Ryan WidemanOF Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 22 R/R 6'4" / 204 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 250 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .302 / .356
PA250
HR4
SB20
K%26
BB%6
BABIP315
ISO119
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +5.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +17.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+18REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.00.81.70.40.91.11.21.21.00.8+$45M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 46
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT43
scouting grade only
POWER46
scouting grade only
EYE49
scouting grade only
SPEED62
scouting grade only
DEFENSE53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$7M+$6M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$7M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$6M
2032Arb-1$2M+1.0$5M+$4M
2033Arb-2$3M+0.8$2M+$0.6M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $8M $28M +$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ALake Elsinore Storm — 11299 17110 9473 111 172261202463 30321 428 218 25 — — — — — —
202521 ALake Elsinore Storm — 11296 22210 12323 111 229333271604 42338 2911 285 77 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 ASD — 376343 871845 211029 5016 254314373687 120345 276 299 87 -6 +4 +0 -2 +11 0.7
YTD22 ASD — 376334 1022266 30769 5016 305378461839 156378 208 371 142 +18 +4 +0 -2 +11 3.0
ROS22 ASD 0% 250227 541124 16665 206 237302356657 119313 266 292 81 -5 +2 -0 -2 +7 0.2
ROS22 MLBSD 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 309 —— 274 68 — — -0 -0 — —
FULL22 ASD — 376344 871845 211029 5016 253314372686 119343 276 299 87 -6 +4 +0 -2 +11 0.7
TOT22 ASD — 626570 1412969 3716814 7022 247309366675 119333 276 296 85 -11 +5 -0 -4 +18 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBSD 34% 343311 741436 23886 144 238303360663 122310 267 299 87 -5 +1 -0 -2 +10 0.4
202824 MLBSD 46% 609552 13426513 4215410 227 243308379687 136309 257 304 91 -6 +2 -0 -4 +17 0.9
202925 MLBSD 52% 627568 13827514 4415810 206 243309382691 139309 257 307 93 -5 +2 -0 -4 +18 1.1
203026 MLBSD 54% 638578 14127515 4516010 196 244310386695 142308 257 309 95 -4 +1 -0 -4 +18 1.2
203127 MLBSD 54% 637576 14027515 4616010 185 243310385696 142308 257 309 95 -4 +2 -0 -4 +18 1.2
203228 MLBSD 54% 629568 13726514 4615910 175 241309379688 137307 257 308 94 -4 +1 -1 -4 +18 1.0
203329 MLBSD 53% 619559 13526514 4515810 165 242309381690 140307 267 306 92 -5 +1 -2 -4 +18 0.8
202723 MLBSD 34% 118107 25512 8302 51 234299355654 121306 257 283 75 -3 +1 -0 -1 +3 -0.0
202824 MLBSD 46% 281255 611226 19715 103 239305373677 133305 257 289 79 -7 +1 -0 -2 +8 0.0
202925 MLBSD 52% 324293 701337 23815 103 239305375681 137305 257 292 81 -7 +1 -0 -2 +9 0.1
203026 MLBSD 54% 346313 761438 25875 103 243309383692 141304 257 293 83 -7 +1 -0 -2 +10 0.2
203127 MLBSD 54% 346313 751438 25875 103 240306380686 141304 257 293 83 -7 +1 -0 -2 +10 0.2
203228 MLBSD 54% 341308 731437 25865 93 237305370675 133304 257 292 82 -7 +1 -0 -2 +10 0.1
203329 MLBSD 53% 329297 701327 24845 83 236304364667 128303 267 290 80 -7 +0 -1 -2 +9 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 20851887 450851745 14952632 6219 238305373678 135305 257 291 81 -45 +5 -2 -13 +59 0.5
/ 162G— — 650588 13926514 4616410 196 236303369672 133302 257 291 81 -14 +1 -0 -4 +18 0.2
Career— — 44644038 9701853695 316115074 15745 240307374681 134311 267 304 90 -48 +13 -3 -27 +126 6.3
/ 162G— — 650588 14127514 4616711 237 240307374681 134310 267 304 90 -7 +2 -0 -4 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ALake Elsinore Storm — 11296 22210 12323 111 229333271604 42338 2911 285 77 -3 +2 — — +3 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Manuel Margotlast yr '24
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA
83,1545694254307380-5+278.48.8
/1626641220-1.1+5.61.8pk7: 9
#2Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA
62,3275593245323394-9+108.18.1
/1626641627-2.5+2.72.3pk7: 8
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
42,2794969241304376-14+53.33.4
/1626641420-4.0+1.61.0pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ryan Wideman (OGILVIE) 22 30→43 35→46 60→62 49 247/309/366 119333 970 27% 6% 85 +0.9 ————————— —————————
✕Phillip Ervin
2015 · A 		23 44→50 43→50 57→55 44 214/268/338 124268 916 23% 6% 66 -0.6 212/284/333 121266 1224 24% 8% 72 -0.2 232/296/372140294142125%7%84+0.5
✕Alex Castellanos
2009 · A 		22 43→49 46→55 58→50 35 215/264/350 135301 1318 32% 4% 68 -0.5 217/268/352 135313 1115 33% 4% 70 -0.3 226/288/398173303171530%6%89+0.8
✕Manuel Hilario
2014 · A 		22 44 40→45 57→55 47 209/283/310 101272 618 24% 8% 66 -0.6 206/261/285 79284 510 28% 6% 50 -1.8 167/216/2084122441026%4%8-0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela
2022 · A 		21 42→48 47→55 59→55 38 216/258/360 144272 1415 26% 4% 68 -0.5 239/275/399 160304 1822 27% 4% 85 +0.7 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
✕Mario Lisson
2006 · A 		22 46→49 43→55 57→55 49 219/303/341 122299 919 28% 10% 82 +0.5 220/282/336 116290 1121 26% 7% 72 -0.2 231/301/37714630019828%7%90+0.7
✕Hoy Park
2018 · A 		22 43→49 40→45 58→55 46 205/275/300 94276 617 27% 8% 59 -1.1 222/298/307 85300 516 25% 9% 71 -0.3 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
✕Samad Taylor
2019 · A 		21 38→48 41→50 54→65 45 186/250/288 102245 722 27% 7% 46 -2.0 187/263/301 114290 1025 36% 8% 56 -1.3 239/314/383144329164630%9%96+0.9
●Drew Stubbs
2007 · A 		22 42→51 41→50 54→60 41 199/272/296 98308 915 36% 8% 58 -1.2 220/289/327 107323 821 32% 8% 72 -0.2 240/313/369129324143728%9%90+1.1
✕Efrain Contreras
2009 · A 		22 46 43→45 53→55 44 224/286/334 110263 1013 19% 5% 73 -0.1 202/257/282 80288 68 30% 5% 46 -2.0 183/236/246632775734%5%25-1.3
✕Wenceel Pérez
2022 · A 		22 45→48 39→55 55 44 216/268/307 91282 515 25% 6% 57 -1.2 233/292/381 148288 1417 23% 7% 87 +0.8 234/296/395161281151922%7%91+0.9
✕Jon Matthews
2014 · A 		23 42 38→40 58→60 41 198/263/275 77277 525 29% 6% 48 -1.9 231/299/299 68313 316 25% 8% 69 -0.4 243/314/2985532621624%8%72-0.1
✕Randy Romero
2022 · A 		22 46 35→40 59→60 44 214/257/281 66260 221 18% 5% 46 -2.0 199/246/267 68293 413 32% 5% 37 -2.6 166/202/2023626431937%4%1-1.0
✕Cayden Wallace
2023 · A 		21 45→42 42→50 56→50 40 218/268/331 113302 815 30% 6% 64 -0.8 215/273/337 122287 1112 27% 6% 68 -0.5 225/274/377152279181326%5%77+0.1
✕Stuart Fairchild
2019 · A 		23 44→42 40→50 53→55 40 211/271/309 98301 714 31% 6% 59 -1.1 215/283/343 128287 1210 28% 7% 75 -0.0 220/316/365145284152626%9%92+0.7
✕Sean Henry
2007 · A 		21 41→51 45→50 56→55 43 207/263/331 123274 1224 28% 7% 62 -0.9 240/293/369 129295 1117 22% 6% 85 +0.7 248/301/378130297121720%6%88+0.7
✕Jared Oliva
2019 · A 		23 46→45 42→50 56→65 43 219/288/328 109304 824 29% 7% 72 -0.2 218/277/322 104307 825 30% 6% 66 -0.6 227/296/370142284155524%7%82+0.3
●Mark Zagunis
2015 · A 		22 48→54 41→50 55→50 47 228/298/339 111301 615 25% 8% 79 +0.3 244/333/383 139311 129 24% 10% 106 +2.2 243/340/39014830814824%11%107+1.7
✕Brewer Hicklen
2018 · A 		22 46→43 42→55 55→60 37 214/276/325 112332 816 36% 6% 66 -0.6 211/267/351 140325 1624 38% 5% 70 -0.3 219/291/395177297254034%7%90+0.7
●Maikel Garcia
2022 · A 		22 49→59 39→50 58→60 50 232/296/323 91293 522 22% 8% 73 -0.1 247/302/350 103314 827 22% 7% 83 +0.6 263/322/38412230892717%8%99+1.8
✕Jake Marisnick
2013 · AA 		22 46→52 44→60 56→55 41 224/281/349 125285 1019 25% 5% 75 -0.0 231/279/352 121296 1223 25% 4% 75 -0.0 226/290/423196302251833%6%96+0.7