Esmith PinedaOF
Dayton Dragons
Age 21
R/R
5'11" / 196 lbs
A+
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.4 · 2032
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .267 / .295
PA320
HR5
K%33
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
35→35
SPD
40→40
EYE
50↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.6M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $4M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 57 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .250 | .316 | .385 | .700 | .135 | .297 | 23 | 7 | .332 | 112 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | 197 | 175 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .200 | .267 | .286 | .553 | .086 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .235 | 38 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 427 | 380 | 63 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 164 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .166 | .252 | .268 | .521 | .103 | .264 | 38 | 9 | .234 | 37 | -30 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 441 | 386 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 133 | 13 | 3 | 2 | .210 | .289 | .308 | .597 | .098 | .293 | 30 | 7 | .263 | 59 | -20 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 45 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .146 | .205 | .244 | .448 | .098 | .217 | 40 | 7 | .185 | 0 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CIN | 275 | 248 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .194 | .267 | .306 | .574 | .113 | .276 | 33 | 8 | .254 | 52 | -15 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.9 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | CIN | 320 | 289 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 110 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .187 | .259 | .298 | .556 | .111 | .274 | 34 | 8 | .244 | 45 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | CIN | 510 | 455 | 92 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 143 | 8 | 6 | 1 | .202 | .281 | .319 | .600 | .116 | .266 | 28 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -19 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | CIN | 556 | 495 | 103 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 151 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .208 | .289 | .337 | .626 | .129 | .269 | 27 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -16 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | CIN | 585 | 520 | 110 | 24 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 156 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .212 | .293 | .342 | .635 | .131 | .270 | 27 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | CIN | 602 | 533 | 115 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 55 | 159 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .216 | .300 | .355 | .654 | .139 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 78% | CIN | 610 | 539 | 117 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 161 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .217 | .302 | .360 | .662 | .143 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | CIN | 610 | 539 | 117 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 161 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .217 | .302 | .360 | .662 | .143 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .294 | 84 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 605 | 534 | 113 | 24 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 161 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .212 | .298 | .345 | .643 | .133 | .271 | 27 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 595 | 524 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 15 | 57 | 160 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .212 | .300 | .347 | .647 | .135 | .271 | 27 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -13 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +17 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 585 | 516 | 107 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 56 | 159 | 8 | 5 | 0 | .207 | .295 | .337 | .632 | .130 | .269 | 27 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +17 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 570 | 503 | 103 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 54 | 158 | 8 | 4 | 0 | .205 | .292 | .330 | .622 | .125 | .267 | 28 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -16 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +16 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 552 | 487 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 156 | 8 | 2 | 0 | .201 | .289 | .322 | .611 | .121 | .266 | 28 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -17 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +16 | -0.8 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 522 | 461 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 49 | 151 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .197 | .284 | .315 | .599 | .117 | .264 | 29 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -19 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +15 | -1.1 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 475 | 421 | 81 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 141 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .192 | .280 | .302 | .581 | .109 | .262 | 30 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -20 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +13 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8774 | 7768 | 1598 | 351 | 19 | 194 | 791 | 2476 | 129 | 94 | 19 | .206 | .290 | .331 | .621 | .125 | .272 | 28 | 9 | .280 | 73 | -272 | +11 | -20 | -53 | +249 | -8.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 118 | 26 | 1 | 14 | 59 | 183 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .205 | .290 | .327 | .617 | .122 | .272 | 28 | 9 | .280 | 73 | -20 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 57 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .367 | .456 | .592 | 1.048 | .224 | .405 | 16 | 12 | .460 | 210 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | 197 | 165 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .273 | .372 | .400 | .772 | .127 | .341 | 21 | 13 | .339 | 118 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 427 | 367 | 78 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 115 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .213 | .318 | .346 | .664 | .134 | .280 | 27 | 12 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .259 | .240 | .499 | .040 | .294 | 30 | 4 | .235 | 38 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 414 | 352 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 87 | 12 | 3 | 2 | .259 | .351 | .384 | .734 | .125 | .315 | 21 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +12 | 1.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Esmith Pineda (OGILVIE) | 21 | 40 | 35 | 40 | 35 | .193/.267/.295 | .103 | .281 | 5 | 3 | 33% | 8% | 57 | -0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2014 · A |
21 | 42→48 | 40 | 43→40 | 41 | .205/.258/.295 | .090 | .275 | 8 | 3 | 28% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .212/.267/.310 | .098 | .284 | 9 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .239/.299/.331 | .092 | .299 | 8 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A |
21 | 42 | 39→40 | 45→55 | 37 | .199/.254/.291 | .092 | .307 | 6 | 8 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .213/.277/.298 | .085 | .301 | 6 | 15 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.288/.295 | .079 | .292 | 7 | 22 | 26% | 7% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Clint Coulter 2014 · A |
21 | 42→43 | 43→50 | 44→40 | 43 | .207/.274/.313 | .106 | .279 | 10 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .213/.287/.348 | .135 | .270 | 14 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .205/.273/.359 | .153 | .249 | 19 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ramon Mendoza 2022 · A |
21 | 43→48 | 37→45 | 42→45 | 44 | .202/.273/.280 | .078 | .289 | 3 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .200/.272/.283 | .083 | .288 | 5 | 5 | 30% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .219/.298/.332 | .113 | .294 | 11 | 3 | 27% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Yusniel Díaz 2018 · AA |
21 | 46→52 | 43→45 | 40→50 | 41 | .227/.274/.335 | .108 | .302 | 11 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .232/.293/.362 | .130 | .301 | 13 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .205/.272/.325 | .121 | .274 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2015 · A |
21 | 41→38 | 41→50 | 41→30 | 42 | .196/.272/.298 | .102 | .301 | 8 | 2 | 35% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .189/.277/.310 | .121 | .278 | 13 | 2 | 34% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .192/.273/.343 | .151 | .263 | 18 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Travis Harrison 2014 · A |
21 | 44→49 | 43→40 | 42→45 | 43 | .213/.284/.323 | .111 | .297 | 11 | 3 | 30% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.289/.305 | .093 | .295 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .203/.284/.286 | .083 | .286 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 58 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ariel Baez 2012 · A |
21 | 39 | 41→40 | 43→45 | 43 | .193/.265/.290 | .097 | .262 | 8 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .197/.256/.281 | .084 | .281 | 5 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .173/.227/.238 | .065 | .246 | 2 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Darwin Rivera 2013 · A |
21 | 42 | 40 | 38→30 | 37 | .206/.250/.295 | .089 | .291 | 8 | 2 | 31% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .200/.249/.283 | .083 | .282 | 6 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .159/.205/.223 | .064 | .218 | 5 | 0 | 29% | 5% | 7 | -1.3 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A |
20 | 42→36 | 37→45 | 42→50 | 37 | .196/.267/.265 | .069 | .300 | 4 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.290/.303 | .096 | .304 | 8 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A |
21 | 42→41 | 37→50 | 46→45 | 43 | .198/.265/.271 | .073 | .289 | 5 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .198/.273/.306 | .108 | .273 | 10 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .227/.282/.376 | .149 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Kenny Hart 2011 · A |
21 | 44 | 38→45 | 47→50 | 41 | .207/.281/.286 | .080 | .295 | 6 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .212/.300/.318 | .106 | .275 | 8 | 11 | 24% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .187/.295/.308 | .121 | .227 | 11 | 15 | 21% | 8% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A |
20 | 43 | 39→45 | 42→40 | 40 | .208/.266/.286 | .078 | .272 | 7 | 6 | 26% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.254/.282 | .079 | .287 | 6 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .147/.189/.214 | .067 | .208 | 8 | 0 | 33% | 3% | -2 | -1.0 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A |
22 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 40 | .203/.258/.301 | .098 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.266/.289 | .089 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.256/.260 | .077 | .269 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A |
22 | 40 | 39→40 | 44→65 | 37 | .193/.250/.274 | .080 | .298 | 7 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .205/.278/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 29 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .200/.277/.293 | .093 | .287 | 7 | 42 | 30% | 7% | 55 | -0.6 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brendon Davis 2018 · A |
21 | 40→44 | 41→50 | 42→50 | 37 | .194/.249/.286 | .092 | .303 | 8 | 5 | 37% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .191/.252/.271 | .080 | .298 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .195/.267/.364 | .169 | .250 | 21 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Victor Bericoto 2023 · A |
21 | 46→47 | 44→50 | 41→40 | 42 | .223/.283/.332 | .109 | .317 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .224/.271/.360 | .136 | .301 | 17 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .222/.268/.357 | .136 | .292 | 17 | 3 | 30% | 6% | 69 | -0.3 |