Edwilmin Matos — OGILVIE

Edwilmin MatosOF DSL Astros Orange

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 194 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 122 proj PA

wRC+64

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .277 / .292

PA122

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	128	108	25	4	0	1	14	29	4	0	0	231	341	296	638	65	300	23	11	297	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	147	122	35	7	1	6	23	32	1	1	0	287	404	508	912	221	341	22	16	401	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	128	112	16	2	0	0	10	35	4	0	0	143	238	161	399	18	193	27	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	147	129	22	4	1	3	16	39	1	1	0	171	267	287	554	116	214	27	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	128	112	16	2	0	0	10	35	4	0	0	143	238	161	399	18	203	27	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	128	108	25	4	0	1	14	29	4	0	0	231	341	296	638	65	300	23	11	297	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	147	129	22	4	1	3	16	39	1	1	0	171	267	287	554	116	216	27	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	147	122	35	7	1	6	23	32	1	1	0	287	404	508	912	221	341	22	16	401	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	128	113	16	2	0	0	10	35	4	0	0	142	238	159	397	18	193	27	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	147	129	22	4	1	3	16	39	1	1	0	171	267	287	554	116	214	27	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	128	113	16	2	0	0	10	35	4	0	0	142	238	159	397	18	193	27	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	147	129	22	4	1	3	16	39	1	1	0	171	267	287	554	116	214	27	11	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	257	232	49	8	2	3	20	69	3	3	1	208	279	295	574	86	281	27	8	262	64	-11	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	209	189	40	7	1	3	16	56	2	3	1	213	284	307	591	94	283	27	8	269	68	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	72	65	13	2	0	1	6	19	1	1	1	213	284	307	591	94	283	26	8	269	68	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	65	13	2	0	1	6	19	1	1	1	200	278	277	555	77	267	26	8	269	53	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	117	18	0	9	54	172	9	9	9	199	277	276	553	77	266	26	8	269	53	-24	-2	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	606	541	101	17	3	7	51	163	8	6	2	187	267	268	535	81	250	27	8	246	53	-13	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	108	18	3	8	55	175	9	6	2	186	267	269	536	83	249	27	8	246	53	-26	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edwilmin Matos (OGILVIE)	19	40→45	36→41	43→48	59	207/277/292	86	281	1	2	27%	8%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A	19	44→48	38→45	50→45	45	209/292/292	83	270	5	7	23%	7%	70	-0.8	200/279/275	75	302	5	5	33%	6%	61	-1.5	200/288/307	107	285	10	6	31%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Yimy Tovar 2024 · A	18	46	39→45	51→55	48	218/287/307	89	276	7	8	23%	8%	70	-0.8	202/282/280	78	263	4	13	23%	9%	63	-1.4	199/276/278	79	257	5	16	23%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Carlos Caro 2024 · A	19	44	41→45	48→55	46	210/298/307	97	285	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	196/272/275	79	283	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.7	182/259/257	76	270	7	19	33%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Freddy Valdez 2021 · A	19	42	42→45	49→45	43	208/270/318	109	276	9	7	27%	7%	66	-1.1	192/262/274	82	285	5	5	32%	7%	53	-2.1	151/241/213	62	239	0	0	33%	9%	32	-0.7
✕Brian Mathews 2007 · A	19	41	40	47→45	45	201/261/296	95	261	7	5	25%	7%	58	-1.7	206/265/298	92	275	8	7	26%	7%	60	-1.6	198/264/290	92	261	8	7	26%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	47→50	45	194/259/280	86	254	7	8	26%	7%	54	-2.0	210/288/337	127	293	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	174/246/297	123	248	13	14	34%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Pedro Ibarguen 2024 · A	18	44	37→40	43→55	51	206/298/277	72	275	4	10	24%	9%	69	-0.9	194/283/263	69	293	4	16	32%	10%	59	-1.6	188/283/258	70	283	6	21	32%	11%	57	-0.7
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Esmith Pineda 2024 · A	19	44→42	38→40	48→40	45	207/270/294	86	287	5	7	28%	8%	61	-1.5	191/261/278	87	287	7	5	33%	8%	55	-2.0	177/251/259	82	267	8	4	34%	7%	45	-1.6
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	45	39→40	47→50	52	214/300/306	91	267	6	12	21%	9%	76	-0.4	215/279/278	63	295	3	10	26%	6%	60	-1.6	220/281/262	41	289	0	14	22%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	41	38→40	53→55	45	197/253/283	86	255	5	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	212/290/283	71	299	4	17	27%	9%	66	-1.1	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2021 · A	19	44→45	39→50	50→55	41	206/268/303	97	301	5	12	32%	7%	62	-1.4	192/254/320	128	264	13	14	31%	6%	61	-1.5	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Jodd Carter 2015 · A	19	47→41	37→45	49→45	43	220/276/288	68	307	4	10	28%	7%	61	-1.5	216/281/303	87	314	7	7	31%	7%	67	-1.1	206/267/312	106	296	12	8	33%	7%	61	-0.9