7%	60	-1.6	184/255/271	87	254	7	7	29%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	40→50	42→40	56→55	40	199/252/310	111	278	8	14	30%	6%	57	-1.8	223/287/309	86	277	6	19	20%	7%	70	-0.8	233/303/306	73	281	5	22	18%	8%	73	-0.6
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	58	-1.7	205/275/321	116	272	10	18	27%	7%	70	-0.9	198/272/329	132	263	13	19	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	55	-1.9	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	59	-1.6	157/239/224	68	251	6	32	37%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Zack Larson 2013 · A	19	45→36	37→45	53→50	39	208/264/285	77	308	4	10	32%	6%	56	-1.9	211/267/291	80	285	5	11	26%	5%	59	-1.7	194/251/256	62	263	3	12	26%	5%	44	-1.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	42	40→45	54→60	47	195/295/296	102	308	7	8	35%	10%	72	-0.7	202/299/283	81	274	6	17	26%	10%	71	-0.8	180/307/230	50	224	5	30	19%	12%	61	-0.5
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Miguel Bleis 2023 · A	19	39→31	43→45	55	36	196/243/309	114	285	10	17	34%	5%	54	-2.0	184/236/283	99	270	10	23	34%	5%	45	-2.7	166/221/262	96	232	11	28	33%	6%	33	-2.0
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	48	-2.5	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	55	-1.9	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Manuel Hilario 2012 · A	20	41	39→45	53→55	49	191/292/282	91	255	5	18	25%	9%	68	-1.0	206/275/300	94	272	6	17	25%	7%	65	-1.2	200/260/292	93	259	6	20	24%	6%	55	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps