Ryan Wideman

CF Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 204 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2354MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ASD	112	.229/.333/.271	0	11	37	—	.182/.270/.212
2026	22	A+/ASD	501	.286/.352/.406	6	65	72	—	.243/.296/.339
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBSD	533	.217/.270/.305	6	19	62	-0.4
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSD	121	.218/.273/.317	2	4	68	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%66

K%59

Speed57

Z-Con%33

wOBA11

wRC+10

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJordyn Adams (age 23) · Kenny Wilson (age 23) · Tyler Tolbert (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .268 / .303

PA210

HR2

SB7

K%25

BB%5

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	112	96	22	2	1	0	12	32	3	11	1	229	333	271	604	42	338	29	11	285	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	202	187	46	4	0	0	10	45	3	22	9	246	295	267	562	21	319	22	5	259	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	299	264	83	20	6	6	24	58	9	43	13	314	391	504	894	189	383	19	8	393	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	112	99	18	1	1	0	9	46	3	11	1	182	270	212	482	30	323	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	202	190	41	3	0	0	7	57	3	22	9	216	255	232	487	16	299	28	3	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	299	272	71	16	5	5	16	79	9	43	13	261	323	412	735	151	344	26	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	112	99	18	1	1	0	9	46	3	11	1	182	270	212	482	30	333	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	112	96	22	2	1	0	12	32	3	11	1	229	333	271	604	42	338	29	11	285	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	501	461	112	19	5	5	24	136	12	65	22	243	298	338	636	95	331	27	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	501	451	129	24	6	6	34	103	12	65	22	286	352	406	758	120	357	21	7	339	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	112	99	18	1	1	0	9	46	3	11	1	182	270	212	482	30	323	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	501	460	112	19	5	5	24	136	12	65	22	243	298	339	637	96	326	27	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	112	99	18	1	1	0	9	46	3	11	1	182	270	212	482	30	323	41	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	501	460	112	19	5	5	24	136	12	65	22	243	298	339	637	96	326	27	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	0%	533	492	107	20	3	6	28	133	8	19	6	217	270	305	575	88	282	25	5	260	62	-24	+1	+1	+2	+12	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SD	30%	402	371	82	15	2	6	22	99	6	13	4	222	276	322	598	100	284	25	5	269	68	-15	+1	+1	+1	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	SD	30%	121	111	25	4	1	2	7	30	2	4	1	218	273	317	589	98	279	25	6	266	68	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	121	111	25	4	1	2	7	30	2	4	1	225	283	333	617	108	287	25	6	266	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	134	21	5	11	38	161	11	21	5	225	284	332	616	107	287	25	6	266	66	-24	+2	+2	+2	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1225	1125	254	43	9	13	66	333	24	96	29	226	283	315	598	89	307	27	5	266	66	-25	+2	+1	+2	+13	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	135	23	5	7	35	177	13	51	15	226	284	317	601	90	307	27	5	266	66	-26	+2	+1	+2	+14	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALake Elsinore Storm · 299 PAwOBA .383 → .313 (−70)K% 19.4% → 26.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.40%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	26.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.03%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	5.48%
HBP% /PA	3.01%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	2.32%
Singles /BIP	24.76%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.019	×0.990	22.98%
Doubles /BIP	9.71%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.019	×0.990	8.13%
Triples /BIP	2.91%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.019	×0.990	2.67%
Home runs /BIP	2.91%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	2.31%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .383 → .313; ISO .189 → .152; BABIP .383 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 202 PAwOBA .255 → .219 (−36)K% 22.3% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.28%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	28.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.95%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	3.51%
HBP% /PA	1.49%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	1.17%
Singles /BIP	29.58%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.030	×0.998	27.97%
Doubles /BIP	2.82%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.030	×0.998	2.35%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.030	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .255 → .219; ISO .021 → .017; BABIP .319 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 112 PAwOBA .281 → .223 (−58)K% 28.6% → 40.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷0.956	×1.360	—	—	40.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.71%	÷0.952	×0.690	—	—	7.77%
HBP% /PA	2.68%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.09%
Singles /BIP	29.69%	÷0.989	×0.920	×1.050	—	29.00%
Doubles /BIP	3.12%	÷1.062	×0.830	×1.050	—	2.56%
Triples /BIP	1.56%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.050	—	1.30%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.936	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .281 → .223; ISO .042 → .030; BABIP .338 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Rick Bosetti'76-'82 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,656 PA	2.5	1,656	17	30	243*	286*	358*	+3	+16	0.6	0.6
/162	664	7	12	+1.4	+6.5	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Herm Winningham'84-'92 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,069 PA	3.1	2,069	19	105	238*	296*	357*	+1	-3	-0.5	0.2
/162	664	6	34	+0.3	-1.1	-0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	331	4	11	220	270	313	+0	+1	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	8	23	+0.0	+2.7	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Wideman (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	215/268/303	87	282	2	7	25%	5%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	42→46	38→45	58→60	37	196/253/273	78	310	5	24	37%	6%	49	-2.4	213/271/323	110	319	10	29	34%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/327	118	310	11	32	34%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Kenny Wilson 2013 · A	23	43→51	37→40	58→60	43	200/275/272	72	286	4	29	29%	7%	58	-1.7	224/281/310	86	309	5	27	27%	6%	68	-1.0	232/284/321	90	316	5	29	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Tyler Tolbert 2021 · A	23	42→48	35→45	58→65	42	193/269/251	58	298	3	21	34%	7%	51	-2.2	192/262/286	94	291	6	38	33%	8%	56	-1.9	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	47→51	39→40	61→65	45	221/282/308	87	290	6	31	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/268/302	87	297	6	32	28%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/287	82	290	5	34	30%	6%	52	-1.4
✕Joel Booker 2017 · A	23	47→49	36→40	59→55	42	221/282/290	70	291	4	26	24%	6%	65	-1.2	224/274/297	73	312	5	19	28%	5%	62	-1.4	205/254/285	79	297	6	23	32%	4%	50	-1.5
✕Trey Lipscomb 2023 · A	23	49→48	40→45	57→50	38	234/270/328	94	316	7	21	28%	5%	68	-1.0	231/270/332	101	293	9	14	23%	5%	69	-0.9	229/272/349	120	291	13	16	25%	5%	70	-0.7
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	41→51	38→40	60	41	200/252/275	76	276	5	22	29%	6%	49	-2.4	251/316/325	74	320	3	35	21%	8%	84	+0.2	261/328/336	76	325	2	38	19%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Jeffrey Baez 2017 · A	23	42→46	41→50	56→60	40	208/252/307	99	273	9	27	27%	5%	57	-1.8	205/257/326	121	272	13	18	29%	6%	63	-1.3	195/248/328	132	258	16	15	30%	6%	59	-0.9
✕David Kandilas 2014 · A	23	45→44	39→45	55	45	215/275/304	90	283	7	19	26%	7%	65	-1.2	210/271/308	98	277	7	16	25%	7%	64	-1.3	195/259/302	107	251	7	17	24%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Matt Lipka 2015 · AA	23	43→52	38→45	54→60	39	207/252/288	80	273	5	23	25%	4%	52	-2.2	209/250/290	81	269	5	18	23%	4%	52	-2.2	226/277/327	102	300	8	31	26%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	39→46	40→45	55	41	193/250/296	103	263	6	14	28%	6%	54	-2.0	206/262/315	109	276	9	15	28%	6%	63	-1.4	220/278/302	82	279	5	24	22%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	44	204/256/283	80	261	5	21	23%	6%	53	-2.1	240/302/316	76	303	4	31	20%	7%	77	-0.3	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2018 · A	23	42→52	37→40	55→65	39	202/251/277	74	268	4	26	26%	4%	49	-2.4	218/272/310	92	281	9	39	25%	5%	65	-1.2	220/272/316	96	284	10	50	25%	5%	64	-0.7
✕Kristopher Negrón 2009 · A	23	46→49	40→45	57→55	43	220/279/317	97	278	7	19	23%	6%	70	-0.9	225/284/324	99	290	8	20	24%	6%	73	-0.6	217/277/337	120	309	13	14	32%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Adam Engel 2015 · A	23	45→48	40→50	57→60	39	215/267/310	95	294	7	25	28%	5%	63	-1.4	203/260/305	102	292	7	30	31%	6%	59	-1.6	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	40→50	39→40	55	41	194/256/275	81	272	7	21	30%	6%	51	-2.2	218/272/309	91	285	6	17	25%	6%	65	-1.2	226/281/321	94	290	6	16	23%	5%	69	-0.8
✕Travis Witherspoon 2012 · A	23	41→47	43→45	56→55	37	206/252/310	104	292	11	22	32%	5%	57	-1.8	214/269/335	121	287	13	23	29%	7%	70	-0.9	208/268/334	126	273	14	25	28%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Jeron Williams 2024 · A	23	46	38→50	57→60	50	216/300/293	77	293	6	20	26%	9%	72	-0.7	215/268/325	110	275	9	29	24%	6%	67	-1.1	212/259/325	114	264	9	36	23%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Josh Flores 2009 · AA	23	48→53	42→45	59→55	41	235/279/344	110	303	9	23	25%	5%	75	-0.5	214/270/306	92	290	6	20	26%	7%	63	-1.3	195/254/269	73	266	3	25	26%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Kurtis Muller 2012 · A	23	46	36→40	55	45	214/286/282	68	269	3	19	20%	6%	64	-1.3	228/290/333	105	275	8	20	19%	6%	78	-0.3	246/302/374	128	281	10	28	16%	5%	88	+0.2

Ryan Wideman

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps