Esmith Pineda — OGILVIE

Esmith PinedaRF Dayton Dragons

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 196 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION246 act + 29 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .241 / .192

PA29

HR0

K%38

BB%7

BABIP241

ISO38

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	57	49	18	2	0	3	7	9	1	2	1	367	456	592	1.048	224	405	16	12	460	197	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	197	165	45	14	2	1	25	41	1	5	2	273	372	400	772	127	341	21	13	339	116	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	367	78	22	0	9	53	115	4	9	1	213	318	346	664	134	280	27	12	303	91	-4	+1	—	—	+9	0.6
2025	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	27	25	5	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	200	259	240	499	40	294	30	4	235	45	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	414	352	91	21	1	7	38	87	12	3	2	259	351	384	734	125	315	21	9	325	106	+3	-0	—	—	+9	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	57	52	13	1	0	2	4	13	1	2	1	250	316	385	700	135	316	23	7	332	111	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	197	175	35	10	1	1	15	58	1	5	2	200	267	286	553	86	261	29	8	243	51	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	380	63	18	0	6	40	165	4	9	1	166	252	261	513	95	262	39	9	234	45	-28	+1	—	—	+9	-1.8
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	27	25	4	1	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	160	222	200	422	40	270	41	4	179	7	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	414	360	77	17	1	6	30	123	12	3	2	214	296	317	613	103	276	30	7	267	67	-16	-0	—	—	+9	-0.8
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	57	52	13	1	0	2	4	13	1	2	1	250	316	385	700	135	297	23	7	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	57	49	18	2	0	3	7	9	1	2	1	367	456	592	1.048	224	405	16	12	460	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	197	175	35	10	1	1	15	58	1	5	2	200	267	286	553	86	279	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	197	165	45	14	2	1	25	41	1	5	2	273	372	400	772	127	341	21	13	339	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	380	63	18	0	6	40	165	4	9	1	166	252	261	513	95	269	39	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	367	78	22	0	9	53	115	4	9	1	213	318	346	664	134	280	27	12	303	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	441	385	81	18	1	6	31	133	13	3	2	210	291	309	600	99	294	30	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	441	377	96	22	1	7	39	95	13	3	2	255	345	374	719	119	313	22	9	320	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	57	52	13	1	0	2	4	13	1	2	1	250	316	385	700	135	316	23	7	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	197	179	35	10	1	1	15	58	1	5	2	196	267	279	546	84	261	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	380	63	18	0	6	40	165	4	9	1	166	252	261	513	95	262	39	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	441	394	81	18	1	6	31	133	13	3	2	206	291	302	593	96	276	30	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	197	179	35	10	1	1	15	58	1	5	2	196	267	279	546	84	261	29	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	380	63	18	0	6	40	165	4	9	1	166	252	261	513	95	262	39	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	441	394	81	18	1	6	31	133	13	3	2	206	291	302	593	96	276	30	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	CIN	—	246	221	32	4	0	3	17	100	5	0	1	145	222	204	426	59	242	41	7	196	19	-24	-0	+0	-3	+5	-2.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	CIN	—	28	19	4	1	0	1	6	3	3	0	0	211	464	421	885	211	200	11	21	413	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	CIN	—	218	195	38	5	0	3	18	71	2	0	1	195	270	267	536	72	285	33	8	247	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	CIN	0%	29	26	4	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	154	241	192	434	38	238	38	7	214	31	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
TOT	21	A+ MLE	CIN	—	275	247	36	5	0	3	19	111	6	0	1	146	224	202	427	57	244	40	7	198	20	-26	-0	+0	-3	+6	-2.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	35%	476	429	72	14	1	8	36	167	8	3	1	168	245	261	506	93	247	35	8	235	45	-31	+0	+0	-5	+10	-2.6
