Esmith Pineda
RF Dayton Dragons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ACIN | 427 | .213/.318/.346 | 9 | 9 | 42 | — | .168/.250/.257 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+/ACIN | 441 | .255/.345/.374 | 7 | 3 | 60 | — | .207/.284/.292 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/ROKCIN | 246 | .196/.292/.280 | 4 | 0 | 23 | — | .159/.234/.225 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBCIN | 1 | .166/.239/.247 | 0 | 0 | 37 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBCIN | 64 | .174/.247/.269 | 1 | 0 | 45 | -0.4 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | — | 57 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 367 | 456 | 592 | 1.048 | 224 | 405 | 16 | 12 | 460 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 197 | 165 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 273 | 372 | 400 | 772 | 127 | 341 | 21 | 13 | 339 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 427 | 367 | 78 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 115 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 213 | 318 | 346 | 664 | 134 | 280 | 27 | 12 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 240 | 499 | 40 | 294 | 30 | 4 | 235 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 414 | 352 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 87 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 259 | 351 | 384 | 734 | 125 | 315 | 21 | 9 | 325 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 218 | 195 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 270 | 267 | 536 | 72 | 285 | 33 | 8 | 247 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 28 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 464 | 421 | 885 | 211 | 200 | 11 | 21 | 413 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 57 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 373 | 688 | 137 | 257 | 19 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 197 | 175 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 200 | 267 | 286 | 553 | 86 | 263 | 29 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 427 | 382 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 168 | 250 | 257 | 507 | 89 | 258 | 37 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 27 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 200 | 422 | 40 | 278 | 37 | 4 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 414 | 362 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 289 | 298 | 587 | 88 | 272 | 29 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 218 | 200 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 90 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 155 | 214 | 205 | 419 | 50 | 255 | 41 | 6 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 28 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 393 | 381 | 774 | 190 | 151 | 14 | 14 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 57 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 373 | 688 | 137 | 263 | 19 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Reds | — | 57 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 367 | 456 | 592 | 1.048 | 224 | 405 | 16 | 12 | 460 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 197 | 175 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 200 | 267 | 286 | 553 | 86 | 279 | 29 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Reds | — | 197 | 165 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 273 | 372 | 400 | 772 | 127 | 341 | 21 | 13 | 339 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 427 | 382 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 168 | 250 | 257 | 507 | 89 | 262 | 37 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Daytona Tortugas | — | 427 | 367 | 78 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 115 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 213 | 318 | 346 | 664 | 134 | 280 | 27 | 12 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 388 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 128 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 209 | 284 | 294 | 578 | 85 | 288 | 29 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 441 | 377 | 96 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 95 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 255 | 345 | 374 | 719 | 119 | 313 | 22 | 9 | 320 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 221 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 230 | 213 | 443 | 59 | 248 | 39 | 7 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 214 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 196 | 292 | 280 | 573 | 84 | 275 | 30 | 10 | 266 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 57 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 373 | 688 | 137 | 257 | 19 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 197 | 179 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 196 | 267 | 279 | 546 | 84 | 263 | 29 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 427 | 382 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 168 | 250 | 257 | 507 | 89 | 258 | 37 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 397 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 128 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 204 | 284 | 287 | 572 | 83 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 222 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 153 | 230 | 212 | 442 | 59 | 243 | 39 | 7 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 427 | 382 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 158 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 168 | 250 | 257 | 507 | 89 | 258 | 37 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 397 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 128 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 204 | 284 | 287 | 572 | 83 | 272 | 29 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 222 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 153 | 230 | 212 | 442 | 59 | 243 | 39 | 7 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | CIN | 0% | 374 | 339 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 130 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 165 | 238 | 243 | 480 | 78 | 246 | 35 | 7 | 223 | 37 | -28 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +8 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | CIN | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 239 | 247 | 485 | 81 | 247 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 37 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | CIN | 35% | 185 | 167 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 63 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 246 | 263 | 509 | 91 | 250 | 34 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -12 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | CIN | 35% | 64 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 247 | 269 | 516 | 95 | 251 | 34 | 8 | 237 | 45 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 64 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 250 | 259 | 509 | 86 | 257 | 34 | 8 | 237 | 46 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 101 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 223 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 249 | 256 | 506 | 85 | 256 | 34 | 8 | 237 | 46 | -42 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1704 | 1521 | 276 | 56 | 2 | 22 | 127 | 566 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 181 | 258 | 264 | 522 | 83 | 266 | 33 | 7 | 237 | 46 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 105 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 48 | 216 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 181 | 256 | 262 | 518 | 81 | 266 | 33 | 7 | 237 | 46 | -45 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Dayton Dragons · 218 PAwOBA .243 → .191 (−52)K% 32.6% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 41.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 3.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .243 → .191; ISO .072 → .053; BABIP .285 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Reds · 28 PAwOBA .404 → .296 (−108)K% 10.7% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 12.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 10.71% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 7.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 9.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 4.75% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .404 → .296; ISO .211 → .176; BABIP .200 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADaytona Tortugas · 414 PAwOBA .324 → .261 (−63)K% 21.0% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.01% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 21.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.64% | ÷1.032 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.08% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 102, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .324 → .261; ISO .125 → .094; BABIP .315 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Dayton Dragons · 27 PAwOBA .229 → .190 (−39)K% 29.6% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.63% | ÷0.999 | ×1.270 | — | — | 37.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 2.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 3.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 22.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.928 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 97, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .229 → .190; ISO .040 → .032; BABIP .294 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADaytona Tortugas · 427 PAwOBA .298 → .231 (−67)K% 26.9% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.93% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.41% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.65% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×1.030 | 18.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.73% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.030 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.078 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .298 → .231; ISO .134 → .095; BABIP .280 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Reds · 197 PAwOBA .341 → .244 (−97)K% 20.8% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.81% | ÷1.027 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.69% | ÷1.040 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×1.008 | 18.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.29% | ÷1.038 | ×0.720 | ×0.998 | ×1.008 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.998 | ×1.008 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.60% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .341 → .244; ISO .127 → .088; BABIP .341 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Reds · 57 PAwOBA .447 → .282 (−165)K% 15.8% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.28% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 21.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.054 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.087 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.50% | ÷0.932 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 3.81% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 117, K 98, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .447 → .282; ISO .224 → .118; BABIP .405 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).