Sebastián Rivero
C Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 314 | .185/.252/.246 | 1 | 1 | 22 | — | .166/.209/.224 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 353 | .270/.327/.422 | 11 | 1 | 74 | — | .216/.254/.331 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBLAA | 34 | .182/.206/.242 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0.5 | |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA/A/INTL2 orgs | 175 | .236/.306/.325 | 3 | 0 | 62 | — | .235/.288/.291 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBLAA | 57 | .245/.286/.283 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0.3 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 28 | MLBLAA | 67 | .222/.264/.308 | 1 | 0 | 61 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ48% MLB | 29 | MLBLAA | 91 | .220/.264/.307 | 1 | 0 | 61 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 172 | 161 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 314 | 342 | 655 | 62 | 338 | 17 | 4 | 291 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Burlington Royals | — | 198 | 189 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 291 | 381 | 672 | 116 | 293 | 15 | 3 | 296 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 306 | 279 | 72 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 305 | 391 | 696 | 133 | 300 | 19 | 6 | 303 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 326 | 288 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 75 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 212 | 275 | 278 | 553 | 66 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 246 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 250 | 225 | 475 | 50 | 280 | 34 | 7 | 225 | 39 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 163 | 150 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 319 | 380 | 699 | 120 | 353 | 28 | 6 | 315 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 154 | 368 | 250 | 34 | 7 | 173 | 4 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +1 | 0.2 | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 178 | 156 | 34 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 299 | 410 | 709 | 192 | 250 | 21 | 8 | 309 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 213 | 194 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 284 | 361 | 644 | 129 | 268 | 20 | 4 | 283 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 54 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 259 | 188 | 447 | 21 | 205 | 17 | 9 | 219 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 64 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 288 | 283 | 571 | 75 | 256 | 19 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 97 | 89 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 271 | 258 | 529 | 45 | 275 | 21 | 7 | 243 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 162 | 148 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 222 | 243 | 465 | 74 | 218 | 23 | 4 | 209 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 55 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 308 | 227 | 535 | 45 | 222 | 15 | 13 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 206 | 242 | 448 | 61 | 250 | 26 | 3 | 203 | 25 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 254 | 231 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 264 | 310 | 429 | 739 | 165 | 291 | 18 | 6 | 319 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 99 | 84 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 368 | 405 | 773 | 119 | 344 | 21 | 9 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 57 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 286 | 283 | 569 | 38 | 317 | 21 | 5 | 256 | 61 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 117 | 105 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 330 | 333 | 664 | 67 | 303 | 15 | 8 | 300 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 235 | 71 | 307 | 77 | 6 | 12 | 179 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 41 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 395 | 663 | 184 | 194 | 12 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 164 | 152 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 247 | 237 | 484 | 39 | 283 | 28 | 5 | 222 | 37 | -12 | +0 | +1 | +18 | +4 | 1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 172 | 164 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 237 | 256 | 493 | 43 | 279 | 24 | 2 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 198 | 191 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 224 | 293 | 518 | 89 | 238 | 22 | 2 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 306 | 285 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 245 | 305 | 550 | 95 | 257 | 26 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 326 | 296 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 104 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 179 | 224 | 233 | 457 | 54 | 247 | 32 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 250 | 225 | 475 | 50 | 280 | 34 | 7 | 226 | 39 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 163 | 153 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 264 | 307 | 571 | 92 | 316 | 34 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 154 | 368 | 250 | 34 | 7 | 174 | 4 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +1 | 0.2 | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 178 | 160 | 29 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 247 | 331 | 578 | 150 | 211 | 26 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 213 | 197 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 240 | 284 | 525 | 86 | 246 | 24 | 3 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 54 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 204 | 160 | 364 | 20 | 169 | 22 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 97 | 91 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 229 | 220 | 449 | 33 | 267 | 26 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 162 | 150 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 196 | 227 | 423 | 73 | 199 | 28 | 3 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 206 | 242 | 448 | 61 | 250 | 26 | 3 | 206 | 25 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 254 | 236 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 216 | 254 | 331 | 585 | 114 | 249 | 22 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 57 | 53 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 286 | 283 | 569 | 38 | 317 | 21 | 5 | 258 | 61 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 117 | 108 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 259 | 304 | 324 | 628 | 65 | 288 | 17 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 17 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 176 | 67 | 243 | 67 | 6 | 6 | 131 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 172 | 164 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 237 | 256 | 493 | 43 | 285 | 24 | 2 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 172 | 161 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 314 | 342 | 655 | 62 | 338 | 17 | 4 | 291 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 198 | 191 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 224 | 293 | 518 | 89 | 245 | 22 | 2 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | Burlington Royals | — | 198 | 189 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 291 | 381 | 672 | 116 | 293 | 15 | 3 | 296 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 306 | 285 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 245 | 305 | 550 | 95 | 268 | 26 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | Lexington Legends | — | 306 | 279 | 72 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 305 | 391 | 696 | 133 | 300 | 19 | 6 | 303 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 326 | 296 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 104 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 179 | 224 | 233 | 457 | 54 | 265 | 32 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ RAW | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 326 | 288 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 75 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 212 | 275 | 278 | 553 | 66 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 246 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 193 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 261 | 290 | 551 | 83 | 314 | 34 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 207 | 190 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 60 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 304 | 347 | 652 | 105 | 339 | 29 | 6 | 296 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 186 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 243 | 306 | 549 | 129 | 227 | 28 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 207 | 182 | 38 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 287 | 374 | 661 | 165 | 250 | 23 | 8 | 290 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 331 | 303 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 78 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 237 | 271 | 507 | 79 | 240 | 24 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 331 | 295 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 280 | 319 | 599 | 102 | 255 | 19 | 6 | 265 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 314 | 291 | 50 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 85 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 212 | 230 | 443 | 58 | 238 | 27 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 314 | 281 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 66 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 252 | 246 | 497 | 60 | 237 | 21 | 7 | 227 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 387 | 358 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 218 | 257 | 335 | 592 | 117 | 257 | 22 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 387 | 348 | 91 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 75 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 261 | 316 | 405 | 721 | 144 | 300 | 19 | 6 | 314 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 232 | 214 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 284 | 280 | 564 | 47 | 282 | 18 | 6 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 232 | 210 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 301 | 314 | 616 | 76 | 270 | 15 | 7 | 279 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 172 | 165 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 237 | 255 | 491 | 42 | 279 | 24 | 2 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 198 | 191 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 224 | 293 | 518 | 89 | 238 | 22 | 2 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 306 | 290 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 245 | 300 | 545 | 93 | 257 | 26 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 326 | 306 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 104 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 173 | 224 | 225 | 449 | 52 | 247 | 32 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 191 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 261 | 293 | 554 | 84 | 308 | 34 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 189 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 243 | 302 | 544 | 127 | 216 | 28 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 331 | 310 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 78 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 237 | 265 | 501 | 77 | 230 | 24 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 314 | 296 | 50 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 85 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 169 | 212 | 226 | 439 | 57 | 224 | 27 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 387 | 365 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 214 | 257 | 329 | 586 | 115 | 249 | 22 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 232 | 215 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 284 | 279 | 563 | 47 | 277 | 18 | 6 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 314 | 296 | 50 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 85 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 169 | 212 | 226 | 439 | 57 | 224 | 27 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 387 | 365 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 214 | 257 | 329 | 586 | 115 | 249 | 22 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 232 | 215 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 284 | 279 | 563 | 47 | 277 | 18 | 6 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 45% | 241 | 226 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 266 | 311 | 576 | 88 | 272 | 21 | 5 | 259 | 61 | -11 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 45% | 67 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 264 | 308 | 572 | 87 | 269 | 21 | 4 | 257 | 61 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 48% | 191 | 179 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 265 | 309 | 575 | 87 | 271 | 21 | 5 | 258 | 61 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 48% | 91 | 86 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 264 | 307 | 571 | 87 | 269 | 21 | 4 | 257 | 61 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 255 | 238 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 249 | 252 | 501 | 50 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 235 | 42 | -17 | +0 | -0 | +20 | +6 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 123 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 166 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 203 | 250 | 255 | 505 | 53 | 274 | 26 | 5 | 235 | 42 | -42 | +1 | -0 | +51 | +14 | 2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3020 | 2800 | 566 | 116 | 6 | 33 | 120 | 757 | 35 | 10 | 10 | 202 | 244 | 283 | 527 | 81 | 261 | 25 | 4 | 231 | 42 | -28 | +1 | -1 | +25 | +11 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 163 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 201 | 244 | 280 | 524 | 80 | 259 | 25 | 4 | 231 | 42 | -36 | +1 | -2 | +32 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 117 PAwOBA .297 → .266 (−31)K% 14.5% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.049 | ×0.992 | 25.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.992 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.049 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .297 → .266; ISO .067 → .054; BABIP .303 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 17 PAwOBA .175 → .131 (−45)K% 5.9% → 8.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 8.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 4.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 6.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .175 → .131; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .077 → .067. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 254 PAwOBA .313 → .256 (−57)K% 17.7% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.72% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.51% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.046 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.079 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.43% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 101, 3B 116, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .313 → .256; ISO .165 → .123; BABIP .291 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMississippi Braves · 162 PAwOBA .205 → .179 (−26)K% 23.5% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.46% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.32% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 2.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.55% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 12.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷0.899 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 7.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.880 | ×0.975 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.906 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 99, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .205 → .179; ISO .074 → .070; BABIP .218 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 97 PAwOBA .237 → .211 (−27)K% 20.6% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.62% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 21.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.961 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .237 → .211; ISO .045 → .039; BABIP .275 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 213 PAwOBA .282 → .239 (−43)K% 19.7% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.23% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.08% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×0.960 | ×1.033 | 18.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.24% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×1.033 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.960 | ×1.033 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.152 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.65% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .282 → .239; ISO .129 → .096; BABIP .268 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABirmingham Barons · 54 PAwOBA .214 → .166 (−49)K% 16.7% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.938 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 14.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 2.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 93, K 88, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .214 → .166; ISO .021 → .018; BABIP .205 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 178 PAwOBA .306 → .253 (−53)K% 21.3% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.43% | ÷0.993 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.86% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 10.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.71% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 10.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.24% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.79% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .306 → .253; ISO .192 → .163; BABIP .250 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .