Yadier Crespo

C DSL Pirates Gold

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1211ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	51	.211/.375/.316	0	1	38	—	.150/.292/.225
2026	18	ROKDSL Pirates G…	130	.274/.398/.311	0	6	49	—	.200/.312/.227
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPIT	240	.214/.288/.283	1	5	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	42	.218/.293/.297	0	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	106	.222/.297/.309	1	2	75	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%93

K%83

Whiff%64

wRC+50

wOBA47

Speed39

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Luis Vázquez (age 19) · Jason Lopez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .286 / .281

PA68

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	51	38	8	2	1	0	7	14	3	1	2	211	375	316	691	105	320	27	14	310	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	130	106	29	4	0	0	12	19	10	6	2	274	398	311	710	38	326	15	9	334	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	51	40	6	1	1	0	5	17	3	1	2	150	292	225	517	75	214	33	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	130	110	22	3	0	0	8	23	10	6	2	200	312	227	540	27	231	18	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	51	40	6	1	1	0	5	17	3	1	2	150	292	225	517	75	250	33	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	51	38	8	2	1	0	7	14	3	1	2	211	375	316	691	105	320	27	14	310	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	130	110	22	3	0	0	8	23	10	6	2	200	312	227	540	27	247	18	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	130	106	29	4	0	0	12	19	10	6	2	274	398	311	710	38	326	15	9	334	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	51	43	6	1	1	0	5	17	3	1	2	140	292	209	501	70	214	33	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	130	111	22	3	0	0	8	23	10	6	2	198	312	225	538	27	231	18	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	51	43	6	1	1	0	5	17	3	1	2	140	292	209	501	70	214	33	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	130	111	22	3	0	0	8	23	10	6	2	198	312	225	538	27	231	18	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	240	215	46	7	2	1	17	61	6	5	1	214	288	283	571	69	288	25	7	263	64	-10	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	122	109	24	4	1	1	9	31	3	2	1	218	293	298	591	80	289	25	7	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	219	196	45	7	2	3	16	54	5	5	1	222	298	311	609	89	291	25	7	278	75	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	330	295	67	11	2	5	24	81	8	7	2	225	301	322	623	97	292	25	7	284	78	-8	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	409	366	83	13	3	6	30	100	10	9	3	228	303	332	635	104	293	24	7	289	82	-9	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	399	92	15	3	8	33	108	10	9	3	230	306	340	646	110	294	24	7	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	399	92	15	3	8	33	108	10	9	3	231	306	344	650	113	294	24	7	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	445	399	92	15	3	8	33	108	10	9	3	231	307	346	652	114	293	24	7	295	86	-7	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	445	399	92	15	3	8	33	108	10	9	3	230	306	343	649	113	293	24	7	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	59%	445	399	92	15	3	8	33	109	10	9	3	228	304	338	642	110	292	24	7	291	83	-9	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	445	399	89	14	3	7	33	111	10	9	3	226	301	332	632	106	290	25	7	287	81	-10	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	445	399	89	14	3	7	33	112	10	8	4	223	297	324	621	101	288	25	7	282	77	-12	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	426	383	83	13	2	6	31	109	9	7	5	218	292	314	606	96	285	26	7	276	73	-14	-1	-3	+8	+9	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	42	38	7	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	218	293	297	590	79	290	26	7	271	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	106	94	22	4	1	1	8	26	3	2	1	222	297	309	607	88	291	25	8	278	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	179	160	35	6	1	2	13	44	4	4	1	225	300	320	620	95	292	25	7	283	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	232	208	47	8	2	3	17	57	5	5	1	227	303	329	632	102	293	25	7	287	82	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	252	225	52	9	2	4	19	61	6	5	2	230	305	337	642	107	294	24	8	291	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	251	224	52	9	2	4	19	61	6	5	2	230	306	340	646	110	294	24	8	293	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	251	224	52	9	2	4	19	61	6	5	2	231	306	342	648	111	294	24	8	293	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	247	221	51	9	2	4	18	60	6	5	2	229	305	339	644	110	293	24	7	292	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	59%	263	235	54	9	2	4	20	65	6	5	2	228	303	335	637	107	292	25	8	289	83	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	271	243	55	9	2	4	20	67	6	5	2	225	300	328	628	103	291	25	7	286	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	277	249	55	9	2	4	20	70	6	5	2	222	296	321	617	99	289	25	7	281	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	269	242	53	9	1	4	19	69	6	5	3	218	291	311	602	93	286	26	7	275	73	-9	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2640	2363	535	91	19	38	195	652	61	52	20	226	302	329	631	103	295	25	7	286	79	-60	+2	-4	+47	+57	4.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	131	22	5	9	48	161	15	13	5	225	301	326	627	101	294	25	7	286	79	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4870	4353	980	157	32	75	359	1196	120	100	38	225	302	328	630	102	291	25	7	286	79	-108	+5	-7	+84	+102	7.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	131	21	4	10	48	160	16	13	5	225	302	327	629	102	292	25	7	286	79	-15	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 130 PAwOBA .332 → .241 (−91)K% 14.6% → 17.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.62%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	17.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.23%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.51%
HBP% /PA	7.69%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.43%
Singles /BIP	28.74%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.050	×1.008	20.67%
Doubles /BIP	4.60%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	2.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .332 → .241; ISO .038 → .025; BABIP .326 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 51 PAwOBA .309 → .224 (−85)K% 27.5% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.45%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	33.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.73%	÷0.987	×0.700	—	×1.022	9.95%
HBP% /PA	5.88%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	4.21%
Singles /BIP	20.83%	÷1.004	×0.680	—	×1.022	14.42%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.972	×0.600	—	×1.022	5.26%
Triples /BIP	4.17%	÷1.019	×0.600	—	×1.022	2.51%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.931	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 104, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .309 → .224; ISO .105 → .072; BABIP .320 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.1	2,708	44	54	227	299	332	+48	+32	6.4	5.7
/162	664	11	13	+11.9	+7.8	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yadier Crespo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	212/286/281	69	288	0	1	25%	7%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	38→40	37→45	47→40	51	178/266/252	74	226	3	8	21%	9%	51	-2.2	196/294/293	97	262	8	6	26%	11%	71	-0.8	190/299/286	95	257	10	4	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Alfredo González 2011 · A	19	40	36→40	48→45	45	189/256/257	68	261	3	9	27%	8%	47	-2.5	183/228/250	67	245	3	9	25%	4%	34	-3.5	223/284/281	57	303	4	8	26%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	44	38→45	50	46	210/269/292	82	266	4	13	22%	6%	59	-1.6	202/248/279	77	299	4	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	176/218/244	68	280	3	12	36%	4%	25	-1.1
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	44→49	37→55	49→50	45	205/273/280	75	288	3	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	244/281/380	136	295	14	15	22%	4%	84	+0.2	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2

Yadier Crespo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps