Yimy Tovar

IF Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1707ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Padres Go…195.230/.409/.35811445—.145/.295/.226
202519A/ROKSD186.315/.372/.4052561—.236/.278/.288
202620A+/A/ROKSD301.259/.349/.38641968—.222/.288/.330
2027PROJMLE21MLBSD411.225/.284/.3184870-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBSD81.226/.286/.3291276-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBSD159.229/.291/.34133810.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%58
Whiff%56
K%48
BB%32
ISO29
wOBA17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 3.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%
CompsDorssys Paulino (age 21) · Jose Cordova (age 21) · Brandon Villarreal (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 186 proj PA
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .282 / .315
PA186
HR2
K%21
BB%7
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Arb-2$0.4M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 6857 18302 9101 20 316418474892 158348 1513 394 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 195148 341031 36289 145 230409358767 128273 1418 357 45 — — — — — —
202519 ALake Elsinore Storm — 2322 9300 130 12 409435545980 136474 134 434 129 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Padres — 163146 44602 13341 42 301362384746 82372 218 333 51 — — — — — —
202620 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 4137 8101 4100 00 216293324617 108269 2410 283 40 — — — — — —
202620 ALake Elsinore Storm — 196167 40732 25290 102 240339353692 114273 1513 310 65 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Padres — 6455 19321 7100 90 345419527947 182391 1611 403 93 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 6859 13201 7121 20 220313305619 85241 1810 269 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 195159 23621 25369 145 145295226522 82166 1813 234 45 — — — — — —
202519 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 2322 8200 140 12 364391455846 91436 174 359 129 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Padres — 163151 33401 8481 42 219263265527 46299 295 243 51 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 4138 7101 3130 00 184244289533 105252 327 228 40 — — — — — —
202620 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 196174 38632 18390 102 218292322614 103253 209 264 65 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6458 15211 4140 90 259306379686 121307 226 305 93 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 6859 13201 7121 20 220313305619 85255 1810 269 68 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 6857 18302 9101 20 316418474892 158348 1513 394 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 195159 23621 25369 145 145295226522 82177 1813 234 45 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 195148 341031 36289 145 230409358767 128273 1418 357 45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 186173 41601 9521 54 237279289568 52325 285 257 60 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 186168 53902 14371 54 315372405776 89386 208 345 60 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE3 teams — 301270 59943 25670 192 219285315600 96273 228 268 67 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW3 teams — 301259 671154 36490 192 259349386735 127299 1612 326 67 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 6860 13201 7121 20 217313300613 83241 1810 269 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 195159 23621 25369 145 145295226522 82166 1813 234 45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 186174 41601 9521 54 236279287566 52316 285 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE3 teams — 301273 59943 25670 192 216285311596 95264 228 268 67 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 195159 23621 25369 145 145295226522 82166 1813 234 45 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 186174 41601 9521 54 236279287566 52316 285 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE3 teams — 301273 59943 25670 192 216285311596 95264 228 268 67 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLESD 0% 411377 851734 28863 82 225284318602 93277 217 272 70 -15 +1 +0 +0 +9 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLESD 34% 237216 501023 17492 41 230290335625 106279 217 281 76 -7 +0 +0 +0 +5 -0.1
202923 MLB MLESD 48% 329300 701425 24672 62 233294347641 114280 207 288 81 -7 +0 +0 +0 +7 0.0
203024 MLB MLESD 53% 392357 831627 29803 72 235297355653 120282 207 292 84 -7 +1 +0 +0 +8 0.2
203125 MLB MLESD 55% 426388 921838 32873 72 236299360659 123282 208 295 86 -7 +1 +0 +0 +9 0.3
203226 MLB MLESD 56% 444405 961939 33923 72 237300362662 125283 217 296 87 -7 +1 +0 +0 +10 0.3
203327 MLB MLESD 55% 450410 971939 34933 72 236299359658 124282 218 295 86 -8 +1 +0 +0 +10 0.3
203428 MLB MLESD 55% 447407 951938 34943 62 234297355652 121281 218 292 84 -9 +0 -1 +0 +10 0.1
203529 MLB MLESD 58% 439400 921828 33933 52 231294348642 117280 218 288 81 -10 +0 -1 +0 +10 -0.1
203630 MLB MLESD 60% 427389 881727 32923 52 228291340631 112278 227 284 78 -11 +0 -2 +0 +9 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXSD 34% 8174 17311 6171 20 226286329615 103274 217 277 76 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.0
202923 MLB CTXSD 48% 159146 33613 11331 31 229291341632 112275 217 284 81 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.0
203024 MLB CTXSD 53% 207189 43814 15421 41 231294349643 118276 207 289 84 -4 +0 +0 +0 +4 0.1
203125 MLB CTXSD 55% 233212 49915 17482 41 233296354650 122277 217 291 86 -4 +0 +0 +0 +5 0.2
203226 MLB CTXSD 56% 247224 521015 19512 41 233297356653 124277 218 293 87 -4 +0 +0 +0 +5 0.2
203327 MLB CTXSD 55% 248225 521015 19512 41 232296354649 122277 218 291 86 -4 +0 +0 +0 +5 0.2
203428 MLB CTXSD 55% 244222 50915 18512 31 230294349643 119276 217 288 84 -5 +0 -0 +0 +5 0.0
203529 MLB CTXSD 58% 254231 531015 19542 31 227291343634 115274 217 285 81 -6 +0 -1 +0 +6 -0.1
203630 MLB CTXSD 60% 257234 531015 19552 31 224287335622 111272 217 280 78 -7 +0 -1 +0 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19301757 40275938 14340215 308 229292347639 118275 217 287 79 -39 +3 -2 +0 +42 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 13525313 481355 103 228291346638 118273 217 287 79 -13 +1 -1 +0 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 45274103 9371812972 34795337 9829 228294339634 111278 218 284 79 -80 +4 -4 +0 +82 0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 13426410 501375 144 228293336630 109278 218 284 79 -14 +1 -1 +0 +14 0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALake Elsinore Storm · 196 PAwOBA .307 → .264 (−44)K% 14.8% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.80%÷1.000×1.360——20.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.76%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0309.07%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP20.29%÷1.000×0.920×0.997×1.03019.17%
Doubles /BIP5.07%÷1.000×0.830×0.997×1.0304.32%
Triples /BIP2.17%÷1.000×0.910×0.997×1.0302.03%
Home runs /BIP1.45%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0301.19%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .307 → .264; ISO .114 → .099; BABIP .273 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Padres · 64 PAwOBA .406 → .305 (−101)K% 15.6% → 22.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.62%÷1.000×1.440——22.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.94%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9956.75%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP28.89%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99523.57%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9954.78%
Triples /BIP4.44%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9953.18%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9951.72%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .406 → .305; ISO .182 → .134; BABIP .391 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 41 PAwOBA .275 → .228 (−47)K% 24.4% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.39%÷1.000×1.270——30.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.76%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0427.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.920—×1.04221.30%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.810—×1.0423.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0423.09%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .275 → .228; ISO .108 → .085; BABIP .269 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Padres · 163 PAwOBA .330 → .243 (−87)K% 20.9% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.86%÷1.023×1.440——29.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.98%÷0.990×0.620—×1.0085.03%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.720—×1.0080.45%
Singles /BIP32.14%÷1.010×0.820×1.012×1.00826.60%
Doubles /BIP5.36%÷1.045×0.720×1.012×1.0083.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.018×0.720×1.012×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.79%÷1.018×0.780—×1.0081.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 104, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .330 → .243; ISO .082 → .057; BABIP .372 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 23 PAwOBA .422 → .359 (−63)K% 13.0% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.04%÷0.956×1.360——18.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.35%÷0.952×0.690—×1.0453.29%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP31.58%÷0.989×0.920—×1.04530.70%
Doubles /BIP15.79%÷1.062×0.830—×1.04512.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.936×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .422 → .359; ISO .136 → .105; BABIP .474 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 195 PAwOBA .353 → .234 (−119)K% 14.4% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.36%÷0.952×1.220——18.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.46%÷1.022×0.700—×1.00812.74%
HBP% /PA4.62%—×0.700—×1.0083.26%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.015×0.680×0.970×1.00810.92%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.072×0.600×0.970×1.0084.56%
Triples /BIP2.50%÷1.096×0.600×0.970×1.0081.34%
Home runs /BIP0.83%÷0.909×0.470—×1.0080.43%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 119, K 90, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .353 → .234; ISO .128 → .074; BABIP .273 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 68 PAwOBA .390 → .269 (−121)K% 14.7% → 17.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.71%÷1.015×1.220——17.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.24%÷0.968×0.700—×1.0229.79%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.700—×1.0221.05%
Singles /BIP27.66%÷0.971×0.680×1.005×1.02219.91%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷0.926×0.600×1.005×1.0224.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.999×0.600×1.005×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP4.26%÷1.083×0.470—×1.0221.89%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 94, 2B 85, 3B 100, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .390 → .269; ISO .158 → .085; BABIP .348 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).