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	35%	165	148	25	5	0	3	13	58	3	1	0	169	250	264	514	95	250	35	8	227	45	-11	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	165	148	25	5	0	3	13	58	3	1	0	169	250	264	514	95	250	35	8	227	53	-11	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	99	20	0	12	51	228	12	4	0	170	251	266	517	96	251	35	8	227	53	-43	+1	+0	-7	+14	-3.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1627	1447	268	62	3	23	128	547	28	22	7	185	265	280	544	95	273	34	8	246	53	-34	+0	+0	-5	+11	-2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	107	25	1	9	51	219	11	9	3	185	264	279	543	93	274	34	8	246	53	-43	+0	+0	-7	+14	-3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esmith Pineda (OGILVIE)	21	40	35	40	35	151/229/223	72	238	4	2	37%	7%	31	-2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Duanel Jones 2014 · A	21	37→42	39→45	39→40	38	186/234/269	82	266	7	3	32%	5%	41	-3.0	202/244/306	104	278	11	4	30%	5%	53	-2.1	200/241/308	108	267	13	3	30%	5%	51	-1.7
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	32	38→40	38→45	37	162/223/241	78	240	6	4	34%	6%	32	-3.7	184/278/257	73	287	5	6	34%	10%	57	-1.8	159/289/213	54	249	4	5	32%	12%	50	-1.0
✕Juan Montes 2016 · A	21	39	39→30	43→55	43	190/267/276	86	260	7	5	28%	7%	57	-1.8	195/275/265	70	254	5	16	24%	6%	57	-1.8	185/271/239	53	243	4	21	23%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Dyron Campos 2022 · A	21	41	38→30	41→50	43	200/253/275	75	260	5	8	25%	6%	50	-2.3	179/233/279	100	275	10	9	37%	5%	43	-2.8	143/196/243	100	219	11	10	39%	4%	20	-1.5
✕Jose Tello 2019 · A	21	41	40	41→40	39	204/248/290	86	264	8	5	26%	4%	51	-2.2	207/247/318	111	269	12	4	27%	4%	57	-1.8	185/217/304	118	230	15	0	27%	3%	39	-0.8
✕Kevin Maitan 2021 · A	21	34→44	41→40	45→40	32	176/220/265	89	282	10	5	40%	5%	35	-3.4	202/254/288	86	321	8	4	37%	6%	53	-2.1	199/258/277	79	318	7	2	37%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Michael Soto 2012 · A	20	37	41→40	43→45	41	183/248/277	94	269	9	5	34%	8%	49	-2.4	210/259/335	125	294	12	6	31%	6%	65	-1.2	199/240/308	108	270	10	6	29%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Geulin Beltre 2011 · A	20	36→46	40	44→50	36	180/224/265	85	261	7	8	34%	5%	36	-3.3	212/250/284	72	292	5	10	28%	4%	50	-2.3	212/248/277	65	289	4	11	27%	4%	44	-2.0
✕Leonardo Molina 2018 · A	21	36→42	41→40	43→40	36	183/221/276	93	261	8	6	33%	5%	38	-3.2	197/232/278	81	293	5	5	33%	4%	42	-2.9	192/223/268	76	285	4	3	33%	3%	33	-1.8
✕Jesse Hodges 2016 · A	22	37→44	40	43→40	37	183/238/269	86	274	7	4	35%	5%	43	-2.8	201/252/292	91	295	7	4	33%	6%	53	-2.1	190/240/291	101	272	9	2	33%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Johnabiell Laureano 2022 · A	21	42	39→30	45	38	201/259/279	77	311	7	6	36%	6%	53	-2.1	188/257/269	81	349	8	5	44%	8%	51	-2.3	154/237/227	73	303	9	1	48%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	38→39	39→40	45→50	40	189/242/274	85	266	7	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	191/246/282	91	262	7	11	28%	7%	49	-2.4	168/237/260	92	235	8	19	30%	7%	39	-1.2
✕Cristopher Cespedes 2019 · A	21	41→36	40→45	46→40	39	201/249/297	96	273	7	6	28%	5%	53	-2.1	206/255/322	116	310	11	6	35%	6%	61	-1.5	193/248/318	124	285	13	4	36%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Israel Pineda 2021 · A	21	36→41	40→45	44→40	36	183/231/265	81	272	8	4	35%	5%	39	-3.1	194/239/323	129	274	16	3	34%	5%	56	-1.9	181/225/309	128	248	17	1	34%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Angel De Leon 2016 · A	20	36	39→40	43→45	40	176/247/263	87	285	7	5	38%	8%	46	-2.6	188/266/278	90	287	6	7	33%	9%	56	-1.9	149/246/241	92	224	4	7	32%	10%	40	-1.0
✕David Renfroe 2012 · A	21	38→41	42→45	45→40	35	191/233/294	103	282	9	5	35%	5%	47	-2.6	201/250/305	104	269	9	5	28%	5%	56	-1.9	195/246/295	100	251	9	3	26%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Michael Mosby 2011 · A	21	37	37→45	46→40	37	179/246/249	70	277	4	5	35%	6%	42	-2.9	189/252/286	97	274	9	5	32%	6%	53	-2.1	180/244/280	100	262	10	4	34%	6%	46	-1.0
✕Domingo Soriano 2011 · A	21	36	38→45	43→50	32	179/218/255	75	276	5	7	36%	4%	32	-3.7	194/234/273	79	322	5	10	39%	4%	42	-2.9	179/206/255	77	297	5	17	41%	2%	25	-1.1
✕Gabriel Garcia 2019 · A	21	37	41→45	45	40	179/256/274	96	293	8	6	39%	8%	52	-2.2	175/256/283	108	283	11	6	39%	8%	55	-2.0	148/234/260	113	234	13	4	40%	8%	40	-1.4
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	185/251/255	69	257	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	190/258/282	92	283	7	4	33%	7%	54	-2.0	189/261/280	90	282	8	2	33%	7%	52	-1.1